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NZDCAD to resume it's bearish trend

This Analysis is a continuation from the April technical analysis submission.
The same wave count is still valid, and the downtrend has not completed as of yet. The Gartley pattern has played, but the count suggests the down trend will continue.
Levels
0.89495 - Daily Support/Resistance
0.86990 - Major Resistance - First half 2013 & Support 2014
0.84209 - Gartley pattern and weekly support
0.82059 - Weekly Previous Support
0.81140 - Weekly Previous Support
The below chart was what was posted in …
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NZDCAD Daily Reversal Candlestick at Bottom of Channel

The NZD has been bearish this week after the RBNZ in a statement following the cash rate commented on intentions of cutting rates if inflation and related data does not improve. This coming after just a few months ago, it was largely expected by the markets that the RBNZ would continue their rate hike cycle.
The NZDCAD has sold off to the bottom of it's daily channel. Although there should be selling pressure after this recent news event, the pair has been on a monthly uptrend since the start of…
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NZDCAD Topping at Monthly Highs

Overview

The Long term Monthly count on NZDCAD, shows a structure to the upside has completed. The up move started in Jan 2009, and has done a corrective move up to complete in the 0.9630 area.
In the past month, the pair saw sellers come in strong once again as the pair approached highs near the 0.9600 level, and looks like it may be ending the month off forming a doji, or in another words, a potential reversal candle.
Levels
0.9628 - March 2014 high / Multi Year highs
0.9459 - Weekly Support …
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Jignesh 26 Apr.

In the last week, the pair has taken out the support at 9320 and continued it's slide all the way down to a low of 9162.  Weekly support marked above at 9207 was briefly taken out on the 4H, but the daily chart failed to close below and showed a pinbar formation.  We can see the pair pullback a bit here.  The week has closed off at 9251.    This week's upside potential should be capped at 9320 which previously marked support, should now act as strong resistance and an area where seller's should step in.

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Jignesh 28 Apr.

The pair is currently trading at the day's highs after an impressive single day gain.  Currently hovering around 9305, the pair shows it can still extend higher towards the 9320 resistance zone.  Daily close would need to remain below this level for some downside pressure over the next few days

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Jignesh 29 Apr.

The pair held the upside resistance and caught sellers just ahead of 9320.  The Daily candle looks to be setting up as a bearish engulfing candle so far, which supports the idea of follow through.  There is some risk event on the docket with an official cash rate & statement from the RBNZ in just a few hours.  The event has the capability of moving the pair down significantly through the 9207 support level in the case of a rate cut.  In the case of a status quo statement, the technical setup can be expected to continue to play out towards the 9207 support level.

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Jignesh 30 Apr.

The pair is trading near the bottom of the channel after the RBNZ Statement gave seller's a reason to continue selling.  The 9207 Support level has been breached.  The Support level's to look at next are the bottom of the channel, 9130 which is Daily Support, and 9153 which marks the spike low on the 23rd of April..  Upside resistance remains at 9207

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Jignesh 1 May

With just 30 mins left, we take a look at the 1 Minute chart for a bit of direction.  Already, it can be seen that the 5M was trending down and has taken a bit of an upturn.  The 1 Min Elliott Wave Count indicates that the majority of the correction up has already taken place, yet one more leg to the upside is still required to satisfy the bare minimum of the correction, and call wave Y complete.  In the time left to complete, the pair has a good chance on complete the structure at the target level of 9207.

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