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AUD/USD to break lower

al_dcdemo 投稿日: 2015年06月30日。分析予想通貨ペア:AUD/USD, 予想レート: 0.7275, 予想日: 3日8月, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD/USD #Fake Breakout #Range #Weakness #Easing Bias #Higher Lows #Rba Governor Stevens #May 2010 Low #Spring Pattern
Monthly chart:
As most major pairs, Aussie accelerated its decline in the first month of the year. After a bit of consolidation it convincingly broke below 0.80 level and 50.0% retracement of the 2001 to 2011 uptrend. In the following four months it traded mostly in 0.7550 - 0.7950 range, but broke higher in the end of April. The breakout proved to have been fake as the pair returned back to the range in May.
Weekly chart:
Should the downtrend resume, some demand may come in at 0.75 (level tout…
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 2015年07月25日

UPDATE 8: The latest fall stalled near January 2009 high (0.7268). Below that, 0.72 (61.8% retracement of the 2001 to 2011 uptrend, 76.4% retracement of the 2008 to 2011 rally), 0.71 (trendline drawn off of 2001 and 2008 lows) and 0.70 (big figure level) shall come into play. The pair so far failed to break back above 0.73. Further resistance is seen at the broken Monday low near 0.7325.

WallStreet6 avatar
WallStreet6 2015年07月28日

Great analysis and it could land really close to target!

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 2015年07月31日

Thanks! Yep, this one looks promising. :)

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 2015年07月31日

UPDATE 9: Aussie posted three new six-year lows this week, but none of them was able to attract sufficient orderflow to spur stronger downward momentum. The pair's range was the smallest of the seven major pairs, just over 130 pips. However, the pair spent most of the week in even smaller, 100 pip, range. This week concludes five weeks of losses and the month in which the pair lost four cents.

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 2015年08月01日

UPDATE 10: Week ahead will be important one for the pair as the RBA meets and we will be given clues as to where they are standing with regard to the monetary policy. January 2009 high (~0.7270) is the first support level to break, if the downtrend is to continue. Below that we have 76.4% retracement of the 2008 to 2011 rally (~0.7210) and 61.8% retracement of the 2001 to 2011 uptrend (~0.7180). Initial resistance may be found around 0.7350.

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GBP/NZD on its way back up to break 2

AdamFx42 投稿日: 2014年08月18日。分析予想通貨ペア:GBP/NZD, 予想レート: 1.9987, 予想日: 1日10月, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP/NZD #Higher Highs #Higher Lows #Weekly Uptrend #Fibonacci Expansion Targets
Gbp/Nzd is in a steady, but choppy uptrend and seems on its way back to 2
On the weekly chart we can see the trendline upward,
and we see that 61.8% fibonacci expansion of the previous move up has held the price down for now:
Gbp/Nzd weekly chart
On the daily chart, though, we see that the retracement now could be a low,
and that the pair is ready for a stronger move up - to break resistance of the move before;
the target of this move - if we take fibonacci expansion again - 61.8% is around prev…
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AdamFx42 avatar
AdamFx42 2014年09月02日

We are moving in the right direction - analysis seems to be right here

AdamFx42 avatar
AdamFx42 2014年09月10日

After a steep decline - to 1.93 - price is moving back up again now around 1.96,
soft data today for Nzd, and a Gbp recovery after the Scottish election is over
will lead this pair towards 2

AdamFx42 avatar
AdamFx42 2014年09月11日

Pair already testing 1.99 now - strong move up,

AdamFx42 avatar
AdamFx42 2014年09月16日

my target was hit yesterday - see if we can find another move up

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