alifari's Blog

Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 2ND JANUARY 2015

Since September 2014 AUDUSD dropped around 900 pips and the pair is currently at 0.8500 level but there is still lot of room for this pair to drop towards 0.8300 level or even further down towards 0.8050 level.
Beside technical reason, there are fundamental aspects which support continuation of bearish price action on AUDUSD as RBA thinks that despite the recent decline on this pair the AUD remains above most estimates of its fundamental value, particularly given the further declines in key comm…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original
orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR AUGUST 1ST 2014

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.
1) Weekly Chart
2) Daily Chart
Price Target 0.9150 for 1st August 2014

Read full story
Translate to English Show original
orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 2ND JUNE 2014

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.
1) Weekly Chart
2) Daily Chart
Price Target 0.9450 for 2nd June 2014

Read full story
Translate to English Show original
alifari avatar
alifari 11 May

Update 1: At the beginning of month we saw the supply zone at 0.9315 held and price dropped around 110 pips and hit 0.9200 level, where there was heavy buying interest and the buyers took the price all the way upto 0.9390 level. I am anticipating this buying spree to continue in coming days, until 0.9550 level is hit.

orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 1ST APRIL 2014

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.
1) Weekly Chart
2) Daily Chart
Price Target 0.8500 for 1st April 2014

Read full story
Translate to English Show original
orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 3RD MARCH 2014

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.
1) Monthly Chart
2) Weekly Chart
Price Target 0.8500 for 3rd March 2014
Read full story
Translate to English Show original
orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 3RD FEBRUARY 2014

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.
1) Monthly Chart
2) Weekly Chart
Price Target 0.8570 for 3rd February 2014
Read full story
Translate to English Show original
alifari avatar
alifari 19 Jan.

Update: This week we have seen lot of sellers coming in taking price down around 300 pips and price is currently at 0.8780 and about 190 pips shy of my target. We could see continuation of down move as there is still lot of room for price to move down in next couple of weeks, so the target of 0.8570 is well within sight.

alifari avatar
alifari 30 Jan.

Update 2: Since my first update price retraced around 100 pips from 0.8780 to 0.8880. This level was broken support on daily chart which acted as resistance and we saw another down move of 220 pips. Price is consolidating for now. However, overall trend looks pretty bearish as such we could see another move down in next couple of days.

orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 2ND JANUARY 2014

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.
1) Daily Chart
2) Weekly Chart
Price Target 0.8850 for 2nd January 2014

Read full story
Translate to English Show original
alifari avatar
alifari 16 Dec.

Update: AUDUSD price action has played out exactly as predicted and currently about 80 pips shy of my target of 0.8850. We could see further weakness of AUD this week and strengthening of USD, so expecting price to go down much lower.

alifari avatar
alifari 22 Dec.

Update 2: Price hit my target of 0.8850 this week and we have seen some buying interest at this level, which is also previous low on 5th August 2013. I am expecting range bound price action in coming weeks.

alifari avatar
alifari 29 Dec.

Update 3: After some buying early in the week, we have seen selling interest again at 0.8950 level and price is currently about 18 pips shy of my target 0.8850. Since next week is holiday shortened week and low liquidity is expected should be a range bound price action.

alifari avatar
alifari 2 Jan.

Final Update: Price finally closed at 0.88536 and target was 0.88500 so 3.6 Pips difference..... hurray

orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 1ST OCTOBER 2013

AUDUSD: My technical analysis is based on Supply / Demand and Support / Resistance.1) Daily Chart2) Monthly ChartPrice Target 0.8560 for 1st October 2013
Read full story
Translate to English Show original
VTTG avatar
VTTG 3 Sep.

You gave useful and interesting analysis :)

alifari avatar
alifari 8 Sep.

Update 1: We have seen lot of buying interest at Monthly demand zone at 0.8900 this week. However, there are lot of resistance and supply zone between 0.9235 - 0.9315 and as such there are higher chances of price reacting to these zones and create some bearish price action. If we don't see any buying interest at these zones than price could fly to 0.9500 to 0.9550 in no time.

orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 2ND SEPTEMBER 2013

AUDUSD: My analysis is based on Supply & Demand and Support & Resistance. I am expecting price action as suggested on Daily Chart.
Read full story
Translate to English Show original
alifari avatar
alifari 24 Aug.

Update August 23rd: As expected price reacted to monthly demand zone between 0.89 and 0.8800 and had a bullish run up to fresh supply zone at 0.9225 - 0.9250. Price retested this daily supply zone and had a bearish run up to daily demand zone at 0.8950. I am expecting a bullish run to my target of 0.9320 in last week of August mainly due to recent positive fundamental report from China. See attached chart http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/blog/?action=post-show&post_id=3349

orto leave comments
Avatar

AUDUSD PRICE FORECAST FOR 1ST AUGUST 2013

My technical analysis is based on Supply & Demand and Support & Resistance.Monthly Chart: 1) Price broke previous monthly support at 0.9580 - 0.9650 area and hit support and resistance flip area at 0.9367.2) There was a minor bounce from this flip area and price rose and hit that broken support at 0.9580 - 0.9650 and which acted as resistance and price is currently under this zone.3) I am expecting price to retest this support turned resistance at 0.9580 - 0.9650 area one more time before a drop…
Read full story
Translate to English Show original
Sintano avatar
Sintano 18 June

It sure is going to follow the downturn. I although will be looking for a price of 0.912 as a strong resistance zone :)

geula4x avatar
geula4x 19 June

+1 Liked: Nice analysis and clear charts! Well done! :-)

Erialda avatar
Erialda 8 July

I liked all your analysis, good luck

alifari avatar
alifari 22 July

As expected price reacted at Monthly Demand Zone at 0.9050 - 0.9000 and currently consolidating between 0.9000 and 0.9300. I am expecting bullish price action in next few days and hopefully reaching my target of 0.9350 before 1st August 2013. Moreover, current price action suggest price is aiming to hit daily supply zone at 0.9500 to 0.9550 in next couple of weeks. Check attached chart http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/blog/?action=post-show&post_id=1863

orto leave comments
More