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Forex Americas wrap: Nowotny cracks the whipsaw

annatimone Опубликовано 29 Окт. в #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #USD #Trading #Forex #Oil #Fx #Fed #America #Golf

Forex headlines for October 29, 2013:
• US retail sales Sept -0.1% vs 0.1% expected
• Retail sales control group +0.5% vs 0.4%
• ECB’s Nowotny: No realistic prospect of refi or deposit rate cut
• US October consumer confidence 71.2 vs 75.0 expected
• US Case-Shiller house price index +12.82% y/y vs 12.5%
• US Aug business inventories +0.3% vs +0.3%
• Carney says BOE won’t tighten until ‘real trajectory’ in recovery
• …

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S and P 500 keeps climbing higher

annatimone Опубликовано 18 Окт. в #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #AUD #JPY #USD #Trading #Forex #Fx #S P

S&P 500 keeps climbing higher, USD/JPY along for the rideThe FX market has been lackluster today. Everything except for AUD/USD (up a whopping 34 pips) is within a dozen pips of opening levels.
USD/JPY has pulled back to unchanged on the day as stocks continue to rip higher. The S&P 500 is up 9 points to a record 1742. It’s gained nearly 6% from the lows last week.

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Why the US dollar is sinking today

annatimone Опубликовано 17 Окт. в #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #USD #Trading #Fx #Market #Economy #Fomc #Us Dollar #Shutdown

The market was reluctant to price in the lack of a taper, until now.
Over the course of the fiscal impasse it became clear the Fed wouldn’t taper in October and probably not December. The market shifted to the January FOMC as a date but with the new government shutdown deadline at January 15, even that’s in question. Some prominent market watchers are even talking about June 2014 for the first taper.
None of this is a surprise but the FX market was unable to sell the dollar until now. Before, th…

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The US $, and the US economy after the shut down

annatimone Опубликовано 1 Окт. в #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #USD #Dollar #Forex #Fx #Congress #Us Economy #Government

The fact that the US government has been forced in to this closure by a small group of Republicans is extraordinary when looked at from outside. I am in no position to say who is right and who is wrong in this debate, but one would have hoped that somehow, the national interest would have overcome political posturing before committing to this action. Perhaps the President was too forceful in his speech before the vote, in seemingly leaving no room for debate – and perhaps that hardened the attit…

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FX majors – year end predictions.

annatimone Опубликовано 26 Сент. в #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #USD #Forex #Nfp #Euro #Fx #Market

There is no disguising it, things are quiet in the FX market. We are reacting to key events and stats, and after having our `fix` of vol, we sit back, over analyse minor data, and wait for the next `hit` to come; don`t fret – NFP time soon!!
I would like to take a slightly longer term view of the majors, and look at what might be, by year end.
My overall theme is for a stronger dollar, and for £ to weaken perhaps to the mid 1.50`s, and for the Euro to come down to the mid 1.20`s. This would of c…

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Cannot figure out EUR/USD? Try vodka!

annatimone Опубликовано 13 Сент. в #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #Trading #Forex #Currency #Fx #EUR/USD #Vodka #Puzzle

Here’s an interesting article, and if you like FX and the odd drink, you’re gonna love it!

The idea to be tested was that drinking alcohol can help to solve problems.
To test this, study participants were given bagels and a couple of vodka-and-cranberries, and then asked to solve puzzles
The results showed that participants were better at solving the puzzles after the cocktails

The current experiment tested the effects of moderate alcohol intoxication on a common creative problem solving task, th…

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Блог annatimone

Forex Americas wrap: Nowotny cracks the whipsaw

S and P 500 keeps climbing higher

Why the US dollar is sinking today

The US $, and the US economy after the shut down

FX majors – year end predictions.

Cannot figure out EUR/USD? Try vodka!