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Durden的博客

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The bearish parallel channel AUD/SGD

Durden 发布30 5月 为分析在 AUD/SGD , Target: 1.0293, 日期: 1 于 7月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #AUD #SGD #Bearish #Rsi #Channel #AUD/SGD #Hmm #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 1.10002 - 1.08091 - 1.00098
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
AUD/SGD is moving in a downtrend parallel channel dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator, the China fundamentals analysis and theStandard Deviation analysis.
Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that AUD/SGD retraced at the resistance line . This crossing can …
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1 意见
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foreignexchange 30 6月

Great analysis : )

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Bearish on AUDCAD

Durden 发布23 5月 为分析在 AUD/CAD , Target: 0.9508, 日期: 1 于 7月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #AUD #CAD #Volatility #AUD/CAD #Rsi #Volume #Hmm
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.0002 - 0.96734 - 0.9500

Weekly Charts pattern : Bearish triangle , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/CAD is moving in a downtrend dynamics. The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the chart analysis and the negative Hidden Markov indicator. The China fundamentals analysis and the objective level integrated with the Volume and Standard Deviation analysis can support the bearish theory.

Daily Vision
…
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AUD/NZD parity can defeat the bearish

Durden 发布23 4月 为分析在 AUD/NZD , Target: 1.0019, 日期: 1 于 6月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #AUD/NZD #Bearish #Parity #Standard Deviation #Hmm
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.001 - 1.0499 - 1.09995

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/NZD is moving in a downtrend dynamics but with a candle crossing the resistance line . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the RSI momentum indicator , a China fundamentals analysis and a Parabolic Sar distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis.

Daily Vi…
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1 意见
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Durden 26 4月

The Australian Dollar after the China RRR at 18.50% for large creditors indicated by the PBoC can be correlated to an AUD bearish vision. This decision could lead to a Chinese regulators monetary policy that  continue to adopt  this  strategy, to support economic weakness and protect the country from the threat of deflation. The data on GDP shows the rate around 7%, since 2009 that could be considered a  bearish input in the AUD strategy.  The price at  1.02 area with the Markov processes with a 1.008 objective. The analysis could improve the accouracy.

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The Channel in USD/PLN

Durden 发布29 3月 为分析在 USD/PLN , Target: 4.0098, 日期: 1 于 5月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #PLN #USD #Volatility #USD/PLN #Volume #Hmm #Sd

Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 4.00982 - 4.1208
Weekly Charts pattern : Parallel bullish channel, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The USD/PLN currency pair can be traded considering a parallel bullish channel formed around 07/2014. The channel is characterized by a consistent number of rebounces on the support and resistance line.The stochastic hidden markov regimes and the Parabolic Sar support the possible forecast pattern inside the channel.…
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3 意见
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Durden 4 4月

The  NFP can  facilitate  a  PLN  retracement, the bullish  trend could have a  cyclic hidden  processes.
 

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Durden 12 4月

The USD  domination against the basket of major currencies  is supported by  the possible  decision  of a rise in US interest rates.
The greenback remains supported by comments on Wednesday, the President of the Federal Reserve of New York William Dudley, that the possibility of  an improvement of the rate can  be related  with  the labor market and  economic releases. 

Durden avatar
Durden 14 6月

Grexit could be a possibility to show a bearish side conquest.
The EUR investors are quite doubtuful about the greek governament decision to repay the debt.
This possibility can facilitate a recession state in the hidden markov model. In consideration of no other  statistical relevant data the stochastic theory could be a not so good indication. Anyway if the greek economy plan it is approved in EU, the hidden markov model forecast a 97 pips of retracement in consideration of the closing market price.

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The Channel in USD/ZAR

Durden 发布29 3月 为分析在 USD/ZAR , Target: 12.4989, 日期: 1 于 5月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Volatility #Rsi #USD/ZAR #Fibonacci Retracements #Volume #Hmm

Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 13.982, 13.01, 12.4982, 11.81
Weekly Charts pattern : Parallel bullish channel, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The USD/ZAR currency pair can be traded considering a parallel bullish channel formed around 05/2012. The channel is characterized by a consistent number of rebounces on the support and resistance line.The stochastic hidden markov regimes and the Parabolic Sar support the possible forecast pattern inside th…
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3 意见
Durden avatar
Durden 4 4月

HMM and the  129k NFP  could suggest  a bearish  retracement.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 4月

The USD  domination against the basket of major currencies  is supported by  the possible  decision  of a rise in US interest rates.
The greenback remains supported by comments on Wednesday, the President of the Federal Reserve of New York William Dudley, that the possibility of  an improvement of the rate can  be related  with  the labor market and  economic releases. 

Durden avatar
Durden 26 4月

The USD shows a bearish retracement leading the pair value at 12.09 zone. The US GDP can give a bullish imput to the dynamics. The chart analysis shows a possible bullish retracement started the 06/04/2015 with parallel bullish channel pattern. This geometric constrains can lead to a valid accuracy for the pair.

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