Community Blog

Filtrado por etiquetas:  Lows
Avatar

NZDUsd still stuck just above last weeks lows

I have a NzdUsd long position that may be in trouble

My NzdUsd long is stuck just above friday's lows of 0.6720
I need this pair to move up if I want any chance of regaining myself in
this month's contest
I have comitted myself to trading Nzd and Aud longs this month
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
oudeixar comentários
Avatar

DAY 7 - IDENTIFYING HIGHS & LOWS

Identifying Highs & Lows is essential part of my trading. It saves me from being on wrong side of market majority of times. Lot of traders get stuck into conventional way of drawing highs & lows, but fail to understand its not about perfection, its about understanding market pulse by taking guidance from past swings, concentrating on current price action and predicting probability of next market move.
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
oudeixar comentários
Avatar

Trying to find AUD lows

I am trying to buy the lows in the Australian dollar
I have bought AudUsd around 0.75 after it went down after the interest rate cut
I am short GbpAud and EurAud now, too
I also went long AudChf, as the pair should recover from lows
I am hoping Aud will recover (a bit) and not fall any further
We shall see
gl all
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
oudeixar comentários
Avatar

Another week to try my luck :-)

A new week in the land of trading
Most currencies are still under pressure, and may go lower this week:
Usd/Jpy, Eur/Usd, and about every cross do not look good
Because of the technical picture and gains last week,
Nzd/Usd, and Aud/Usd have a good chance of going higher, and so does Gbp/Usd - profiting from Usd pullback,
I will be trading Nzd and Aud this week, and hoping to gain some profits
gl
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
oudeixar comentários
Avatar

EUR/GBP-Falling Wedge !


Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Percent Lines,EMA:3,5,13,21,50,100,200, MACD .
Current Level : 0.8249

EUR/GBP is in a channel down formation from 2009 followed by regular retracements.The pair encounter a major resistance at Fibonacci fan lines 1 W (0.8819) level from where it continued the bearish channel. The price action is the same as last month and currently moves within 50.00% & 38.20 fibonacci fan lines levels but the general trend is bearish and will continue
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1 : EXCELENT PREDICTION:The pair  broke the wedge as predicted and  continued the rally up until 0.8401 from were  it started a  reversal. The target  was reached in this reversal , price action going only 5 pips bellow  target. Current price level is 0.8274 which is a 6 pips  (0.06%)  deviation from target. This could be my best prediction this month and from the quality and the look of it  it could actually be my best prediction ever , since i  start attending tehnical anaysis contest.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 2: Today there wasn t much activity on the market  . The pair moved in a range all day long. The Friday closing price was 0.8265  which narrowed the deviation to a remarkable 3 pips (0.03%) . This is one extraordinary prediction .TThis is definatly my best  prediction ever,since i started attending this contest. It looks good but since we have one more day i know that  by the  time  settlement is done  the deviation will be far greater. Nonetheless i am very proud of this acheivment.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 3: We only have several hours to go and this extraordinary prediction is  so close to target. Current price level is 0.8264 which  represents a 4 pips deviation  from target. Taking into consideration all  the journey of this prediction and how close  the price action developed similar to my prediction i really hope the price to hold. It is very close this time.

Metal_Mind avatar

FINAL UPDATE: The price at settlement was 0.8290 that representing a 22 pips deviation from target. Takin into consideration that this pair  was for days  only 2 -3 pips from target and also takin into consideration that extraordinary quality & layout of the prediction i can say i am dissapointed  by the result. Great prediction...but the result  just ruined it.

oudeixar comentários
Avatar

GBP/NZD-Breaking the Channel down !!

Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Elements used: Pattern Analysis Widget, EMA 3,5,13,21,50,100,Time Markers.
Current Level : 2.0084

GBP/NZD as can bee seen on the chart bellow is in a channel up pattern formation,but there is very interesting about this particular formation. If we look closely we can see that while forming this channel up the pair made 3 resistances each one higher than the other and 2 (highers low) supports . I analyze this pair for quite some time now and i see here a distinct …
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1: WRONG DIRECTION

oudeixar comentários
Avatar

GBP/NZD-Bearish Wave!


Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD.
Current Level :1.9916

GBP/NZD has started this year plummeting over 850 pips in less than half a month.In the 4 days the pair recoverd very quickly over 450 pips after Thursday 360 pips sharp bullish run.This whole period ,December & January has been a very volatile period for this pair , more than it's regular volatility. I expect the pair to recover this losses in the following period but gradua
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
Atashi_Tada avatar

good luck :)

Metal_Mind avatar

thanks Atashi!!

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1; Curent deviation 200 pips.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 2: Current price level is 1.9953 the deviation narrowed from 200 to 180 pips deviation but this is still very far and with only one day to go the target is far.

oudeixar comentários
Avatar

GBP/CHF -Dance higher & lower bypassing range.

Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements ,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD .
Current Level : 1.4505

GBP/CHF
has a pretty interesting set-up right now.There were some signs last month that looked like the pair will brake lower forming a bearish trend but all the worries has vanished now. We have a very strong support zone at (1.4040) level from which the price has only moved higher forming higher highs & higher lows.The 1.4816 level is a pretty important le
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1: EXCELETNT PREDICTION. Current price level is 1.4886 which is 70 pips above the target. The target has been reached already and the price action completed the bull run that i predicted. We will see what happens.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 2: This pair has moved in a bit of a range , mainly after breaking the 1.51 price level. Current price level is 1.4882 which is 66 pips deviation above my target. If we take a look at the chart this pair is definatly heading up so this is not good for my target. I just hope for small activity tommorow and a stronger ''swiss franc'' against the ''pound''

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 2: This pair has moved in a bit of a range , mainly after breaking the 1.51 price level. Current price level is 1.4882 which is 66 pips deviation above my target. If we take a look at the chart this pair is definatly heading up so this is not good for my target. I just hope for small activity tommorow and a stronger ''swiss franc'' against the ''pound''

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 3: With 15 minutes to go the current price level is very close. Current level is 1.4774. The target has been already reached in the large sell trend. The deviation is only 42 pips, and if the pair starts a retracement this prediction could be extremly close to target.No matter the result this prediction is trully a great one.The price action developed similary with my prediction.

Metal_Mind avatar

FINAL UPDATE : The settlement price was 1.4769 meaning a 47 pips deviation .0.47%.

oudeixar comentários
Avatar

AUD/JPY - Bearish Correction !



Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 92.95
[color=#000000]AUD/JPY
[/color]
pair is set in a bullish channel for quite a while. We have several higher highs in place and higher lows. On the chart bellow on previos support we can see that there are some similarities between the 2 larger waves and minor waves. On the previous minor waves we can see that it has retraced from the 50.00% fibonacci retracement line and
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1: This prediction is extremly accurate. The bearish correction occured as predicted and the target was reached 2 times already once in the bearish wave and now on the bullish retracement. Current price level is 93.06 which is only 11 pips deviation above the 92.95 target level. This one will be very close.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 2: The made a swing high yesterday .Current price level is 93.18 which is 23 pips deviation from the target. Nonetheless the prediction is very close and could be proven really accurate.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 3:There were some moves in the markets today. Current price level is 93.57 which is 60 pips deviation from target.

Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 4:This was one of my best predictions but these market conditions seem to send the pair far beyond my target. Current price level is 93.90 which is 100 pips deviation from target.

Metal_Mind avatar

Final Update : Price at settlement was 93.31 which represents a 36 pips deviation from target.

oudeixar comentários
Avatar

AUDNZD -Third Wave !



Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 1.1188

AUD/NZD is in a bearish trend for quite a while now.If we look at the chart bellow we can see the pair has recently formed some bearish waves that moves within a ''range look alike pattern'' but the lower highs and lower lows tell us this is a bearish trend that we are talking about.My wiew is that another wave will occur the following month
Ler história completa
Traduzir para Inglês Mostrar original
Metal_Mind avatar

UPDATE 1 : THis prediction is very far from target. Current price level is 1.0891 which over 400 pips bellow target. The bearish move of the third wave was way stronger than anticipated.

oudeixar comentários
Mais