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Блог Durden

Блог Durden

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Опубликовал 30 Апр. как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.15777, Дата: 1-е Июня, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.15777 9.32198

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bearish pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.32198 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily VISIO…
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4 Комментарии
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Durden 2 Май

Hidden Markov Indicator support the slightly bullish regime for the session

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Durden 11 Май

the HMM analysis support the slightly bullish regime

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Durden 17 Май

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the bullish regime.
The dynamics of  the Euro zone can lead to a bullish regime, the monetary policy and the  British referendum also can give support to this study

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Май

The BCE release can support the bearish regime for the EUR pair. The Hidden Markov study and the RSI analysis are coherent with a trendless regime. Slightly bearish for the pair EUR/SEK

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Опубликовал 29 Февр. как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.17217, Дата: 1-е Апреля, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.9930 9.17217 9.63289

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.63289 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Dail…
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2 Комментарии
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Durden 2 Март

The schengen question can give support to the bearish EUR regime.
So it could be possible a slightly bearish retracement.

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Durden 23 Март

The EUR/SEK chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator  are coherent with a bullish EUR recovery regime.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Опубликовал 24 Нояб. как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.1280, Дата: 1-е Января, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.93100 9.12801 9.1822 9.67731

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.67731 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
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4 Комментарии
VictoriaVika avatar
VictoriaVika 24 Нояб.

Good luck Nicola

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Нояб.

EUR  is in a trendless  regime against the EUR/SEK counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a 0.3  % at the Asian session.  German Index are coherent with a slightly bullish forecast

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Нояб.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 13 Дек.

The EUR/SEK pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision could facilitate the barish EUR regime

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Опубликовал 30 Окт. как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.2931, Дата: 1-е Декабря, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.0801 9.20801 9.29310 9.63810 9.7386

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.7386 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.…
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Durden avatar
Durden 3 Нояб.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The Euro zone monetary policy can facilitate the selling regime.  The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair EUR/SEK  can have a -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 Нояб.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK pattern  can have a -0.1  %  as forecast at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Нояб.

Economic  German releases support the slightly bullish forecast.    The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair EUR/SEK can have a 0.1 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Нояб.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Опубликовал 30 Сент. как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.4115, Дата: 2-е Ноября, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Bearish #Rsi #Retracement #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=64745#article][/url]
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.1689 - 9.3483 - 9.63087

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.63087 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
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3 Комментарии
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Окт.

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Окт.

The EUR/SEK  is in a slightly bearish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.3 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Окт.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.1% of the EUR pair again the SEK counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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BULLISH CHANNEL

Durden Опубликовал 31 Авг. как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.5486, Дата: 1-е Октября, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.1280 - 9.5486 - 9.7317

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.7317 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
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Durden avatar
Durden 3 Сент.

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/SEK as a correlated pair probably could privilege a bullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/SEK.

Durden avatar
Durden 15 Сент.

The EUR/SEK chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

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Triangle Pattern

Durden Опубликовал 31 Июль как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.3509, Дата: 1-е Сентября, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.2097 - 9.35089 - 9.6089

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.6089 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

D…
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Durden avatar
Durden 23 Авг.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Авг.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the AUD/JPY  chart indicates a slightly bullish regime forecast.

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Bearish with retracement at EUR/SEK

Durden Опубликовал 31 Май как анализ EUR/SEK , Цель: 9.3583, Дата: 1-е Июля, 12:00 GMT  в #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Resistance #Bearish #Rsi #Retracement #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.09934 - 9.35831 - 9.58682

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with retracement around the support line at 0.70997. The chart analysis indicates the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a trendless channel with a …
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Durden avatar
Durden 14 Июнь

Grexit could be a possibility to show a bearish side conquest.
The EUR investors are quite doubtuful about the greek governament decision to repay the debt.
This possibility can facilitate a recession state in the hidden markov model. In consideration of no other  statistical relevant data the stochastic theory could be a not so good indication. Anyway if the greek economy plan it is approved in EU, the hidden markov model forecast a 69 pips of retracement in consideration of the closing market price.

Durden avatar
Durden 27 Июнь

In case of a greek  agreement found, as mentioned,  it is possible to see  a recovery of the euro and the euro correlted pair like CHF and GBP against the dollar. With no agreement, the scenario could be completely different, with the yen and the dollar to serve as potential bullish support.  Probably it is opportune to be outside this war and shift eventually the opportunity of profitable trading

Durden avatar
Durden 29 Июнь

The greek government, which failed to reach an agreement with creditors, it is possible that it is trying to get the support of the population with a referendum , in the likely event that Greece  exit the eurozone. It is possible that  EUR can have a bearish retracement dynamics.

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