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SLIGHTLY BULLISH

Durden Posted 24 Nov. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.2790, Date: 1st of January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.21008 4.27902 4.29681

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.29681 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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3 Comments
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Durden 24 Nov.

EUR  is in a trendless  regime against the PLN counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a 0.1  % at the Asian session.  German Index are coherent with a slightly bullish forecast

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN    can have a  -0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 Dec.

The EUR/PLN pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision could facilitate the barish EUR regime

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SLIGHTLY BULLISH

Durden Posted 30 Oct. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.2999, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.21293 4.27219 4.29985 4.35318

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.35318 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily…
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4 Comments
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Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The Euro zone monetary policy can facilitate the selling regime.  The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair EUR/PLN can have a - 0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN pattern  can have a  -0.8  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 Nov.

Economic  German releases support the slightly bullish forecast.    The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair EUR/PLN  can have a 0.3 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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TRIANGLE PATTERN

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.2464, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.1799 - 4.2303 - 4.27187

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.27187 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISI…
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3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/PLN  is in a slightly bullish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.7 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.2% of the EUR pair again the PLN counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.2498, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.0908 - 4.2498 - 4.3008

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.3008 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION…
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2 Comments
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Durden 3 Sep.

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/PLN as a correlated pair probably could privilege a bullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/PLN.

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Durden 15 Sep.

The EUR/PLN chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

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Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.1897, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Volatility #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/PLN #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.15692 - 4.1897 - 4.21931 - 4.24804

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.15692 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
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3 Comments
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Durden 23 Aug.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade.
The RSI instead could privilege a no trend forecast

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Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the EUR/PLN  chart indicates a bullish side propency .

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Durden 31 Aug.

The pair pattern is in a slightly sell side market trend.
The RSI and the Hidden markov processes suggest the possibility of a bearish forecast.

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The Channel in USD/PLN

Durden Posted 29 Mar. as Analysis on USD/PLN, Target: 4.0098, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #PLN #USD #Volatility #USD/PLN #Volume #Hmm #Sd

Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 4.00982 - 4.1208
Weekly Charts pattern : Parallel bullish channel, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The USD/PLN currency pair can be traded considering a parallel bullish channel formed around 07/2014. The channel is characterized by a consistent number of rebounces on the support and resistance line.The stochastic hidden markov regimes and the Parabolic Sar support the possible forecast pattern inside the channel.…
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3 Comments
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Durden 4 Apr.

The  NFP can  facilitate  a  PLN  retracement, the bullish  trend could have a  cyclic hidden  processes.
 

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Durden 12 Apr.

The USD  domination against the basket of major currencies  is supported by  the possible  decision  of a rise in US interest rates.
The greenback remains supported by comments on Wednesday, the President of the Federal Reserve of New York William Dudley, that the possibility of  an improvement of the rate can  be related  with  the labor market and  economic releases. 

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Durden 14 June

Grexit could be a possibility to show a bearish side conquest.
The EUR investors are quite doubtuful about the greek governament decision to repay the debt.
This possibility can facilitate a recession state in the hidden markov model. In consideration of no other  statistical relevant data the stochastic theory could be a not so good indication. Anyway if the greek economy plan it is approved in EU, the hidden markov model forecast a 97 pips of retracement in consideration of the closing market price.

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Aymmetric triangle formation on EUR/PLN

Durden Posted 26 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/PLN, Target: 4.171, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #PLN #Fibonacci #Triangle #Trendless #EUR/PLN
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume
Key price levels : 4.18502-4.17053-4.15349
Weekly Charts pattern : Asymmetric triangle formation, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
EUR/PLN has been consolidating inside a triangle pattern from around 02/2009, the support line is sepported by the rebounce at 12/2011, 07/2013 the pair is with a volatility around 0.0069 in W1 chart and with an RSI of 52.698. This indicators support the theory of a possible trendless zone around the resistance lin…
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1 Comments
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ANABEVZ 26 Aug.

Good !)

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