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Durden的博客

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden 发布21 2月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 145.667, 日期: 2 于 4月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The involved statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
No unequivocable direction with the statistical computation. The SD and Volume give expression of a buy dynamics.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and it is not so easy investigate
specific zones of Supp…
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12 意见
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Durden 28 3月

Analizzando la coppia dal punto di vista statistico, avere una notevole probabilità di profitto  una trade in sell.
Per aggiungere un criterio di filtro si può valutare se i volumi in 5 Min siano superiori della media a 10.

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Durden 30 3月

Studi su modelli HMM  integrati con la pendenza delle medie a 9 e 100 su tf a 5 Min possono suggerire dinamiche bullish

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Durden 31 3月

MACD e STDEV insieme con le analisi markoviane sembrano suggerire un regime bullish


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Durden 1 4月

Le analisi statistiche degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H1 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A sostegno gli indicatori sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 62% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  01 April 2018 22:15.

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Durden 2 4月

Inclinazioni per una dinamica rialzista, possibilità di buy su rimbalzi a media a 20 .
Volumi non coerentissimi con la partenza di nuovi regimi rialzisti di una determinata consistenza
 

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BULLISH DYNAMICS

Durden 发布18 1月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 154.682, 日期: 1 于 3月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders interested in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some suggestions reading the book Hidden Markov Models in Finance, Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
The currency is graphically treated in a bullish dynamics with the Hidden tipology of Markov Models (HMM) indicates a possible resistance area at around 146 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 136 Pips …
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8 意见
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Durden 24 2月

La coppia  può manifestare una lateralizzazione. 
HMM e RSI sembrano suggerire una possibile fase di indecisione o marginalmente bearish.

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Durden 26 2月

La valutazione delle inclinazioni delle MA 8, 15, 89
caratterizzanti i regimi statistici della coppia attualmente (19:12:56 nei TF 30 Min
suggeriscono dei regimi di bearish.
Le analisi sui volumi possono affermare 
al regime di Sell o laterale.

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Durden 27 2月

I grafici dei prezzi  alle  10:15  sembrano far convergere un criterio
  di tipo sell.
Lo studio dei modelli Hidden Markov consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H5 risulta possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
18.00 questo unito a un valore di RSI di 90.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 28 2月

I grafici  denotano una  predominanza di tipo bullish. Le analisi  HMM sembrano invece propendere per una fase di lateralizzazione.

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Durden 1 3月

Indicazione bullish con lo studio dei processi hidden, dal punto di vista grafico invece si potrebbero  suggerire  delle possibili lateralizzazioni.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 09:30:00 in buy  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.33 STDEV.

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NO REGIME

Durden 发布25 5月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 141.777, 日期: 3 于 7月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS :
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The GBP/JPY pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 148.92 zone. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest a bearish retracement.
Daily …
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6 意见
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Durden 15 6月

Hidden Markov Models coherently bearish with a JPY retracement.

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foreignexchange 27 6月

Technical analysis with possibility of bullish retracement ?

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Durden 27 6月

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis can evaluate the BUY dynamics but political could dominate

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Durden 28 6月

No regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with chart analysis bullish analysis

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Durden 30 6月

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a bullish regime.
The HMM analysis isfor a selling retracement

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden 发布31 12月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 182.831, 日期: 1 于 2月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP #JPY #GBP/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
[b]INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
[/b]

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 177.322 182.831 186.987 195.732

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/JPY pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with a support zone at 177.322. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest …
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3 意见
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Durden 14 1月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  no bias  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair GBP/JPY  can have a  + 0.002  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 28 1月

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly  bullish regime.
The GBP/JPY  pair  can have a + 0.8  %  at the Asian session opening. 
The Oil drivers forecast correlated with the GBP economy  could support a little bearish tendency for the pair.

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Durden 31 1月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/JPY  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden 发布24 11月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 187.0887, 日期: 1 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP #JPY #GBP/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 179.897 181.293 187.086 195.208

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/JPY pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 195.329. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can sugg…
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3 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 24 11月

GBP is in a bearish regime against the JPY counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a - 0.8 % at the Asian session.

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Durden 30 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/JPY  can have a  -0.01 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 12月

The  GBP/JPY pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden 发布30 10月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 192.0910, 日期: 1 于 12月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP #JPY #GBP/JPY #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 176.297 180.700 192.091 196.030

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/JPY pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 196.030. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can sugge…
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4 意见
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Durden 3 11月

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.      The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair GBP/JPY can have a + 0.3  % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 12 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  GBP/JPY can have a  0.08 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 11月

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime.      The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair GBP/JPY  can have a  -0.7 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 30 11月

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  GBP/JPY  can have a  -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden 发布30 9月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 180.2890, 日期: 2 于 11月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP #JPY #GBP/JPY #Volatility #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 175.808 - 180.289 - 195.329

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/JPY pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 195.329. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest …
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3 意见
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 10月

Great analysis.  a roma nord ?

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Durden 2 10月

The GBP/JPY  is in a bearish regime. The JPY positive bias can be improved  by the CFTC JPY speculative net positions release. The hidden state target is evaluated at -0.8 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 10月

The pair shows a bullish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the +0.3% of the GBP pair again the JPY counterpart.
GBP  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime.

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GBP/CHF Slightly Bullish

Durden 发布27 8月 为分析在 GBP/JPY , Target: 174.8420, 日期: 1 于 10月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #GBP/JPY #Bullish #Rsi #Slightly #Uptrend
Indicators: RSI, Volatility

Key price levels : 175.329-174.842-171.197
Weekly Vision
GBP/CHF seems to continue its bullish trend within an aymmetric channel. The pair rebounces at 168.697 and 171.197 on the support line. The slightly bullish trend started approximately at 02/2014 after a changing in the slope of the M1 chart trend. The Standard Deviation at 0.5569 could support a lightly bullish trend hypothesis.
Figure 1 exhibits the Standard Deviation and the trendlines.
…
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