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This week

Will U.S. business statistics normalize the agenda?Markets last week again the subject of trade wars stamp was. On the last day of the week, U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that the European Union would bring customs duties to EU-derived cars increased tension. During the week, statements from many countries have been followed, while the chaotic environment in the markets has also caused a change in pricing behavior. In some assets, mainly stock indexes, sales pressure was slow, while…
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Vlad_55 16 Lug

Interesting!

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EURusd overview

The ongoing refugee crisis between the Christian Union bloc (CDU and CSU parties), one of the largest partners of the German coalition, remains uneasiness over Euro assets. Especially in recent days, statements made after the meeting by Prime Minister Angela Merkel and CDU Parliamentary Group President Volker Kauder show that there is no agreement on immigration policy. Explanations that may come today or in the following days can be directly effective on the parity, so it is useful to follow ca…
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Brent oil

Iran, the third largest oil producer of OPEC after Saudi Arabia and Iraq, intensified its efforts to protect itself against US sanctions and sent a letter to the members of OPEC by Iranian Minister of Finance Bijen Zengen, demanding support under the second article of the OPEC Charter. Article 2 emphasizes the protection of the interests of the Member States individually and collectively. He also signaled that he has not yet reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia on the possible need to increase…
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The Channel in USD/PLN


Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements, RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 4.00982 - 4.1208
Weekly Charts pattern : Parallel bullish channel, W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision
The USD/PLN currency pair can be traded considering a parallel bullish channel formed around 07/2014. The channel is characterized by a consistent number of rebounces on the support and resistance line.The stochastic hidden markov regimes and the Parabolic Sar support the possible forecast pattern inside the channel.…
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Durden avatar
Durden 4 Apr

The  NFP can  facilitate  a  PLN  retracement, the bullish  trend could have a  cyclic hidden  processes.
 

Durden avatar
Durden 12 Apr

The USD  domination against the basket of major currencies  is supported by  the possible  decision  of a rise in US interest rates.
The greenback remains supported by comments on Wednesday, the President of the Federal Reserve of New York William Dudley, that the possibility of  an improvement of the rate can  be related  with  the labor market and  economic releases. 

Durden avatar
Durden 14 Giu

Grexit could be a possibility to show a bearish side conquest.
The EUR investors are quite doubtuful about the greek governament decision to repay the debt.
This possibility can facilitate a recession state in the hidden markov model. In consideration of no other  statistical relevant data the stochastic theory could be a not so good indication. Anyway if the greek economy plan it is approved in EU, the hidden markov model forecast a 97 pips of retracement in consideration of the closing market price.

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