Блог Durden

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BEARISH REGIME

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.66807 0.67722 0.72893 0.75209

Weekly Charts pattern : Triangle, Trendless, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/CHF is moving in a slightly bearish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates a trendless regime can be supported by the chart analysis and the negative Hidden Markov indicator. Volume, RSI and Standard deviation analysis suggest a slightly bearish dynamics. The resistance zone is indicated at 0.75209.

Daily Vision
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Durden 28 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.
The AUD/CHF pair  can have a + 0.8  %  at the Asian session opening. 
The Oil drivers forecast correlated with the AUD economy  could support a little bearish tendency for the pair.

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Durden 5 Февр.

The pair AUD/CHF  is in a bearish regime. The HMM and the RSI support the dynamics for the US session.

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BULLISH REGIME

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.96082 0.98292- 1.00003 - 1.00821 - 1.0677
Weekly Charts pattern : Bearish triangle , bullish trendlines W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/CAD is moving in a bullish dynamics delimited by the resistance at 1.00821 and the support zone at 0.98292. The chart analysis with the crossing of the resistance line support the bullish that can studied also with by the volume dynamics and the RSI indicator. The Hidden Markov Model Indicator is compa…
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Durden 28 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.
The AUD/CAD  pair  can have a + 0.8  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 5 Февр.

The pair AUD/CAD  is in a bearish regime. The HMM and the RSI support the dynamics for the US session.

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Durden 1 Март

The AUD/CAD chart analysis is coherent with the technical analysis.
The hidden Markov studies integrated with the RSI supported the forecast dynamics.
The pair level price and the forecast show a great accuracy.

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Trendless Dynamics on EUR/SGD

INDICATORS
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.48722 1.55322 1.63982

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SGD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.55322. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily VISION
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Durden 14 Янв.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bullish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair EUR/SGD  can have a  + 0.2  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 28 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime.
The EUR/SGD  pair  can have a  -0.1  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 31 Янв.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SGD  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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BEARISH RETRACEMENT

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 8.9522 9.10322 9.6682

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The EUR/SEK pair is moving in a trendless pattern dynamics with a resistance line at 9.67731 . The chart analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency.

Daily
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Durden 14 Янв.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bullish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair EUR/SEK  can have a  +0.1  %  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 28 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.
The EUR/SEK  pair  can have a 0.2  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 31 Янв.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  EUR/SEK  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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BEARISH REGIME


Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 82.0129 84.1032 92.3032

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

CAD/JPY is moving in a bearish channel pattern dynamics with a key support zone at 82.0129 and 92.3032 as resistance zone indicated from the HMM. The chart analysis and the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI and the volatility analysis are coherent with the bearish regime.

Daily Vision
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Durden 23 Дек.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  CAD/JPY  can have a  -0.8 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 14 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies suggest the possibility of a slightly bearish market side forecast. The pair CAD/JPY  in consideration of the HMM parametres  can have a  + -0.2  %  at the Asian session opening. 

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Durden 28 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime.
The pair CAD/JPY  can have a +0.7 %  at the Asian session opening. 
The Oil drivers forecast correlated with the CAD economy  could support a little bearish tendency for the pair.

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Durden 31 Янв.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  CAD/JPY  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Indicators
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.69207 - 0.69207 - 0.74032 - 0.77091

Weekly Charts pattern : Triangle, Trendless, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/CHF is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates a trendless regime can be supported by the chart analysis and the negative Hidden Markov indicator. Volume, RSI and Standard deviation analysis suggest a slightly bullish dynamics. The resistance zone is indicated at 0.77091.

Daily
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Durden 23 Дек.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair AUD/CHF  can have a  +0.2 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 14 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies suggest the possibility of a slightly bearish market side forecast. The pair AUD/CHF  in consideration of the HMM  can have a  -0.22  %  at the Asian session opening.  The Oil forecast and the China economy drivers can support this analysis

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Durden 28 Янв.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.
The AUD/CHF pair  can have a + 0.8  %  at the Asian session opening. 
The Oil drivers forecast correlated with the AUD economy  could support a little bearish tendency for the pair.

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Durden 31 Янв.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  AUD/CHF can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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TRIANGLE SLIGHTLY BEARISH

INDICATORS : RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 0.68918 0.71681 0.74707 0.75995 0.78810 0.8003

Weekly CHARTS PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

CAD/CHF is moving in a downtrend triangle dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. Retail Sales at -0.5 % are coherent with a bearish regime.
The 0.75995 area is evaluated as resistance area.

Daily VISION
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Durden 24 Нояб.

CAD  is in a Slightly bearish regime against the CHF  counterpart. The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with a - 0.2  % at the Asian session.

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Durden 30 Нояб.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  selling  market side forecast. The pair  CAD/CHF  can have a  -0.3 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 Дек.

The CAD/CHF  pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the possibility of the FED decision and the oil forecast could facilitate the barish CAD regime

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BEARISH REGIME

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 84.983 - 86.329 - 89.103 - 92.301 - 95.893- 101.093

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

CAD/JPY is moving in a bearish channel pattern dynamics with a key support zone at 84.983 and 92.301 as resistance zone indicated from the HMM. The chart analysis and the bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that CAD…
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foreignexchange avatar

Great analysis.  CAD recovery with GDP ?

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Durden 2 Окт.

The CAD/JPY  is in a slightly bullish regime. The JPY positive bias can be improved. The hidden state target is evaluated at -0.1 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Окт.

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.1% of the CAD pair again the JPY counterpart.
JPY  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime 

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THE REGIME IS BEARISH

[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=64706#article][/url]
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 5.7798 - 5.8492 -6.0812

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

CAD/HKD is moving in a downtrend dynamics within a triangle. The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. Hidden W scale analysis suggest 5.7798 as support zone and 6.0812 as resistance zone.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that CAD/HKD…
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foreignexchange avatar

Great analysis.  CAD recovery with GDP ?

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Durden 2 Окт.

The CAD/HKD  is in a slightly bullish regime. The CAD positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.2 % at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Окт.

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the +0.8% of the CAD pair again the HKD counterpart.
CAD  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime 

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EUR/CAD Bearish Triangle

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 1.3029 - 1.32085 - 1.40217

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

EUR/CAD is moving in bearish channel with a possible bullish retracement dynamics in 1.3029 . The chart analysis is slightly bullish but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the bearish analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and a Parabolic Sar distribution integrated with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis seems to facilit…
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Durden 22 Июль

The euro slid lower on 21/07/2015 after Greece’s parliament passed the austerity measures demanded by the country’s creditors in order to support with a third bailout package.
The vote cleared the way for negotiations on a third bailout package to begin, but also raised doubts over the possibility of politics stability of the  government after many lawmakers in his left-wing  party voted against the deal. The EUR/CAD could privilege a beaish dynamics.

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Durden 28 Июль

The China - 8.487 % performance can create a psychologic bridge with the CAD economy because of the commodity prices evaluated in a offer side forecast can be view as a message for the CAD sellers opportunities.

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