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Aussie pulling back after six days of gains

al_dcdemo Posted 3 July  in #Trader's blog #China #Australia #Support #Resistance #AUD/USD #Economic Data #D1 Chart
There was some Australian economic data released overnight. AIG Manufacturing Index, MI Inflation Gauge and ANZ Job Advertisements came in better than expected/previous while Building Approvals lagged. Caixin Manufacturing PMI from China ticked back to into expansion.
All this failed to lift the tone in the Aussie which appears to have entered a correction phase after six consecutive days of gains during which it traded to 2016 - 2017 trendline near 0.7725. June high at 0.7635 may prove to be th…
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AUSTRALIA

kuzmichov1 Posted 7 Apr. as Analysis on AUS.IDX/AUD, Target: 5998.78910, Date: 1st of June, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Australia #Aus IDX/AUD #Ms4
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Antipodean Currencies Fall After China Services PMI Slips To 6-month Low

Dariusz Posted 6 Apr.  in #Australia #AUD/USD
Antipodean currencies such - the Australian, the New Zealand dollars weakened against their major counterparts in the Asian session on Thursday, after data showed that the services sector in China continued to expand in March, although at a slower pace in 6-months.
If the aussie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 1.43 against the euro and 82.00 against the yen.
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AUSTRALIA

kuzmichov1 Posted 6 Mar. as Analysis on AUS.IDX/AUD, Target: 5741.50630, Date: 1st of May, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Australia #Aus #Aus IDX/AUD #Ms4 #Idx
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Aussie to Rally Higher

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Oct. as Analysis on AUD/USD, Target: 0.798, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #USA #Australia #Trend #AUD/USD #Breakout #Us Dollar #Gains
I'm betting on the AUD/USD heading higher during November and here's why. On the first chart below we see a slow but steady trend higher for the Aussie.
On the second chart we notice the constant pressure by the bulls on the resistance area. With each thrust the odds increase that eventually they will break the dam and push prices upward. I'm placing my bet at 1.7980. This is just below the 1.8000 round figure and yet within the bounds of the monthly ATR for this pair.
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More of the Same in the AUD/NZD

fxsurprise8 Posted 31 Oct. as Analysis on AUD/NZD, Target: 1.0636, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Australia #Volatility #AUD/NZD #Aussie #Kiwi #Australian Dollar #New Zealand #Range Bound #New Zealand Dollar
I'm expecting more of the same for the AUD/NZD and here's why. First on the long-term charts we can see that this pair has been range-bound for the past 2 years. Although volatility has been high at times with prices hitting a high of 1.1676 last August and a low of 1.0019, no major changes happened in price.
This volatile but untimely range-bound movement can be seen in the second half of this year as well. See the chart below. During October the monthly range has been very small as well at onl…
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fxsurprise8 28 Nov.

It's been a trending month for most currency pairs but not so much for the AUD/NZD. Here we saw prices initially fall down over 300 pips, only to rally over 300 pips, then fall by over 200 pips.

So far in November we saw a total range of 340 pips, with a high of 1.0703 and a low at 1.0363.  This may seem like a lot but we are currently quoted at 1.0570, only 61 pips down since November 1st.

Compared to my forecast above we're down by 66 pips or around 0.62%. I will need some bullish movement into month-end to climb higher in the rankings.

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No Clear Trends Seen in AUD/NZD

fxsurprise8 Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on AUD/NZD, Target: 1.052, Date: 1st of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Australia #Volatility #AUD/NZD #Aussie #Kiwi #Australian Dollar #New Zealand #Range #New Zealand Dollar
No clear trend can be seen in the AUD/NZD. Volatility has been high at times with prices hitting a high of 1.1676 last August and a low of 1.0019 in April 2015. But no major changes happened in price as we saw the pair snap back from the extremes.
The two economies of Australia and New Zealand are closely linked thus range-bound movement seems to the norm for this pair. The short-term daily chart below confirm this view. We've made no progress in this pair since June of this year. Furthermore th…
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fxsurprise8 31 Oct.

The AUD/NZD is now quoted at 1.0640, about 120 pips above my forecasted price. The monthly range has been fairly small as well at only 260 pips, with a high at 1.0764 and a low at 1.0504.

Furthermore we still remain deep inside the now five-month range that started back in June, with a high at 1.0771 and the five-month low at 1.0236.

The three arguments above confirm my original analysis from above that there are no clear trends in this pair. I will need a helping hand from the market to move prices a bit closer to my target though.

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AUDUsd fundamentally recovering - technicals to follow

Copied from Internet AdamFx42 Posted 12 Feb. as Analysis on AUD/USD, Target: 0.7267, Date: 1st of April, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Fundamentals #Australia #AUD/USD #Bullish
Aud/Usd has rejected the lows of 0.70 a couple of times now
Data releases out of Australia point to a recovering economy, so the pair should go up
(what can't go down must go up)
We see a break of a downward trendline on the weekly chart:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/7bJ1eFfa/
The trendline has now acted as support after the upward break, and should the pair bullish again
On the daily chart we can see some kind of closing wedge pattern forming above weekly trendline
…
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AdamFx42 22 Feb.

Pair has broken above upper border/resistance as laid out on my daily chart- pattern breakout
AudUsd is now holding above this line/0.72, now to see if it will act as support, then the pair can start to move higher and take out previous daily highs above 0.7240

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AdamFx42 24 Feb.

Pair has retraced back within pattern, and I expect lower support to hold (see daily chart)
This means pair should stay above 0.7110 and move up again for next breakout

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AdamFx42 1 Mar.

Holding above bottom trendline on daily chart after move up and retracement

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AdamFx42 2 Mar.

Price around target now - AudUsd looking bullish, broken above pattern and taking out previous highs

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AdamFx42 2 Mar.

My target on this pair has just been hit - that is a bit soon
I do expect AudUsd to rise above 0.73, so maybe it will retrace back to my target after that
or we may go down from here and back up

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Резервный банк Австралии: австралийская экономика растет умеренными темпами

Daniil_Stolnikov Posted 1 Dec.  in #Trader's blog #Australia
  • Мировая экономика растет умеренными темпами
  • Перспективы экономики улучшились в последние месяцы
  • Перспективы инфляции дают пространство для дальнейшего смягчения политики
  • Цены на основные сырьевые товары намного ниже, чем год назад
  • Австралийский доллар корректируется под значительное падение цен на сырье
  • Ожидается, что ФРС начнет повышать процентные ставки
  • Политика процентных ставок довольно мягкая
…
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Австралийский доллар упал

Daniil_Stolnikov Posted 26 Nov.  in #Trader's blog #Australia #AUD/USD
Австралийский доллар упал против доллара США после выхода данных по капиталовложениям в Австралии. В третьем квартале частные капиталовложения в Австралии снизились на -9.2% по сравнению со вторым кварталом против прогноза о снижении на -3.0%. Предыдущее значение было пересмотрено с -4.0% на -4.4%. С начала года по сентябрь общий объем капиталовложений упал на 20,0%. В третьем квартале капиталовложений в строительство упали на -9.8%. Также значительно снизился объем капиталовложений в производст…
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