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Cable's price action looks quite familiar and it's a fractal of the 1992-2000 price action (see Figure 1). We can see that the massive sell off in the 90's resemble the sell off that we had in 2007-2008 and going forward both sell offs have seen a 66 months retracement. Not only that the price action looks similar but also time wise this fractal looks similar. This fractal will suggest that eventually we'll have to see another major swing low below 1.3490 before the market to enter in the next p…
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Tulip Mania vs Bitcoin Mania
At beginning of the year I've made a big statement saying that Bitcoin is on a verge of major sell of. I was bearish on bitcoin because it was following the price action of Tulip Bulbs from 1634-1637. You can find that post here: How Fractals Can Explain Market Movements
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USD/JPY Time for Some Consolidation
In Figure 1 you can see the USD/JPY quarterly chart, and being able to see the bigger picture it gives you another perspective that USD/JPY has not gone up as much as you would have thought, and that it's just the beginning of a multi-year bull market.
- Figure 1. USD/JPY Quarterly chart.
How Fractals can Explain Market Movements
Although I'm using many tools to forecast the market by far the most interesting approach I'm using is Fractals. There are many ways to skin a cat and that certainly applies to market analysis methods as well. There are no guarantees when it comes to defining price movements but in my humble opinion the most interesting approach a trader can apply is the philosophy that a market is fractal in nature. Fractals not only that can explain price movement but it can give you a road map, so to speak, …
Fiber: Head&Shoulder within an Head&Shoulder; Ultimate Reversal Pattern
On Feb 1st we have established a swing point and developed a minor H&S top. (Fig1. see blue circle). Using fractal analysis we can see the H&S pattern is expending on a much bigger scale on the daily chart.(Fig1. see red circle) The market is currently developing the right shoulder. We have an Head&Shoulder within an Head&Shoulder; an Ultimate Reversal Pattern. From here we should see a minor consolidation top right shoulder develop, which should spike up into 1.3200 50% retracement from the 1.3…