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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 30 May as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.29561, Date: 2nd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: Hidden Markov Model (HMM) , Standard Dev (SD), RSI, MA, Volatility, Volume
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) can find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
No unequivocable orientation with the statistic evaluation . The SD and Volume give expression of a no regime technical analysis.
Graphically there is not a great indication of the hidden regime and …
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Durden 7 June

Le interpretazioni dei grafici dei prezzi sembrano far convergere un criterio  di tipologia mercato in sell.
La statistica markoviana di tipo hidden consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In 20 min chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  possible raggruppamento di livelli della SD a  13.00 questo insieme a  un valore di RSI di 85.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 28 June

Gli studi Markoviani degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H4 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
Gli indicatori a supporto sono Volume e RSI.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 55% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  giovedì 28 giugno 2018 13:45.

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NO REGIME DYNAMICS

Durden Posted 31 Mar. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.28532, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The inspired statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
The pair is classified statistically in a kind of Bearish regime. The Markovian Methodology calculation indicates a possible resistance area at around 305 Pips and a possible Support zone at - 239Pips from the price value calculated at…
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Durden 19 Apr.

Suggerimenti per il buy con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden. Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero suggerire  delle tendenze laterali. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 15:03:30 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.14 STDEV.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 29 Apr.

Retracement buy with HMM?

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Durden 29 Apr.

It seems possibility on no regime in H1 

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Durden 30 Apr.

Una valutazione grafica e statistica  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 14.00 in H1, si potrebbe anche provare una trade in buy

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foreignexchange 1 May

Bullish tendency in H1 ?

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 22 Feb. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.29594, Date: 2nd of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: RSI, MA, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The fascinated statistical traders could study the HMM considering the Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott book (Hidden Markov Models in Finance book).
Weekly VISION
Chart and Indicators analysis do not give an indisputable indication about the kind of the pair dynamics.
The stochastic study also do not admit unequivocable tendency with the statistic formulation. The Volume and SD give indication…
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Durden 28 Mar.

Mercato abbastanza indeciso con una predominanza alla lateralizzazione e possibili indicazioni per un Buy marginale.
Possibilità per una trade  in buy  con uscita su una distanza di circa 2.00  della  STDEV.

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Durden 30 Mar.

I grafici  alle 18:30 sostengono    di tipo mercato in sell. Lo studio dei modelli HMM consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish. In H2 chart è possible valutare un modello sulla convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di
18.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 87.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell.

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Durden 31 Mar.

RSI e MACD insieme insieme ai modelli HMM sembrano suggerire un regime bullish


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Durden 1 Apr.

Suggerimenti per il sell con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden.
Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero  denotare delle tendenze laterali.
In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 22:45:00  si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.11 STDEV.

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Durden 2 Apr.

Gli studi matematici degli andamenti dei prezzi in chiusura di candela H4 concedono un leggera predominanza alla domanda.
A supporto gli indicatori sono Trix e Volume.
Integrando HMM e indicatori può essere modellizzato un valore probabilistico di avere circa un 76% di probabilità di ottenere una dinamica bullish a partire dalle  02 April 2018 09:30.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 May as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.33209, Date: 3rd of July, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.301 1.3301
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The Loonie is moving in a slightly bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.3687. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a bearish retracem…
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Durden 15 June

Hidden Markov Models coherently bullish with a USD retracement.

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Durden 27 June

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis seems to suggest the possibility of  a bullish dynamics for the Australian session

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Durden 28 June

Sell regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with chart analysis bearish

Durden avatar
Durden 30 June

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a bullish retracement.
The HMM analysis is also for the trendless regime.

olya2517 avatar
olya2517 31 July

very nice work

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NO REGIME

Durden Posted 27 Apr. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.36193, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.36897
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The Loonie is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.36897. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest a bearish retracement …
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4 Comments
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Durden 11 May

Hidden Markov Models and Technical Analysis suggest the bullish regime : )

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Durden 16 May

Sell bias considering the HMM and the RSI

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Durden 24 May

-  The study of the HMM analysis integrated with the RSI study seems to suggest the possibility of  a secondary  retracement, a slightly bullish dynamics for the  Asian  session could be coherent with the analysis

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Durden 25 May

The speculations after the Oil release could suggest a supporting regime for the USD coherently with the HMM.

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 30 Apr. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.23293, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #CAD #USD #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.19770 1.23293 1.28323 1.30002

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The Loonie is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.30002. The indicator analysis indicates a bearish regime and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a bullish possibility o…
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5 Comments
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Durden 30 Apr.

The USD/CAD is in a  bearish regime, the HMM and the RSI support the dynamics

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Durden 2 May

Slightly bearish regime with HMM analysis

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Durden 11 May

The study of the hidden markov models support the no bias regime for the US session

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Durden 17 May

The chart analysis and the hidden markov model support the no bias
regime.
The dynamics of  US dollar can lead to a bearish regime, the monetary policy and the oil analysis also can give support to this study

Durden avatar
Durden 31 May

The CAD GDP  release can support the bearish regime for the CAD pair. The Hidden Markov study and the RSI analysis are coherent with a trendless regime. Slightly bullish for the USD/CAD

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LOONIE BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Mar. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.2902, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.27623 1.29008 1.33029

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The Loonie is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.33029. The indicator analysis indicates a bearish regime and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a bullish retracement …
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Durden 27 Apr.

Hidden Markov Indicator suggest the possibility of a bearish regime for the US session

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Durden 28 Apr.

Chart analysis , RSI and HMM  are coherent with a bearish regime for the USD/CAD

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Durden 29 Apr.

The bearish regime for the USD/CAD could dominate the US session, the HMM and the RSI are coherent with the selling regime

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Durden 30 Apr.

The USD/CAD  is in a bearish dynamics and could be supported in consideration of the Hidden Markov indicator and the RSI analysis

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Durden 2 May

The HMM analysis seems to support the slightly bearish regime

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LOONIE RETRACEMENT POSSIBILITY

Durden Posted 29 Feb. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.35997, Date: 1st of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #CAD #USD #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.34897 1.35997 1.46929

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The Loonie is moving in a bearish dynamics with a support zone at 1.34897. The indicator analysis indicates a bearish regime and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a bullish retracement at …
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Durden 2 Mar.

The chart analysis is coherent with a no bias regime domination.
The hidden markov indicator and the RSI is coherent with a slightly bullish regime.
The resistance line at  1.3499 can suggest a retracement

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Durden 9 Mar.

HMM and RSI are coherent with a no bias regime, the chart analysis and the US economic release support the slightly bullish dynamics.

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Durden 23 Mar.

The LOONIE chart analysis  and Hidden Markov indicator are coherent with a bullish regime.
1.310001 as possible resistance zone.

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LOONIE BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Jan. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.33287, Date: 1st of March, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Rsi #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.32998 1.33287 1.46029

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The Loonie is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.32998. The indicator analysis indicates a bearish regime and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bearish tendency. The chart can suggest a bullish retracement…
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Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The Loonie can have a selling domination at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb.

Considering the ADP at 205 k it can be possible an improvement for the NFP release forecast. Bullish forecast for the Loonie. 

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Durden 23 Feb.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime. 

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TRENDLESS LOONIE

Durden Posted 26 Nov. as Analysis on USD/CAD, Target: 1.3298, Date: 1st of January, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #CAD #USD #USD/CAD #Rsi #Loonie #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.28822 1.32982 1.33811 1.35890

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The Loonie is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 1.35890. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can s…
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Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a no bias - slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The Loonie  can have a  +0.01 % at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 13 Dec.

The Loonie can have a bullish retracement in consideration of the FED possible decision about the interest rate.

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