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fxsurprise8's Blog

fxsurprise8's Blog

Slow Recovery Underway in NZD/USD

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Mar. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.7339 , Date: 1 von May, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #Rally #NZD/USD #Us Dollar #Kiwi #Recovery #Uptrend #Momentum

A slow recovery is underway in the Kiwi. As we can see from our first chart below, prices bottomed out in August of last year and since then we’ve been going up slowly.
Recently that trend hit a small bump in road as general risk aversion across all markets led to NZD selling. The Kiwi gets sold because it’s a risk-on currency, people hold it for carry and unwind these trades during bad times.
Nonetheless as we can see on the second daily chart below, the trend seems to be back up! Prices only…

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Kiwi in Bullish Trend

fxsurprise8 Posted 28 Feb. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.7471, Date: 3 von April, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #Bullish #NZD/USD #Us Dollar #Moving Average #Average True Range #50 Ema #25 Ema

The Kiwi has entered a bullish trend. On our first chart below we see that the 25 day (in blue) and 50 day (in red) exponential moving averages are trending higher, with the 25 above the 50 EMA. This indicates that a bullish trend has commenced in this currency pair.
But just how far can this rally go? The 20 month Average True Range is currently at 370 pips. But of course this is the high to low range, not the open to close range we need to estimate a target.
I’ll be placing my forecast just be…

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Kiwi Could be Bottoming Out

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Dec. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.7471, Date: 1 von February, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #NZD/USD #Us Dollar #Bottom #Kiwi #Momentum #Stochastic #Average True Range

The New Zealand Dollar could be bottoming out. First let’s take a look at the daily chart. Here we see that the Stochastic Oscillator dipped below the 20 oversold level three bars ago. We’re now rallying from these lows and we closed back above 20, indicating a bullish condition.
Our second chart below shows that the momentum during the past few days has been strongly up, with little to no retracement. This confirms what the longer-term charts are saying.
I’ll be placing my target just below t…

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New Zealand Dollar to Rally Further

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Nov. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.7439, Date: 2 von January, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #Trendline #Rally #NZD/USD #Us Dollar #Kiwi #Uptrend #New Zealand Dollar

The New Zealand Dollar is having a good year. The currency is up by 259 pips against the U.S. Dollar since January 1st. On our first chart below we see that after bottoming out in the middle of last year, it’s been a slow but steady grind higher.
This is confirmed further by looking at lower timeframe chart. Below we see the same momentum higher on the 4 Hour chart. I expect this to continue into year-end. The post-election USD rally seems to be exhausting itself and this should benefit my long …

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Large Gains for the Kiwi

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.7381, Date: 1 von June, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD #NZD/USD #Us Dollar #Kiwi #Recovery #New Zealand #Bounce #New Zealand Dollar

The NZD/USD spent most of last year in the dulldrums. The currency fell from 0.7800 to a low of 0.6071 before retracing somewhat. We are currently quoted at 0.6980.
But there are signs that a recovery is under way. On the chart below we can see that the NZD/USD has just cleared an important resistance area around 0.6900. After two-three false breaks, we're finally leaving this resistance behind.
I'm placing my bet on 0.7381, this is around 400 pips away from the current price. The average monthl…

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Kiwi Stuck at 0.8500

fxsurprise8 Posted 1 Aug. as Analysis on NZD/USD, Target: 0.8504, Date: 1 von October, 12:00 GMT in #Technical analysis #NZD/USD

The Kiwi is trading neither here nor there. The trend, as indicated by the daily chart below, is clearly up.
The momentum however, as can be seen from the other chart below is down. Prices have fallen 330 pips in the last three days alone. This in my opinion is unsustainable, the fall is too far, too fast. It is a matter of time until bulls step in and correct the fall. I'm betting on the Kiwi remaining locked in between the longterm trend and the short term momentum.

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