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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.15777, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.15777 9.32198

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bearish pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.32198 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily VISIO…
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4 Comments
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Durden 2 May

Hidden Markov Indicator support the slightly bullish regime for the session

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Durden 11 May

the HMM analysis support the slightly bullish regime

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Durden 17 May

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the bullish regime.
The dynamics of  the Euro zone can lead to a bullish regime, the monetary policy and the  British referendum also can give support to this study

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Durden 31 May

The BCE release can support the bearish regime for the EUR pair. The Hidden Markov study and the RSI analysis are coherent with a trendless regime. Slightly bearish for the pair EUR/SEK

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 29 Feb. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.17217, Date: 1st of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.9930 9.17217 9.63289

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.63289 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Dail…
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2 Comments
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Durden 2 Mar.

The schengen question can give support to the bearish EUR regime.
So it could be possible a slightly bearish retracement.

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Durden 23 Mar.

The EUR/SEK chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator  are coherent with a bullish EUR recovery regime.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Posted 24 Nov. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.1280, Date: 1st of January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.93100 9.12801 9.1822 9.67731

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.67731 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
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4 Comments
VictoriaVika avatar
VictoriaVika 24 Nov.

Good luck Nicola

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Durden 24 Nov.

EUR  is in a trendless  regime against the EUR/SEK counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a 0.3  % at the Asian session.  German Index are coherent with a slightly bullish forecast

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 Dec.

The EUR/SEK pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision could facilitate the barish EUR regime

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Posted 30 Oct. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.2931, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.0801 9.20801 9.29310 9.63810 9.7386

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.7386 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.…
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4 Comments
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Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The Euro zone monetary policy can facilitate the selling regime.  The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly sell market side forecast. The pair EUR/SEK  can have a -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK pattern  can have a -0.1  %  as forecast at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 Nov.

Economic  German releases support the slightly bullish forecast.    The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair EUR/SEK can have a 0.1 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  -0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.4115, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Bearish #Rsi #Retracement #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=64745#article][/url]
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.1689 - 9.3483 - 9.63087

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.63087 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
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3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/SEK  is in a slightly bearish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.3 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.1% of the EUR pair again the SEK counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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BULLISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 31 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.5486, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Volatility #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.1280 - 9.5486 - 9.7317

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a bullish channel pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.7317 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.
…
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2 Comments
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Durden 3 Sep.

With the ECB release with the monetary policy meeting which is expected to keep unchanged the current monetary arrangement the pair EUR/SEK as a correlated pair probably could privilege a bullish regime.  As another element the China economy and the oil forecast can be assumed as anti-correlated regime with the EUR/SEK.

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Durden 15 Sep.

The EUR/SEK chart analysis and the hidden markov model integrated with the ZEW at 12.1 suggest a slightly bearish trend for the EU session.

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Triangle Pattern

Durden Posted 31 July as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.3509, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Pattern #Triangle #Rsi #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 9.2097 - 9.35089 - 9.6089

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a triangle pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.6089 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

D…
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Durden 23 Aug.

The new greek politic issues can be view in a sell market side opportunities.
The HMM also privilege the bearish trade

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Durden 27 Aug.

The decision proposed by the Chinese authorities to devalue the renminbi give great volatility on the world market exchange. The interest rate decision in combination with the economic chinese releases make the EUR and the correlated pair ( CHF-SEK-NOK-PLN-GBP )  recovery a great profit opportunity. Instead of this USD buyers or JPY sellers sustainers slide on a difficult side of the markets.
Commodities Pairs like AUD-NZD-RUB-CAD shows deflective dynamics. In this scenario the AUD/JPY  chart indicates a slightly bullish regime forecast.

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Bearish with retracement at EUR/SEK

Durden Posted 31 May as Analysis on EUR/SEK, Target: 9.3583, Date: 1st of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #SEK #Resistance #Bearish #Rsi #Retracement #EUR/SEK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.09934 - 9.35831 - 9.58682

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bearish dynamics with retracement around the support line at 0.70997. The chart analysis indicates the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a trendless channel with a …
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3 Comments
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Durden 14 June

Grexit could be a possibility to show a bearish side conquest.
The EUR investors are quite doubtuful about the greek governament decision to repay the debt.
This possibility can facilitate a recession state in the hidden markov model. In consideration of no other  statistical relevant data the stochastic theory could be a not so good indication. Anyway if the greek economy plan it is approved in EU, the hidden markov model forecast a 69 pips of retracement in consideration of the closing market price.

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Durden 27 June

In case of a greek  agreement found, as mentioned,  it is possible to see  a recovery of the euro and the euro correlted pair like CHF and GBP against the dollar. With no agreement, the scenario could be completely different, with the yen and the dollar to serve as potential bullish support.  Probably it is opportune to be outside this war and shift eventually the opportunity of profitable trading

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Durden 29 June

The greek government, which failed to reach an agreement with creditors, it is possible that it is trying to get the support of the population with a referendum , in the likely event that Greece  exit the eurozone. It is possible that  EUR can have a bearish retracement dynamics.

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