We have the usual hyped-up stand-off ahead of the actual announcement. Stop me if you’ve heard this before but I will be waiting to see what actually happens rather than get involved in a crap shoot prior ( and I choose my sporting reference carefully!) The minutes from the last meeting showed the decision not to taper was a close call but the relevance of this stance has since been reduced/dismissed given the partial US govt shut-down and the less than accurate data releases since then. So to t…
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The unstoppable stock market machine: A bubble or a lack of technicals?
I was thinking to myself over the weekend about the situation in stocks. A huge part of trading is technical analysis and it’s general ability to become a self fulfilling prophecy. If everyone is trading off the same levels then it adds depth and definition to the market. Take stock markets at all time highs, what if there is no tech? How do all the tech heads trade against a trend or find levels to enter into the market, e…
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Of course, it's all relative given what goes on around the rest of the world but the UK is tonight expecting the some of the worst weather since the devastating storms of 1987. It’s all expected to kick off around midnight and last through the morning, and as I type this in the wilds of the Kent countryside the winds are already definitely picking up. Reports are that no commuter trains will run until after 08.00 tomorrow while rail companies check that the lines are safe. This will definitely a…
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I was reading an interesting article on what researchers are learning from big data on how shoppers behave. Buying and selling in financial markets isn’t much different from the grocery store in many ways so there are plenty of lessons to take away. This one, in particular, was striking. Many generic drugs are identical to name-brand medicine so it’s a great place to study why consumers prefer one over the other. The main theory was that people didn’t understand that Aspirin is just acetylsalic…
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I'm very lucky to compete with such beautiful and talented women for the title of Miss. Dukascopy. I know you are all very talent. However, my talent is probably different than yours. When I do market reports for RBC-TV to cover US markets, I'm a "part time" television personality . Maybe to some of you this is not a talent, but to me it takes a lot of skill, strength, preparation, brains, personality and bravery to do it. Also, because I want to do it right and to br…
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The key inflation reports have also been rescheduled but a number of data points are still without a time. The main one is retail sales but factory orders, trade balance industrial production, housing starts and the CFTC positioning data still have no set time. I’ll keep an eye out for any changes but for now, existing home sales are the only thing on the US calendar for Monday.
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As someone who has recently starting seeing a massage therapist more often than her own family, I can personally attest to the dangers of being a professional sitter. Yes, I already knew I needed to stand up more, but is sadly harder to put into practice than it should be-but what other habits can you put into place for a longer, healthier life? So, here it is: 7 Unexpected Ways to Improve Your Life! 1. Lower your bedroom temperature: Even if it's not the most comfortable thing to do…
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The market was reluctant to price in the lack of a taper, until now. Over the course of the fiscal impasse it became clear the Fed wouldn’t taper in October and probably not December. The market shifted to the January FOMC as a date but with the new government shutdown deadline at January 15, even that’s in question. Some prominent market watchers are even talking about June 2014 for the first taper. None of this is a surprise but the FX market was unable to sell the dollar until now. Before, th…
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The dollar’s failure to continue the rally as yesterdays deal unfolded was the sign of things to come. The Dagong downgrade just added to what was already happening. The threat of downgrades have been well publicised all the way through the debt crisis and despite the deal they may still happen. The ratings agencies weren’t just hanging on the deal but the way the US dealt with it. It wouldn’t surprise me to see another downgrade hit the wires. Fitch has already put the US on a warning and the o…
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