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BEARISH REGIME WITH HMM

Durden Posted 31 Mar as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.00659, Date: 1 di Maggio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes
TECHNICAL AND STATISTICAL INDICATORS: MA, RSI, Standard Dev (SD), Volatility, Volume, Hidden Markov Model (HMM)
The traders involved in statistical trading (HMM in this study) could find some indications studying the Hidden Markov Models in Finance book, author Rogemar S. M. J. Elliott.
Weekly VISION
Pair can be treated as in a Sell dynamics. To sustain this view are employed two different techniques. The statistical trading with the Hidden Markovian methodology and the chart analysis (integrate…
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4 Commenti
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Durden 4 Apr

I grafici dei prezzi sembrano far convergere un criterio  di tipo vendita.
Lo studio dei processi Markoviani consentono di valutare dinamiche di tipo slightly bearish.  In H2 chart è possible valutare uno studio sulla  convergenza della Standard Dev. su livelli di  17.00 questo integrato a  un valore di RSI di 80.00 in 5 min chart può essere considerato un possible inizio per un regime di sell. 

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Durden 18 Apr

I grafici  esprimono una predominanzain regime di acquisto. Lo studio statistico consentono di assecondare una possibilità di Buy.

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Durden 19 Apr

Indicazione di valutazione per la coppia con lo studio dei dei risultati hidden. Le analisi dei grafici invece potrebbero denotare delle possibili lateralizzazioni. In generale se si dovesse entrare intorno alle 15:03:15 si potrebbe suggerire di uscire ad una distanza di 1.33 STDEV.

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Durden 30 Apr

Una valutazione grafica e statistica  potrebbe suggerire un possible sviluppo rialzista.
Se si dovessero poi avere dei valori di rientro da RSI in ipervenduto intorno a 12.00 in H1, si potrebbe anche pensare ad una possible entry in buy

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BEARISH REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Mag as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.56008 , Date: 3 di Luglio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
KEY PRICE LEVELS : 6.310 7.0031
Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.
Weekly VISION
The USD/DKK is moving in a bearish dynamics with a resistance zone at 7.0031. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bearish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a no regime. The chart can suggest a bullish retracement at the support zone.…
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5 Commenti
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Durden 7 Giu

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair  can have a +0.1% at the Asian session opening.
Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.

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Durden 15 Giu

Hidden Markov Models coherently bullish with a USD retracement.

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Durden 27 Giu

The Hidden Markov Model analysis integrated with the RSI analysis seems to suggest the possibility of  a slightly bearish dynamics for the US session

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Durden 28 Giu

Sell regime with Hidden Markov Processes.
RSI not coherent with chart analysis.

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Durden 30 Giu

The study of the chart integrated with the RSI suggest a bullish retracement.
The HMM analysis is also for the no regime.

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BULLISH REGIME

Durden Posted 29 Feb as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.90032, Date: 1 di Aprile, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #DKK #USD #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 6.80301 6.90032 6.95801

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The USD/DKK pair is moving in a trendless dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the slightly bullish trend that can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. The RSI momentum indicator is coherent with a trendless regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish dynamics with a resistanc…
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3 Commenti
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Durden 2 Mar

The chart analysis is coherent with a no bias regime domination.
The hidden markov indicator and the RSI is coherent with a slightly bullish regime.
The support line at 6.87 can suggest a retracement

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Durden 9 Mar

HMM and RSI are coherent with a no bias regime, the chart analysis and the US economic release support the slightly bullish dynamics.

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Durden 23 Mar

The chart analysis for the USD/DKK and Hidden Markov indicator are coherent with a bullish regime.
6.6703 as possible resistance zone.

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 31 Gen as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.80017, Date: 1 di Marzo, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 6.70709 6.80017 7.09987

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The USD/DKK is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 7.0987. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest …
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3 Commenti
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Durden 31 Gen

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair USD/DKK  can have a selling domination at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 5 Feb

Considering the ADP at 205 k it can be possible an improvement for the NFP release forecast. Bullish forecast for the USD. 

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Durden 23 Feb

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.  The USD with the possibility of Brexit can support the buyers dynamics.

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TRENDLESS ZONE

Durden Posted 26 Nov as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.8791, Date: 1 di Gennaio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 6.49983 6.87912 7.09998

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The USD/DKK is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 7.09998. The indicator analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency. The chart can suggest…
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8 Commenti
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Durden avatar
Durden 1 Gen

Grazie
Probabilmente si potrebbe valutare un buy di speculazioni con le grandi banche che investono e in funzione del forecast sul petrolio

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Durden 1 Gen

The hidden markov indicator is choerent with the slightly bullish. The session could facilitate the retracement in consideration of the big bank investment on USD
The oil forecast retracement could be just a second order of retracement, this could support the slightly bullish regime for the pair.

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foreignexchange 1 Gen

Petrolio ?

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Durden 1 Gen

Yes, with the smartphone does not know if it is possible to insert chart, but there is correlation

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foreignexchange 1 Gen

; )

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TRIANGLE USD/DKK

Durden Posted 30 Set as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.5798, Date: 2 di Novembre, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #DKK #USD #Volatility #USD/DKK #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM Key price levels : 6.5528 - 6.5798 - 6.7298
Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.
Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a triangle dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the possible retracement at the resistance line. The trendless regime can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis. Also the indicators RSI, volume and volatility are compatible with the forecast triangle figure.
Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicate…
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4 Commenti
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foreignexchange 1 Ott

Great analysis.

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Durden 2 Ott

The USD/DKK is in a slightly bullish tendency. The USD positive bias can be improved by the NFP release. The hidden state target is evaluated at + 1% at US closing market.

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Durden 8 Ott

The pair shows a bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -1% of the USD pair again the counterpart.
US Fundamental suggest the sell side regime.

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Durden 12 Nov

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless bias. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  USD/DKK  pattern  can have a +0.02  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

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Triangle on USD/DKK

Durden Posted 30 Giu as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.6589, Date: 3 di Agosto, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #DKK #USD #Bullish #Triangle #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 6.51008 - 6.65897 - 6.72302 - 6.87904 - 7.10829

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish triangle dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the bullish trend that can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bearish trend with a resistance area at 6.87904 . The channel can lead t…
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2 Commenti
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Durden 22 Lug

The dollar bearish dynamics against a basket of other major currencies has indicated  a possible retracement of the trend , as investors continued to mantain in profits from the greenback's recent rise probably as expectations for a U.S. rate hike still supported the currency.

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Durden 22 Lug

The euro slid lower on 21/07/2015 after Greece’s parliament passed the austerity measures demanded by the country’s creditors in order to support with a third bailout package.
The vote cleared the way for negotiations on a third bailout package to begin, but also raised doubts over the possibility of politics stability of the  government after many lawmakers in his left-wing  party voted against the deal. The DKK could privilege a beaish dynamics.
So bullish for the pair.

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Bullish or trendless triangle

Durden Posted 30 Mag as Analysis on USD/DKK, Target: 6.8119, Date: 1 di Luglio, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #DKK #USD #Pattern #Bullish #Triangle #Rsi #USD/DKK #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 6.53091 - 6.81187 - 7.10829

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish dynamics . The chart analysis indicates the bullish trend that can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in a bullish channel with a resistance area at 6.912 . The channel can lead to a possible bearish retracem…
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2 Commenti
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Durden 5 Giu

The NFP release at 280 K give opportunity to theUSD bullish side to conquer part of the market sentiment. Obviously the momentum indicator, the chart analysis in H1 and the rate decision can give support to the USD bullish theory. Regarding OPEC and the meeting to be held  in Vienna seems very likely that it could not change the amount of barrels produced, so it is possible to have no great correlations withthe oil price. 

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Durden 14 Giu

Retail sales at 1 % and PPI at 0.5 % give not so much interest in the Buying side of the market. The saturation of the USD buy market can be partially justified with the possibility of a interest rate decision. The appartently standard USD bearish retracement can be considered in ciew of a psychological USD approach. The USD bullish trend can have just a consilidation area

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