ECB would do well to keep rates on hold. For now.
After yesterdays belated market focus on the underlying problems in managing a single strategy for the whole eurozone, it put into sharp focus the policy options facing the ECB. The west has had a ferocious and deadly enemy for the last 40 years, and it was called inflation. All the ammunition and strategy has been directed towards killing this enemy, and the threat has – for the while – gone away. While this battle has been raging however, a new…