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U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perrey said he believed that the US sanctions against Iran would be reinstated and that the decline in global oil supply would be compensated by the increase in Saudi Arabia and Russia's production. Russia's Energy Minister Aleksander Novak said that if OPEC members fail to agree on a 1 million barrel/day production increase, they will increase oil production by 200,000 barrels/day in the second half of the year, while Russian oil companies will increase their producti…
kahinistanbul's Blog
EURusd overview
Comments from European Central Bank(ECB) officials continue to be effective on the pair side. Finally, the President of the Central Bank of Lithuania's speech that quantitative monetary expansion should not continue after December has led to upward attacks on the currency side despite recent political uncertainties in Germany. On the US side, the new home sales data we have followed yesterday is above expectations, while developments in trade wars are closely monitored. The latest US President D…
EURusd overview
Remarks from European Central bank officials and Italian Economy Minister Giovanni Tria over the past week have led to volatile movements on the parite side. In his speech on monetary expansion and interest rates, Mario Draghi, the Head of the European Central Bank, who first made accurate statements earlier in the week, put pressure on Euro assets to sell. In addition, the Austrian Central Bank President and ECB Board Member Ewald Nowotny, the French Central Bank President and ECB Board Member …
EURusd overview
Recently, the Dove toned remarks from European Central bank officials put pressure on euro assets, while finally the President of the Federal Reserve and ECB Member Jens Weidmann said they would continue to remain expansionary in monetary policy even after net asset purchases have ended. Weidmann also argued that there are some difficulties in achieving inflation but that they will eventually reach the target level. On the other hand, reports from countries with troubled economies such as Italy …
EURusd overview
On Friday, when we look at the headline inflation figures we followed from the euro zone, it was announced in parallel with expectations by 1.9 percent on annual basis and 0.5 percent on monthly basis. Food and energy items were neglected in the core CPI figures were realized in parallel with the projections. The euro, which had been selling hard on the European Central Bank's decision on Thursday, eased in part as inflation figures announced met forecasts. However, CFTC reports described in the…
GBPusd overview
According to the data released in the UK in May, retail sales data was 1.3 percent on a monthly basis and 3.9 percent on an annual basis, while non-fuel Core retail sales were 1.3 percent on a monthly basis and 4.4 percent on a monthly basis. On brexit, the House of Commons, the lower wing of Parliament, rejected the changes made by the House of Lords in the Brexit bill. The rejected changes included those that would lead the country to remain in the European Economic Zone and Customs Union. The…
Brent oil
For some time, three main titles on pricing have come to the fore. U.S. oil production and price demands, sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, and the possibility of easing the OPEC-LED supply constraint. The eyes for Iran and Venezuela will be at the G7 Leaders ' Summit, which will begin today in Canada. Iran's OPEC administrator said today: no one at OPEC would accept US sanctions against two founding members (Iran and Venezuela), and warned that oil prices could reach 140 dollars if sanction…
EURusd overview
Industrial production in Germany today, despite expectations of 0.3 percent, while the country's trade balance remained below expectations of -1.0 percent, 19 billion 400 million excess gave. Negative data from both Germany and France in the last 2 days has created sales pressure on euro assets despite positive statements by ECB officials on the bond buying program. On the other hand, the rally in the bond interest rates in Italy has supported the drawback seen today by the parity side. On the o…
Brent oil
Iran, the third largest oil producer of OPEC after Saudi Arabia and Iraq, intensified its efforts to protect itself against US sanctions and sent a letter to the members of OPEC by Iranian Minister of Finance Bijen Zengen, demanding support under the second article of the OPEC Charter. Article 2 emphasizes the protection of the interests of the Member States individually and collectively. He also signaled that he has not yet reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia on the possible need to increase…
EURUSD overview
Yesterday, headline inflation figures in the euro zone remained far below market expectations, followed by the European Commission's economic forecast statement. The economic slowdown at the beginning of 2018 will likely be temporary, while the complex Outlook in the employment market will continue to be highlighted. Yesterday, Peter praet, a board member of the European Central Bank, said that monetary expansion could continue. On the US side, while the Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Ind…