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Quarterly Report: Q4 of 2015

If you're wondering what to read during the weekend, here's an idea:
Quarterly Report: Q4 of 2015

The global economy gives no reasons for celebration. It seems the situation is even worse than three months ago, when we thought we had hit the rock bottom. Alas, further deterioration is only becoming increasingly likely.
Looking back at our previous quarterly report, the world was mostly concerned with China because of the devastating quake in the country’s equity market. As a result, the Chinese …
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Quarterly Report: Q3 of 2015

Quarterly Report

Finding a silver lining throughout the previous quarter proved to be a difficult task. Nevertheless, the risky currencies have performed relatively well compared to their safer counterparts since the previous report. Three months ago, there were good reasons to be hopeful, but in the end it turned out that there was too much complacency in the market and the world sighed in relief a little too soon. Back in April ‘Grexit’ was only a hypothetical event, a word used to scare coun…
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Quarterly Report: Q2 of 2015

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So far this year, the markets have been calm, being characterised by persisting trends. Nonetheless, we can hardly describe the first quarter as dull. The impact of some of the events during the first three months of 2015 extended beyond the changes in the exchange rates; to a certain degree, they even changed the landscape of the forex industry.
Meanwhile, growth in the developed world remains elusive, and the emerging markets fail as a good alternative. However, the prospects are b…
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Quarterly Report: Q1 of 2015

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It may seem the main FX topics for 2015 are crystal clear–appreciation of the US Dollar amid the highly-anticipated Fed rate hike and broad-based sell-offs of the Euro and the Yen. The common currency may become a victim of the Euro zone edition of the quantitative easing. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen is expected to suffer more from lagging growth and stubbornly low inflation, partially a result of the fiscal tightening. There is an important distinction between the latter two…
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Panzer 7 Gen

I'm thinking that it will slow down the Euro and will take into account previous intervention but also more recent interventions that will come on the market by the ECB, and that means that already now we can expect slightly strengthening USD.

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Quarterly Report: Q4 of 2014

It's finally here!
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In the first half of this year the USA, along with the other developed regions of the world, suffered from painfully slow recovery, casting doubt over the ability of the world economy to stand on its own two feet this year without the crutches in the form of stimulus. But in the end the world’s largest economy also turned out to be the most successful among its peers. It was one of the few countries that seem to have preserved the positive momentum. As a result, th…
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Panzer 7 Gen

The ECB should copy the behavior of the Fed to see where this will go, anyway Fed printing more money than is realistic basis, with the goal of global domination $ USD

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Quarterly Report: Q3 of 2014

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Dear traders,
Instead of getting nearer to a long-awaited robust global economic recovery, it seems we have been moving in the wrong direction after all. In place of positive reinforcing signals that the world’s largest economies are finally feeling the effect of remedy in the form of expansionary monetary policy, we are receiving soft and not-so-soft hints that the end of an easing cycle might not be as close as initially anticipated. In effect, we could be far from normalisation, w…
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Quarterly Report, Q2 of 2014

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Dear traders,
We entered this year full of optimism and hope, as our worries over the USA economy did not materialise and the overall situation in the world seemed to be improving. However, geopolitical tensions emerged and took us by surprise, revealing that at the very least the near future is not going to be characterised by stability and calmness. Since the latest events are highly unlikely to go unnoticed in the context of global economic recovery, a return to the risk-on enviro…
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Quarterly Report: Q1 of 2014

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Dear traders,
The passing year was undeniably tumultuous, as for a long time it was not clear whether the global economy started 2013 on the right footing and the recovery will carry on unhindered. There were quite a few reasons to stay pessimistic and risk averse; most of them revolved around the U.S. economy – government shutdown, debt ceiling, sequester, Detroit’s bankruptcy, lawsuits against big banks and many more. All that negatively affected confidence in the world’s largest e…
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mag 13 Gen

At last !!! I was waiting for publication, thank you !!!!

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Quarterly Report, Q4 of 2013

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Dear traders,
We have just entered the last quarter of this year, but we have already run into events that are sure to keep the investors on their toes for a prolonged period of time. Even if these questions, namely, the U.S. government shutdown and the upcoming deadline to raise the debt ceiling, are to be resolved in the nearest future, they are sure to leave a notable trace in the financial markets. This will again highlight the importance of the political factors, which have be…
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Expression of Gratitute

Recently we have been asking our traders to contribute twice as much than usually, since we were also working on the forecasts for the Quarterly Report. We would therefore like to thank all for their time and effort who helped us create this product! The Quarterly Report itself will follow shortly.
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nuonrg 11 Ott

Thanks Dukascopy for the oppertunity and all the community members and team for all great efforts and support. I was spot on for the #USDCAD and #EURJPY read about it in the Quarterly Report here: http://www.dukascopy.com/swiss/english/marketwatch/market_news/Community-Forecasts/32819/

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