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US Economic Outlook for the Near Future.

annatimone Posted 29 Oct.  in #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #USD #Trading #Trend #Inflation #Growth #Economy #Us Dollar #Us Economy #Employment
Economy•
US economic growth will be modest in 4Q 2013 and show slight acceleration in 2014. Weak consumer spending will continue due to weak consumer income growth although housing recovery will support consumer confidence. Fiscal issues will remain a negative factor. Business fixed investment is vulnerable to economic uncertainty although corporate sector has healthy balance sheets.

Interest rates•
I expect yields to rise gradually as US economy improves slowly. Recent weak employment report m…
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India is facing the battle of inflation v growth.

annatimone Posted 29 Oct.  in #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #USD #Trading #Trend #Inflation #Growth #Economy #India #Rbi
It's worth taking a look back at India, and the progress under the new(ish) Governor.
It is reassuring to note that the pressure on the currency noted back in early September has abated, with the record lows seen then, reversed by some 10%. The rebound exhibited there has also been reflected by a similar rise over the same time frame in the Sensex. Governor Rajan was only appointed on 4 September this year, so he can look back on his first 2 months as very satisfactory – but greater challenges l…
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What to expect in the second quarter?

annatimone Posted 30 July  in #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #Market #Gdp #Growth #Retail Sales #Unemployment #Rates #Us Economy #Consumer Spending
In the first quarter’s revised U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) numbers, we found consumer spending in the U.S. economy was slow, dragging U.S. economic growth lower. Going forward, I can’t help but to expect more of the same. We are already getting warnings from major financial institutions that U.S. GDP growth in the second quarter will be dismal. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc expects the U.S. economy to grow at only 0.8% in the second quarter. The Royal Bank of Scotland Group and Barclays …
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Nadin5794 30 July

Все говорят о том ,что доллар более стабилен в среднесрочной перспективе,я отношусь к этому скептически,цифры аналитики только верхушка айсберга.Социальный и политический климат в Европе несколько спокойней будет всегда ,так как союзное государство стремится к выработке компромисса не прибегая к прямой конфронтации населением с руководством(госаппаратом),боюсь что американцы уже не пойдут на компромиссы после ипотечного кризиса,реформ министерства обороны и т.д...

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annatimone 30 July

Nadia, I think you are right. Dollar in a short term will be stable against Euro and major four (Euro, Swiss, Sterling and Japanese Yen). Since, US economy was expanding over the last year and a half, and Europe being stagnated, any surprising slowdown in the US (like housing) could bring more slowdown in Europe, which in return will create a drop in Euro and Sterling.

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Nadin5794 30 July

sooner or later the inflated digits of statistics should be given to real indexes, Europe in this sense is more pragmatic...

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annatimone 1 Aug.

I agree. I often suspect that economic data/reports in the United States are fixed and not real. Generally, news in the United States is bias. If you want to get a real story, look in European media.

Nadin5794 avatar
Nadin5794 1 Aug.

today I am once again convinced that both sides of this confrontation are very unstable and it is possible to wait for anything...

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Growth....a revised, revised approach?

annatimone Updated 28 July  in #Miss Dukascopy 2013 #Inflation #Gdp #Growth #Unemployment #Data #Jobs #Government #Us Employment
The Office for National Statistics in the UK announced that second quarter growth showed an increase of 0.6% - the best growth figures since mid-2010. BUT, what does this growth figure actually mean to the wider population? The answer is very little. With other closely scrutinized numbers such as unemployment stats, and inflation figures, at least there is a relevance to peoples’ daily lives, but what about GDP?? The breakdown of this figure is where the real interest lies. The services side …
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Nadin5794 28 July

haha)) good start of week

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annatimone 28 July

:) Very optimistic..:) How was your weekend?

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Nadin5794 28 July

good and thnx for ask

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