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A change of fortune for the Rupee...fingers crossed

Good news to see significant rebounds in the value of the Indian Rupee and the Sensex after the appointment of the new Governor. The currency move will have been accentuated by a nicely orchestrated piece of intervention, sensibly timed to make the most of a change in circumstances. As I have emphasised before, intervention timed like this is effective because it backs up other factors that the market consider positive, and the first actions of this technocrat Governor have provided that boost. …
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Haynes6EU avatar

Good luck :)

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Emerging Market Intervention - Devil in the Details

Now where have we heard this theme before, `India in talks with other emerging economies to intervene in offshore currency markets`?? This objective obviously has some merit, in as much as if one is convinced that intervention is still a robust strategy, then better to have a much bigger collective purse to bring to the table. The rationale presumably being that this large stock of collective reserves will be sufficient to detract would be speculators from launching an assault on an individual c…
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aslamhammad avatar

so the devil is cooking currencies :p

aslamhammad avatar

1 US dollar is around 104.45PKR today in my country Pakistan, for me it's awesome, but for local buyers it's going to be expensive, as it has reached the highest according to our yearly records :)....1usd for 1 Indian rupee==66.5, that's also peak high according to their yearly records, so USD has really strengthened in my opinion :)

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Intervention in India

I find it sad that FX intervention has to be reached for in India. When reserves are finite, and the numbers are in the public domain, it is very difficult to see this strategy working successfully on its own. Intervention can really only be justified as a viable option when it can buy time for the fundamentals that are causing the selling, to change; but, the authorities are under huge pressure to ramp up their response to the crisis, and their options are limited. OR... you could hopefully ha…
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mag avatar
mag 21 Ago

very interesting... I am preparing an article September about how necessary that is speculation.

annatimone avatar

Thank you, Marco. Definitely, let me know if there is anything I can do to help. Good luck with the article!

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