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I was thinking about shorting JPY pairs in this month´s trader contest as it was pretty obvious and first choice seeing that, on the main JPY pair with USD dollar, we are near this years high and near important resistance. But then I looked at monthly chart of USD/JPY seeing what JPY can do as last year was rising 9 months straight, depriciating JPY quite a lot with the help of BOJ. With that I change my mind and will be looking for betting that JPY will depreciate further (There should be BOJ interested as depreciated currency help exports and Japan is a big exporting country).

Wanted to upload a picture also but 100 kB is obviously big file. Next time

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Daytrader21 2013年12月02日

Some peoples just loss perspective and are not aware of the bigger picture. As you have said just because xxxjpy pairs have gone so much up in last year that's not reason enough to assume this move is over, it can go up in following years beyond your imagination

Paulito 2013年12月02日

Or it can go down beyond your imagination. You never know what is going to happen, so you have to be prepared for anything. What I do not like is that BOJ has the biggest word here and nobody knows what they are taking :-) But realizing that BOJ has big interest in depreciating its own currency (as almost every country, there was 5% depreciation of Czech national currency by Czech national bank in the past month), I think that we could se sth similiar in the next 6 months

ANABEVZ 2014年08月19日

well done!

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