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USD/CAD to pull back before continuation higher

al_dcdemo Publié 30 déc comme Analyse sur USD/CAD, Cible: 1.3925, Date: 1 de février, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #Oil #USD/CAD #Confluence #New High #Uptrend #Pullback #Strong Rally #Major Levels #Upside Potential
Monthly chart
The pair is in uptrend since 2011. It broke above 38.2% retracement (of the 2002 to 2007 decline) in January and then traded around 50.0% retracement for nearly three months. In April, the pair pulled back deep enough to clear stops below 1.20. The confluence of the broken trendline (drawn off 2003, 2004 and 2009 highs) and 38.2% retracement wasn't even properly retested before the pair resumed the uptrend, touching 1.40 level in December.
Weekly chart
Since revisiting 1.20 level …
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al_dcdemo 11 jan

UPDATE 5: There was quite a lot of movement for a Monday right after the open. Moves across major pairs were similar with the dollar gaining against higher yielding currencies and losing against lower yielding ones. The moves were then more or less reversed. Loonie appears to have been the quietest of the bunch as its overnight range was barely more than 30 pips.

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al_dcdemo 12 jan

UPDATE 6: Loonie continues to trend up strongly and has broken to a new high in five out of six completed trading days this year. Yesterday, it reversed from the dip and proceeded to break July 2003 high, making it to the highs not seen for thirteen years. 76.4% retracement of the 2002 to 2007 decline is the next target, reinforced by the big figure level at 1.45 and backed by the March 2003 low (~1.4580). Pullbacks have been shallow but, in case of a deeper correction, area around 1.35 (September 2015 high) may be the first candidate for support.

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al_dcdemo 18 jan

UPDATE 7: Currencies opened the week with with risk-off gaps: euro, franc and yen gained about 10 pips, pound lost a couple of pips while commodity currencies lost 20-60 pips. All gaps have been already closed as risk sentiment improved. U.S. banks will be closed today in observance of Martin Luther King Day - that means thin liquidity and tight ranges but not without a possibility of an outsized move.

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al_dcdemo 21 jan

UPDATE 8: Contrary to what many expected, BOC held the overnight rate at 0.50%. Canadian dollar weakened a lot in anticipation of their move and was bought heavily after the decision. The pair (USD/CAD) was marked down immediately but it turned around swiftly and retested pre-meeting range in anticipation of a dovish press conference. That never came and the pair continued lower, leaving a big reversal candle on the daily chart.

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al_dcdemo 25 jan

UPDATE 9: Major currencies opened with gaps again but this time around with smallish ones in what appears to be the quietest open so far this year. Improvement in risk sentiment seemed to come after China managed to stabilize its currency and stock market. Given the magnitude of the bounce in stocks, oil and risk sensitive currency pairs it seems that an interim bottom may be in place. However, all macroeconomic themes are still ongoing, so it may be too early to speak of a reversal.

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GBP USD able to make a new high ?

keeong Publier 6 oct  dans #USD #Bullish #Gbpusd #Pounsterling #New High
In the second week , GBP USD seems sttil able to achieve new high, but the price is corrected to 1.5919.-1.5779 .Target in the october 2013 is the range 1.64-1.66
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