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Silver Poised for Another Major Low

Silver bearish trend that started in 2011 is still well mature and running without any clear sights that it may end any time soon and in this regard we should expect for the trend to remain in place and resume to the downside. This bearish cycle has lasted almost 4 years and based on my experience we need to have a final "flush" at the lows before the bottom may be considered in place in this regard I'm still expecting one final leg to the downside in order to consider completed this cycle.
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Update 1: Silver seems poised to make a false breakout in the short-term time frame below 13.90 and even lower but eventually a reaction higher should happen in the coming weeks. We're still trading within a very narrow range between 14.50 resistance and 14.00 support level.

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Update 2: We did broke below 13.90 but it was a false breakout and right now we're still back inside the range we need a break and a daily close on each side in order to have more confirmation on which side it want to go. I favor a break of current resistance at 14.40 and a retest of the big psychological number 15.00

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Update 3: We already hit our target but we had a strong sell of from there and now we made new lows below 13.90. We're still moving inside a tight consolidation and there is scope for more range activity around the 14.00 big round number since we're still during the holiday period in which we have a strong seasonal pattern.

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Update 4: Silver is still moving inside a range between 14.60 resistance level and 13.60 support level. Right now we can see another test of the upper limit of this current range. We have to keep in mind that during this time of the year the market will move less.

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Update 5: The momentum from these final two weeks of trading has pushed back up the price to my target and as per my expectation we should see Silver trading between 14.50 resistance levels and 14.20 support level. Current trading environment and taking in consideration the seasonal pattern we should see further ranging conditions

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Silver Broken Trendline

Silver bearish trend may have ended once we broke the trendline that connects the 2011 highs and all the intermediate highs of this bearish trend. This bearish cycle has lasted almost 4 years and based on my experience any new major trend starts with a trendline breakout of previous trend. We already broke to the upside of the trendline that connects the highs of this bearish trend at beginning of the year(see Figure 1), and not only that but we had a successful retest of th…
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Update 1: Silver broke to new lows and it's fading below 14.00. We're still moving in consolidation and I'm not expecting a running market. A retest of the current top range at above 15.60 is in cards. First level of resistance stands at 14.70 which is also a pivot point a break and a close above it should see further upside

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Update 2: After a false break below key support level 14.27 and previous major swing low point we managed to get back inside the big range. In the short-term there is scope for another retest of the big figure 15.00 before to see another attempt to break current resistance at 15.55.

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Update 3: As expected we broke above the 15.00 big psychological number and managed to find resistance at 15.50. Right now we're trapped inside this tow levels, but current price structure still favors a break to the upside.

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Update 4: As expect over the past few days Silver has had an impressive rally and it already reached my target and beyond. Right now the current range in play is between 15.60 which should act as support and on the upside we have 16.30 which is a big pivot level.

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Silver Broken Trendline

Silver bearish trend may have ended once we broke the trendline that connects the 2011 highs and all the intermediate highs of this bearish trend. This bearish cycle has lasted almost 4 years and based on my experience any new major trend starts with a trendline breakout of previous trend. We already broke to the upside of the trendline that connects the highs of this bearish trend at beginning of the year(see Figure 1), and not only that but we had a successful retest of th…
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Update 1: It seems that now the 17.20 previous resistance level once broke it's acting as support and the momentum is starting to build up for the next up leg. Until than we should see further accumulation between 17.20-50 level.

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Update 2: As expected silver is now retesting the previous broken resistance at which is now new support. The 17.00 round number is acting as expected and the market is already inside a small range between 16.85-17.30 with the round number being a central pivot.

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Update 3: Even though we broke back inside the range this may be just a pullback. Right now we're below the key support level 17.00 at the next support level 16.50 which should act as support next week. We'll need a break and a close above 17.00 next week in order for the bullish momentum to come back

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