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Cable sold after BOE quarterly inflation report

BOE QIR didn't bring anything new. The market was perhaps a bit disappointed that Kristin Forbes remains the only hawk on the MPC, and she is leaving. The bank is optimistic on the Brexit process but prepared to adjust policy both ways.
Cable fell 50 pips on the release and another 30 during the press conference but 1.2830 - 1.2850 has so far held. If that goes, 1.2750 - 1.28 is where some demand may come in. 1.29 is the initial resistance before 1.2950 - 1.30 band.
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Cable knocking on 1.30

British pound was not in focus during the past several days but has been underpinned by GBP/JPY and GBP/CHF buying. It has taken advantage of the U.S. dollar weakness this morning. BOE QIR tomorrow is the main thing to prepare for.
GBP/USD is knocking on the big figure (1.30) again. A break above would likely trigger some buy stops. 23.6% retracement of the 2014 - 2016 downtrend is the next target. Area around 1.29 is the initial support and then stronger one near 1.2830.
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Cable surges towards 1.25

Cable rallied a cent after the U.K. high court ruled that the parliament has to vote on triggering Article 50. There was another half-cent jump on a less dovish than expected BOE QIR. The pair closed in the green for the fifth consecutive day.
The pair convincingly broke above the trendline, drawn off of June and September highs, and traded up to almost 1.25. Pullback into 1.24 was quickly bought and we were soon back to 1.2475. If 1.25 goes, 50 DMA is the next target.
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Elens94 avatar
Elens94 4 nov

well done!

al_dcdemo avatar

Thanks! :)

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Cable awaits BOE QIR

Pound is again in focus with the BOE QIR a.k.a. "Super Thursday" meeting scheduled to conclude later today. There will be public releases at 11:00 GMT and a press conference at 11:45 GMT.
I think the bank will need to come up with something really dovish to send Cable below 1.43 - 1.4350 area (100 DMA, 50 DMA, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 support/resistance line). The main risk is that they remain neutral and the pair will rally through 1.45.
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