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新的一年，新的一个比赛月！

lkw52 Posted 2 Jan.  in #Trader's blog
各位好，
今天是2018年第一个交易日，也是新年的第一个比赛月， 外汇市场刚刚开始交易波动。Happy new year for all!
今天除了06:30澳大利亚12月AIG制造业表现指数和9:45的中国12月财新制造业采购经理人指数，以及22:30的加拿大12月RBC制造业采购经理人指数，其他时段都没有重要的经济数据公布了。毕竟是刚过完双旦节日，市场各个货币基本以延续前期走势，回调修正为主。
AUDUSD
时间框架：DAY
经过前期下跌，0.7900这个区域为重要的压力位，预期市场会回调进行DAY的多头调整。若市场选择再上涨，从而确认多头市场，预计至少跌至0.7600上下50点的区域。可以把握DAY多头回调机会介入。…
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Analyse

lkw52 Posted 2 Oct.  in #Trader's blog
Hi,all.
As the chart above, the bottom 0.7799 of AUDUSD supports the longtrend, and if the second bottom forms by upbreaking the 0.7850 level, the uptrend is going to be more strong and confirm. If the 0.7815 level can't hold the shorttrend, neither the 0.7799 level. Let's see what will happen.
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New trading month!

lkw52 Posted 1 Oct.  in #Trader's blog
HI,ALL!
10.1, NEW TRADING MONTH! And i am back for the contest after several month's research. Hope this trading month will improving my trading skill to the next level. Happy trading to you all!
Data Analyse:
AUD seems to go back up a little, but i believe up is a fake movement. In the intraday movement of this week, downtrend will begin first, and after 3 or 4 section it wil gain support. As the chart above around 0.7800 is the first supportline, if gets support, i will bounce back up to form…
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Analyse!

lkw52 Posted 16 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
First, mark the time of today's important economic data unreleased.（GMT）
12：30 ECB Monetary Policy (EUR);
13：30 Building Permits and Housing Starts \ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index \ Unemployment Claims (US);
21：45 Retail Sales （NZD）
The AUD is seeking the top for 1H time frame. And AUDNZD has formed the "head" of the uptrend and will drop down in the future.
Today's data news is not so important to change this movement.
I think the area of 1.0590 is the resistend line when the downtrend hit…
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Still have space

lkw52 Posted 13 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
There are still some space for the uptrend of AUDUSD. The area of 0.7695 is going to be broken.
Go long in the intraday time frame when you have a good price. But i still think draw-back hasn't finished untill the price gets down to around 0.7650 or lower.
AND there is one of the short opportunity in AUDNZD when the price gets down to 1.0630 or lower.
Go with the short trend when it appears. Or maybe it will not stop like i predict, who knows.
AND like the AUDUSD, AUDCAD and AUDCHF also has time…
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GO！AUD

lkw52 Posted 10 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
This is a week of draw back in AUDUSD. And i know it will break 0.7695 in the near future when it regain its uptrend strength.
For now, i think it has begun its "long" travel. Maybe it is its fifth wave of uptrend.
And the AUDCAD, the top 1.0082 is not its end of uptrend. As also, it will be broken in the near future.
The AUDNZD has been seeking the top of uptrend in the next week. Hope i can find a good price to short it.
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Non-USD get down for a while!

lkw52 Posted 7 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
All the non-usd has been down for a while. The double top of AUDUSD seems to form, but i don't think it will be a top for Day time frame.
The price level aroud 0.7580 will be first resistant level. Again, 0.7694 area is not the top of it.
Wait until the price gets to the resistant to regain strength to break 0.7694.
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Fake double head of AUDUSD!

lkw52 Posted 6 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
The AUDUSD seems to form a double head to go down. But my calculation shows it's a fake head.
The price will break the head area of 0.7692, or at least make the trible head before going down. And today has no important new (of AUD) to release. Maybe waiting news for the last rise. who know, we will see.
For now, President Draghi speaks.
This bouncing uptrend will be for a while in the future. We don't expect sharp rise unless it has forming the top. IF the trend has been broken, be aware of the …
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上涨继续!

lkw52 Posted 3 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
Hi,all.
今天的欧元区数据表现很不错， PMI创了2011年以来的新高。给非美货币继续上行，提供了信心。中国央行出手另类“加息”，美国非农人口创四个月最大增幅。全球经济似乎正在复苏。
非美昨晚利用美国数据回调了，今早欲重回上涨通道；
可今天最大的焦点“非农”数据在晚上才公布，这种不确定性使市场迟迟没有展开上涨，最终利用数据重新激活的市场上涨的力量。在这种较好的市场数据预期下，对于未来的数据预期定会更高。冲破上图区域应该不是问题，但经济是否真如数据展示那么良好，我表怀疑态度。至少，后期还是有不少不确定性的，今天市场等待数据出炉才选择上冲就是这种谨慎而乐观情绪的最好证明。…
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Bingo! Big Uptrend!

lkw52 Posted 2 Feb.  in #Trader's blog
As predicted, the market of "AUD" go up for the whole day.
The movement of uptrend has been changed for more angle. It means quick drop back. And that's the chance to profit from it.But make sure to flat your position before the main uptrend gets back the control of the market.
Above AUDCAD, hits the resistance of 1H（price area of 0.9995） And it gets the potential to drop for uptrend to recover strength.
SHORT IT for a quick gain when it break down.
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