Daniele's Blog
Weekly analysis
After a week full of particularly encouraging macro data for the States, now the market is back to focus on the future moves of the central banks. The Fed seems to suddenly become longer be possibilist on a referral in the interest rate hike and this is ruining the plans of Mario Draghi. EurUsd can not close a week above 1.15 from January 2015. And 'therefore clear how the market will pay close attention to what happens when this barrier should be tested. In case of breaking the inevitable would…
Dollar still weak
The dollar continues to weaken against the yen as investors expect the Fed remains cautious and do not quickly raise interest rates. Market participants and Tokyo analysts believe that the bearish trend of the greenback has been supported by investors' own choices that have continued to bet on an attitude dove from the Fed. In addition, the new recent fall in oil prices and the decline in Japanese dell'azionario (Nikkei -0.3%) have affected the market sentiment, driving up the yen demand. Last w…
Market Movers: doves fly
A week full of data coming from America issued a first ruling, that of a weak dollar that is becoming increasingly popular especially after the statement much to dove President Yellen. It will need to understand if we are faced with unwanted choices (likely) or induced by some form of concern identified in the sudden monetary policy operational arm. It goes without saying that the market has postponed the date later in the year as possible tweaking the interest rates and this has opened the door…
Dollar still weak against the euro
The EUR / USD has weakened by up to four months touched yesterday 1.1411, but maintains an upward trend, indicated by the solid support inside the Bollinger channel at 1.1306. It is nevertheless calmed the sell-off in the greenback, which has taken a bit of force against other currencies. At the moment the exchange rate is around parity at 1.1380. The positive slope of the channel suggests that the euro could again go over the dell'1,140 barrier. The recent strengthening of the cross has been ma…
Dollar go down against the yen and euro after Yellen
The dollar lost ground against both the yen and the euro in the wake of the words of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen, who has shown a degree of caution about the trend of future increases in interest rates. "Existing risk data for the economic outlook, I believe it is appropriate for the Committee to proceed in a cautious manner in adjusting" monetary policy, said Yellen, however, does not provide details about the timing of subsequent increases the expected rates for the 2016.…
Focus on Forex
With the now officially concluded winter and spring blooming after the Easter holidays, traders are starting to look seriously profit opportunities, focusing attention on the action of central banks and on economic data. April 1 will be released the employment report, crucial. Many expect that the data can contribute significantly to a possible rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve in April or in June. With inflation beginning to rise slowly and with an upward revision of estimates on GD…
Weekly analysis
In a week seemingly anonymous for the Easter holidays, we will find instead a number of US data in the second part, data that will be able to provide a lot of volatility. The data on US GDP for the fourth quarter has suffered yet another upward revision confirms that in America the recovery has slowed but did not stop as many feared. This again will put the Fed under pressure for interest rates and the dollar consequently could continue to strengthen a little. Euro against the six consecutive se…
Pound at minimum 15-month low against the euro
The pound falls to a minimum 15-month low against the euro on Thursday, the uncertainty for the future of the United Kingdom in the European Union continues to weigh on the currency.
EUR / GBP hit the maximum of 0.7946, the highest since December 2014, and remaining at 0.7927.
Since yesterday in exactly three months in the referendum of June 23, with which the country will choose whether to remain part of the EU or not.
The last ICM poll on referendum released yesterday revealed that 43% of thos…
EUR / GBP hit the maximum of 0.7946, the highest since December 2014, and remaining at 0.7927.
Since yesterday in exactly three months in the referendum of June 23, with which the country will choose whether to remain part of the EU or not.
The last ICM poll on referendum released yesterday revealed that 43% of thos…
Strong dollar in the wake of the hawkish Fed
The dollar strengthened in the wake of the advanced hawk comments from several Federal Reserve officials who have reignited the debate about the future trend of increases in interest rates by the Central Bank. Some members of the Fed, in fact, highlighted the likelihood of an increase in short-term rates. For example, the president of the St. Louis Fed, James Bullard, said that a rise in April remains a possibility. However, the greenback has not been able to gain further strength given the relu…