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Dollar up to 98.50 as sterling and euro lose

Dollar yen got a bit nervy in the seconds leading up to the release, falling to 98.06 but then found it’s stride and has pooped up to 98.50, The euro popped to 1.3785 then dropped to 1.3728. Cable has fallen to 1.6025 but has held ahead of support at 1.6020.
Having done a quick text comparison from last months meeting there’s nothing of note between the texts so it’s business as usual. Nothing on the shutdown or Washington shenanigans and I think they may use this card at a later stage like next…
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Some counterintuitive market moves

Some counterintuitive moves since the deal was announced are a warning signHere’s the list:
  • Dollar falling
  • Gold rising
  • Stocks flat or down a tad
The market saw this coming last Wednesday and began buying USD/JPY, other yen crosses, Aussie, stocks and selling gold. At this point, the result shouldn’t be a surprise for anyone and it was a signal to take profits if you made the trade a few days ago.It’s a good time to look at the technicals to see what’s weak, strong and what needs a pullback.
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Nadin5794 avatar

good advice

seediee avatar
seediee 18 Oct

Thank you anna! :)

jezz avatar
jezz 18 Oct

This morning's advice - TP!

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The dollar will slowly lose reserve status but not for

The Telegraph nicely sums up the long-term implications of the fiscal impasse in Washington in a story that’s being passed around. A deal is close but it’s a limited can kicking exercise and with a Congress increasingly filled with zealots, it’s impossible to imagine the near-future with a properly functioning Congress. It’s also impossible to envision a future where the dollar is a more-dominant currency; instead it will gradually lose influence (and value).
Politics are grabbing the headlines …
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Future volatility trends in major currency pairs.

One of the fascinations for market watchers, is looking at a price ahead of an `important` piece of news, and the subsequent price action following publication, that is, how much of the real number is already `in the price`. The anticipation of certain statistics is one thing, but on a more macro level, there are times when certain assumptions gradually creep into market thinking, and it is always useful to review these.
Cable has been one of the best performers on the world currency stage recen…
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The US $, and the US economy after the shut down

The fact that the US government has been forced in to this closure by a small group of Republicans is extraordinary when looked at from outside. I am in no position to say who is right and who is wrong in this debate, but one would have hoped that somehow, the national interest would have overcome political posturing before committing to this action. Perhaps the President was too forceful in his speech before the vote, in seemingly leaving no room for debate – and perhaps that hardened the attit…
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RBA Edwards: "I want to see a lower dollar"

From the Australian Financial Review (gated) overnight: Dollar rise frustrates RBA board
Reserve Bank of Australia board ­member John Edwards speaking about the US Federal Reserve decision not to start to ‘taper’, which saw the Australian dollar to a three-month high:
“I want to see a lower dollar and it’s going to take us longer to get there – so it’s not great,” said Dr Edwar…
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diamondlife76 avatar

знакомая монетка, в моей коллекции она тоже есть)

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How the GDP will affect the USD/JPY?

The USD/JPY and the GDP: How Will it Affect this Currency Pair? The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of a country refers to a country’s total economic output. The number reflects the total production, income and consumption from different sectors that include manufacturing, services, agriculture, mining, and numerous other areas. To get the most accurate result, population growth, inflation and deflation should ideally be considered in the total. For example, if the population growth increases prop…
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Haynes6EU avatar

Follow your post. Good analysis :)

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Traders expect Fed taper will bring US dollar strength

I get the eerie feeling that one side of the boat is too crowded after reading the latest Reuters poll of 60 currency strategists. 43 of 54 currency watchers in the poll saw the dollar index higher in the near-term if the Fed announces a reduction in monthly stimulus at its Sept. 17-18 meeting. Two said it will be unchanged and nine said it would be lower. The poll also pointed to near-term euro weakness with 39 of 54 analysts expecting declines. Read the full story here
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Haynes6EU avatar

Thanks for share

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