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Seven-Year Range in AUD/CAD

fxsurprise8 Publié 30 juin comme Analyse sur AUD/CAD, Cible: 0.9647, Date: 1 de août, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #AUD #CAD #AUD/CAD #Australian Dollar #Canadian Dollar #Loonie #Commodity #Range Bound #Commodity Currencies
We're written about this pair in previous TA posts. What makes this pair interesting for us is that its composed of two commodity currencies, AUD and CAD. Both Australia and Canada are big commodity exporters. Most commodities tend to move in large bull/bear cycles. This means that most of the time the Australian Dollar and the Canadian Dollar will move in tandem. Exhibit number one, weekly chart below.
Notice how for the past seven plus years this pair has been range-bound. We even added a 200-…
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More of the Same for AUD/CAD

fxsurprise8 Publié 31 mai comme Analyse sur AUD/CAD, Cible: 0.9466, Date: 1 de juillet, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #CAD #Oil #AUD/CAD #Commodities #Gold #Australian Dollar #Canadian Dollar #Metals #Commodity Currencies
May has been fairly uneventful for the AUD/CAD currency pair. While we had a relatively large range of over 300 pips, we just closed the month at 0.9466, only 69 pips away from the open.
On a long-term perspective (monthly chart below), we can see that the AUD/CAD just ended a period of high volatility. While one month of indecisiveness is good, on the chart we can see that these calming periods usually last much longer, multiple months and even years sometimes.
Both the AUD and CAD are commodit…
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fxsurprise8 1 juillet

A slow climb higher. This is how June can be characterized in the AUD/CAD. We opened the month around 0.9470 and we're currently quoted almost 200 pips higher at 0.9648.

The total monthly range is still high (>300 pips) but most of that was a Brexit-related spike that is slowly being eaten away. With the contest closing soon, I will need a sharp sell-off in this pair in order to hit my forecast.

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