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SLIGHTLY BULLISH


INDICATORS
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.21008 4.27902 4.29681

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.29681 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION
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Durden 2015年11月24日

EUR  is in a trendless  regime against the PLN counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a 0.1  % at the Asian session.  German Index are coherent with a slightly bullish forecast

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Durden 2015年11月30日

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN    can have a  -0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 2015年12月13日

The EUR/PLN pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision could facilitate the barish EUR regime

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SLIGHTLY BULLISH


INDICATORS
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.21293 4.27219 4.29985 4.35318

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 4.35318 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

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Durden 2015年11月03日

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The Euro zone monetary policy can facilitate the selling regime.  The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair EUR/PLN can have a - 0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 2015年11月12日

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN pattern  can have a  -0.8  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 2015年11月24日

Economic  German releases support the slightly bullish forecast.    The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair EUR/PLN  can have a 0.3 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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Durden 2015年11月30日

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/PLN  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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TRIANGLE PATTERN


INDICATORS
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.1799 - 4.2303 - 4.27187

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.27187 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

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foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 2015年10月01日

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

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Durden 2015年10月02日

The EUR/PLN  is in a slightly bullish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.7 % at US closing market.

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Durden 2015年10月08日

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.2% of the EUR pair again the PLN counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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Triangle Pattern


INDICATORS
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.0908 - 4.2498 - 4.3008

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.3008 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. RSI is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION
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Durden 2015年09月03日

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/PLN as a correlated pair probably could privilege a bullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/PLN.

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Durden 2015年09月15日

The EUR/PLN chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

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Triangle Pattern


INDICATORS
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 4.15692 - 4.1897 - 4.21931 - 4.24804

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/PLN pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 4.15692 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
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Durden 2015年08月23日

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade.
The RSI instead could privilege a no trend forecast

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Durden 2015年08月27日

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the EUR/PLN  chart indicates a bullish side propency .

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Durden 2015年08月31日

The pair pattern is in a slightly sell side market trend.
The RSI and the Hidden markov processes suggest the possibility of a bearish forecast.

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The Channel in USD/PLN


Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 4.00982 - 4.1208
Weekly Charts pattern : Parallel bullish channel, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The USD/PLN currency pair can be traded considering a parallel bullish channel formed around 07/2014. The channel is characterized by a consistent number of rebounces on the support and resistance line.The stochastic hidden markov regimes and the Parabolic Sar support the possible forecast pattern inside the channel.…
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Durden 2015年04月04日

The  NFP can  facilitate  a  PLN  retracement, the bullish  trend could have a  cyclic hidden  processes.
 

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Durden 2015年04月12日

The USD  domination against the basket of major currencies  is supported by  the possible  decision  of a rise in US interest rates.
The greenback remains supported by comments on Wednesday, the President of the Federal Reserve of New York William Dudley, that the possibility of  an improvement of the rate can  be related  with  the labor market and  economic releases. 

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Durden 2015年06月14日

Grexit could be a possibility to show a bearish side conquest.
The EUR investors are quite doubtuful about the greek governament decision to repay the debt.
This possibility can facilitate a recession state in the hidden markov model. In consideration of no other  statistical relevant data the stochastic theory could be a not so good indication. Anyway if the greek economy plan it is approved in EU, the hidden markov model forecast a 97 pips of retracement in consideration of the closing market price.

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Aymmetric triangle formation on EUR/PLN

Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume
Key price levels : 4.18502-4.17053-4.15349
Weekly Charts pattern : Asymmetric triangle formation, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
EUR/PLN has been consolidating inside a triangle pattern from around 02/2009, the support line is sepported by the rebounce at 12/2011, 07/2013 the pair is with a volatility around 0.0069 in W1 chart and with an RSI of 52.698. This indicators support the theory of a possible trendless zone around the resistance lin…
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ANABEVZ avatar
ANABEVZ 2014年08月26日

Good !)

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