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More of the Same for AUD/CAD

May has been fairly uneventful for the AUD/CAD currency pair. While we had a relatively large range of over 300 pips, we just closed the month at 0.9466, only 69 pips away from the open.
On a long-term perspective (monthly chart below), we can see that the AUD/CAD just ended a period of high volatility. While one month of indecisiveness is good, on the chart we can see that these calming periods usually last much longer, multiple months and even years sometimes.
Both the AUD and CAD are commodit…
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fxsurprise8 1 juillet

A slow climb higher. This is how June can be characterized in the AUD/CAD. We opened the month around 0.9470 and we're currently quoted almost 200 pips higher at 0.9648.

The total monthly range is still high (>300 pips) but most of that was a Brexit-related spike that is slowly being eaten away. With the contest closing soon, I will need a sharp sell-off in this pair in order to hit my forecast.

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Gold Undecided

While Gold had a bad year, losing $55 dollars ( just under 5 percent), the losses are much smaller compared to 2013. Last year the shiny metal lost a whopping 28 percent.
Clearly this points to Gold losses moderating somewhat. While I think that the strong US dollar will eventually push prices lower, as we can see from the chart below, the metal has been hovering around 1,200 per ounce for two months. I'm not going to bet against the market.
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