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AUDUSD - a bearish month in May

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur AUD/USD, Cible: 0.73382, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #AUD #USD #Audusd #AUD/USD #Aussie #Commodity Dollar
Hi community members,
Background: this forecast base on balanced distribution (supply vs demand; price oscilator and median). Because the technical contest is to predict price on 1st of June, so I use weekly chart for trend and range forecast; daily chart for price point forecast.
Weekly chart: shows persistent supply above 0.77 level, price still is in small range on the weekly chart. But median price in smaller time-frame is decreasing. I expect sell power stable and price can break lower in t…
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3 Commentaires
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Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: We have a very nice week for bear. Prices fall freely the same way with copper price. The next support level may be 0.733.

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

Update 2: Prices was in a down-trend. Market is rebalancing after fall sharply last week with the same direction of commodity prices. I wait new bear power after rebalance process finish.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: Prices fall quickly to my target at 0.733 and bounced back to 0.74 in a consolidate process. My strategy is sell on rally with medium-term target is 0.72 and long-term even below 0.7 level.

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NZDUSD - Another bearish month is expected?

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur NZD/USD, Cible: 0.67268, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #NZD #USD #NZD/USD #Nzdusd #Kiwi #Commodity Dollar
Hi community members,
Background: this forecast base on balanced distribution (pure technical view). To simplified: I use monthly chart to forecast trend and daily chart to predict price on 1st of June!
Monthly chart: It's clear there are three months price has been decreasing, it's simple that I expect we will have one more month to decrease.
Daily chart: Price is fluctuating around decreasing median. It need time for market distribute goods and service around the mean so I don't think price wi…
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3 Commentaires
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Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: Price is going on the right track of forecast. Balanced area continue to go lower, there are a lot of space ahead so I expect price will decrease on remain days of the month.

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

Update 2: prices still be in small range and has not yet break the old range but median prices in daily is decreasing.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: The pair NZD/USD still be on the way to my target 0.67. I think that current situation is good for Bear and prices is below sma (50, 100, 200) and median price is decreasing stable.

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USDCHF - Limited down-side but difficult to go up!

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur USD/CHF, Cible: 0.9989, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #CHF #USD #USD/CHF #Usdchf #Swiss Franc
Hi community members,
Background: this forecast base on balanced distribution (supply vs demand; price oscilator and median) and expectation that Fed rate hike and reduce balance sheet in this year. Because the technical contest is to predict price on 1st of June, so I use weekly chart for trend and range forecast; daily chart for price point forecast.
Weekly chart: Price hit 1.034x after Donal Trump win the election and has adjusted retracement since Jan 2017. Now price is near balance area in …
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3 Commentaires
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Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: Price still within a small range and less volatility. Trend is still down but limited at 0.99 support level. I don't see bull power after FOMC statement and FED fund rate data released. Wait and see mode for this pair.

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

Update 2: Prices was in a downtrend but path to go down is fighting with support level  at weekly chart. I expect supply and demand are balance now at this area before decide clear new direction.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: There are two long bullish candles make prices increased from 0.985 to 1.01. I think it's not an up-trend stable for USD/CHF, it's just oscilate inside balanced range but it could be an early signal for Bull.

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GBPUSD - Short recovering continue!

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur GBP/USD, Cible: 1.3139, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #GBP #USD #GBP/USD #Gbpusd #Pound
Hi community members,
Background: this forecast base on balanced distribution. Because the technical contest is to predict price on 1st of June, so I use weekly chart for trend and range forecast; daily chart for price point forecast.
Weekly chart: There were a lot of Short GBP position follow by Brexit event but it's time for recovering short position after market denied 1.2 level twive times.
Daily chart: Price is rising and can visit 1.34 in near future. I expect price will move in range 1.28…
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3 Commentaires
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Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: Rising momentum has slowed and bull power is loosing. It's could be time to correct and consolidate things gained before think about go far futher. I continue interested in long GBP but at lower price.

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

Update 2: prices continue to go up and I expect 1.3 level in a few days ahead. Pound has three bullish week consecutive, uptrend is stable but I think prices will not move quickly.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: Last week was a bearish candle, prices decreased to 1.284x level and bounced back to 1.292 level as of writing. The pair still be an up-trend but I'm asking myself that what thing will make price go up above 1.3 when momentum is weak.

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EURUSD - Visit 1.1 level after French predential election?

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur EUR/USD, Cible: 1.1, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #EUR #USD #Eurusd #EUR/USD
Hi community members,
Background: this forecast base on balanced distribution and politic event (2nd round of French predential election). Because the technical contest is to predict price on 1st of June, so I use weekly chart for trend and range forecast; daily chart for price point forecast.
Weekly chart shows market stop to sell EUR vs USD from last Dec 2016. I think it's base on fundament data (Inflation expectation, monetary policy from ECB and also politics event ... ) that would be very d…
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3 Commentaires
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Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: This pair is quite boring after huge gap last week. It's seem that market is waiting new force from fundamental data and politic even at the end of this weekend.

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

Update 2: My target hit on this monday after 2nd round of French presidential election finished. I expect prices will go around 1.1 level most of this week.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: Prices was at 1.102 at the begin of last week after 2nd of French predential election finished with a victory of Emmanuel Macron, that was six months high level. Market was taking profit quickly and it make price deceased to 1.085 and found support at that level.

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USDCAD - Up-trend for this pair!

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur USD/CAD, Cible: 1.3828, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #CAD #USD #USD/CAD #Usdcad #Commodity Dollar #Loonie
Hi community members,
Background for the technical contest base on balanced distribution. Because the technical contest is to predict price on 1st of June, so I use weekly chart for trend and range forecast; daily chart for price point forecast.
Weekly chart: weekly chart shows price just break and stand above resistance level 1.36. It could be a buy signal for price continue go up in some weeks ahead.
Daily chart: Price is finding a new balance area. Base on fibonacci level, I chose 1.383 level…
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3 Commentaires
Haynes6EU avatar
Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: We have another bullish week, price break above 1.37 and stand stable on it. I expect commodity currency such as AUD, CAD, NOK ... are weak followed by decreasing price of oil or copper. I don't think that price will be stopped at here, it could go up futher upto 1.38 or 1.39

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

Update 2: last week was a doji candle weekly chart. Prices increased at the begin and deacreased at the end of last week. That's price action. If prices continue to go down, 1.358 level will be good level for buy entry.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: The H4 and daily chart show supply power stable above 1.37 and it could be signal of bearish correction for USD/CAD. Prices is falling as of writing at 1.363 and finding demand at low prices level. I think that 1.355~1.358 could be demand area and prices can stable at this area. I still expect uptrend for long-term.

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USDJPY - Inside range of down-channel!

Haynes6EU Publié 30 avr comme Analyse sur USD/JPY, Cible: 111.69, Date: 1 de juin, 12:00 GMT  dans #Technical analysis #JPY #USD #Usdjpy #USD/JPY
Hi Traders,
Below is my technical view on USDJPY pair, this analysis base on balanced distribution. Because the technical contest is to predict price on 1st of June, so I use weekly chart for trend and range forecast; daily chart for price point forecast.
Weekly chart: Price is in down-channel from Jan 2017 from high level 118.xx, price just bounced back from 108.2x. Price is standing at balance area in weekly chart, I think market need several weeks or months to accumulate before break to upsid…
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3 Commentaires
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Haynes6EU 4 mai

Update 1: This pair was still in down-channel and stand at upper bound. I think that would be risk to buy at this level with expectation price will go higher. I wait and see price action at this level to make decision.

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Haynes6EU 8 mai

U[date 2: USD/JPY is trading circa 112.8 as of writing. I'm waiting for sell signal from market to go entry.

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Haynes6EU 15 mai

Update 3: JPY and Gold is very weak as demand for safe asset reduce and risky asset increase because US economy and inflation expectation are good.

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Blog 29/4: some major fundamental events next week!

Haynes6EU Publier 29 avr  dans #Trader's blog #USD
Hi Traders,
There are some major fundamental events in the next week: FED meeting, Non-farm data and French presidential election at the next weekend ... These fundamental data should have a big impact on USD. Below is currency index in april 2017 (Data on Dukascopy site): GBP >> EUR >> CHF >> USD >> JPY. USD and JPY are the weakest currency vs GBP and EUR are the strongest. Can USD reverse current down - trend?
Also the commodity dollar (AUD, NZD, CAD) are the weakest. I'm going to sell these c…
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NZDUSD - What next? consolidate in a box???

Haynes6EU Publier 14 oct  dans #Trader's blog #NZD #USD #Nzdusd #Kiwi
Hello community,
The pair NZDUSD bounced back strongly from low area 0.62 to above 0.674x, it's very impressive , can the pair go up more? I don't know but I think that Bear will come consistent above 0.67 level and put pressure on price. So I expect the pair will consolidate in a box (0.65~0.67xx) a few weeks ahead before decide new direction for the pair. Let's look at my chart:
Good luck to all
Haynes
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EURUSD - Bull can hold stable or continue to fall?

Haynes6EU Publier 4 sep  dans #Trader's blog #EUR #USD #Eurusd
Hello community,
The pair EURUSD visited 1.17 on black monday, my question is can the pair visit again this level and continue go up stable? non-farm data this week and FED meeting will decide direction of this pair. Now, the chart shows me that this pair is falling in a rising channel, so it would be good chance to buy at good level. I will consider a buy setup at low level with tigh stop loss to wait Non-farm today.
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Good luck to all
Haynes
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