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Durden的博客

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden 发布28 1月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.51717, 日期: 1 于 3月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.23122 4.51717 4.56302

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.56302 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISIO…
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3 意见
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Durden 31 1月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 2月

German Factory Orders release at -0.7 %  can support the bearish dynamics and the bearish forecast for the US session.

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Durden 23 2月

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  sellers market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime.  The chart analysis and the Standard dev analysis are coherent with a EUR/PLN bearish market. The possibility of Brexit can support the bearish dynamics of the EU area.

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SLIGHTLY BULLISH

Durden 发布24 11月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.2790, 日期: 1 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.21008 4.27902 4.29681

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.29681 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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3 意见
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Durden 24 11月

EUR  is in a trendless  regime against the PLN counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a 0.1  % at the Asian session.  German Index are coherent with a slightly bullish forecast

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Durden 30 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN    can have a  -0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 12月

The EUR/PLN pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision could facilitate the barish EUR regime

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SLIGHTLY BULLISH

Durden 发布30 10月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.2999, 日期: 1 于 12月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.21293 4.27219 4.29985 4.35318

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.35318 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily…
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4 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 3 11月

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The Euro zone monetary policy can facilitate the selling regime.  The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair EUR/PLN can have a - 0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 12 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN pattern  can have a  -0.8  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 11月

Economic  German releases support the slightly bullish forecast.    The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair EUR/PLN  can have a 0.3 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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Durden 30 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden 发布30 9月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.2464, 日期: 2 于 11月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.1799 - 4.2303 - 4.27187

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.27187 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISI…
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3 意见
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 10月

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

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Durden 2 10月

The EUR/PLN  is in a slightly bullish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.7 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 10月

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.2% of the EUR pair again the PLN counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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Triangle Pattern

Durden 发布31 8月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.2498, 日期: 1 于 10月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.0908 - 4.2498 - 4.3008

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.3008 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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2 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 3 9月

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/PLN as a correlated pair probably could privilege a bullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/PLN.

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Durden 15 9月

The EUR/PLN chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

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Triangle Pattern

Durden 发布31 7月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.1897, 日期: 1 于 9月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.15692 - 4.1897 - 4.21931 - 4.24804

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.15692 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
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3 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 23 8月

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade.
The RSI instead could privilege a no trend forecast

Durden avatar
Durden 27 8月

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the EUR/PLN  chart indicates a bullish side propency .

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Durden 31 8月

The pair pattern is in a slightly sell side market trend.
The RSI and the Hidden markov processes suggest the possibility of a bearish forecast.

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Bearish EUR-PLN

Durden 发布15 3月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.0870, 日期: 1 于 5月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Volume
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume
Key price levels : 4.081 - 4.1002
Weekly Charts pattern : Bearish
Weekly Vision
EUR/PLN is in bearish trend from around 12/2015 , the support line have the rebounce at 01/2015, the pair is with a volatility around 0.0182 in W1 chart and with an RSI that suggest the bearish domination. This indicators support the theory of a possible trendless zone around the level line at 4.08 . A distinct bullish trend in the pattern of the triangle could enforce a new dire…
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2 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 26 4月

The pair shows a bullish retracement and a great accuracy with the forecast pattern. The Greexin possibility and the German data can lead the pair objective to the forecast level price. The chart analysis, the RSI and  the crossing of the resistance line leading also to a bullish vision that can improve the accuracy of the technical analysis.

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Durden 1 5月

The pair shows the demand gain with the stochastic processes analysis that support the trend. The Grexit could facilitate a bearish retracement but in this context the trend seems to support the forecast.

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Aymmetric triangle formation on EUR/PLN

Durden 发布26 8月 为分析在 EUR/PLN , Target: 4.171, 日期: 1 于 10月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Fibonacci #Triangle #Trendless #EUR/PLN
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume
Key price levels : 4.18502-4.17053-4.15349
Weekly Charts pattern : Asymmetric triangle formation, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
EUR/PLN has been consolidating inside a triangle pattern from around 02/2009, the support line is sepported by the rebounce at 12/2011, 07/2013 the pair is with a volatility around 0.0069 in W1 chart and with an RSI of 52.698. This indicators support the theory of a possible trendless zone around the resistance lin…
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1 意见
ANABEVZ avatar
ANABEVZ 26 8月

Good !)

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