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FOMC Statement another 10B Tapering?

Right now the question is not if Fed will continue tapering but more how much are they going to taper. Are they going to be more aggressively or will they be very conservative.
If you're asking me I don't think they want to start being aggressively with the recent soft US economic data and beside if they send the wrong message to the market it can easily send the stock market in a sell off, which I'm sure they don't want to be blamed of. More likely they will play it very conservatively and will…
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Why is US Dollar Weak?

Last week we have seen the dollar selling of quite hard against major currency like euro and the yen. Most
likely the market driven theme for the dollar sell of was the lower yields.
We know that lower yields means
a weaker US dollar. So lower yields makes the US dollar somewhat less attractive for investors.
Figure 1 show us the US 10 Year bond Yield which have broken an important trend line that kept in place the
current up trend this may suggest that we may see the 10 year yields going furth…
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Tapering - The Unexpected Happen


I can't emphasize enough the idea and the importance that as a trader you must always be prepared for the unexpected and always taking in consideration the other side of the market. Basically this was the main idea behind my take on tapering decision.
The most awaited news for the year has just happened and again this was a strategic move from the Fed, if you remember not long ago Fed has given very strong signals to the market that they will end QE in September, but that shocked the market wit…
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sonjatrader avatar

Very good article Daytrader21,I totally agree

Daytrader21 avatar

Thank you Sonja.

geula4x avatar
geula4x 19 Dec.

+1 Liked: Very nice article, Daytrader21! Happy trading today :-)

Daytrader21 avatar

@gelua4x Thanks, I wish you good trading as well

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Wait for the FED

back at 1.38 EUR / USD, and now wait for the Fed.What will happen? ..... Bernanke where you're going? ..Good trading!
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How to trade a surprise Fed decision

Can the market really be this complacent heading into a Fed decision?

On September 18, the Fed burned many market watchers with a surprise decision not to taper. Six weeks later many traders plan to sleep through today’s FOMC decision, believing it will be similar to the previous statement. What is the risk of a surprise? In September, the Fed explained the decision not to taper like this:
Taking into account the extent of federal fiscal retrenchment, the Committee sees the improvement in eco…
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stane2405 avatar
stane2405 30 Oct.

well, I was surprised! my clock/time was 1 hour late, hehe

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Will Doctor Yellen prescribe a dose of inflation for the

The noises being made about a possible increases to QE are rising. A New YorkTimes story over the weekend adds further evidence that some are calling for more.
They note that the topic of discussion at the Fed may start to focus on inflation and whether more QE should be done to boost inflation up, to give the economy the boost it’s lacking.Harvard professor Kenneth Rogoff says that inflation needs to be embraced and that the Fed is being too meek. He wants inflation pushed up to 6% for a few ye…
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sonjatrader avatar

Peter Schiff comes to the easy conclusion than the new leader at FederalReserve is just as incapable as her predecessors of recognizing a dangerous asset bubble .Worse yet, a a diehard believer in the power of expansive monetary policy,Miss yellen would be much less likely to attack an asset bubble even if she were ever to recognize one before it burst

mimuspolyglottos avatar

It is just like bobsleigh sport. FED need steeper and steeper track to go down at the qualifying time forgeting to drive it. They think inertion and gravitation will do the job. And someone will see a crash of their bob close to VIP seats.

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Here comes Yellen!

Obama thanked Bernanke and introduced Yellen. No one said much of substance but this one caught my attention:
  • Yellen believes the Fed must have vigorous debate, then unite behind response
Other central banks are moving more toward openly expressing their opinions in public and that’s been true of the Fed under Bernanke. This is a hint that Yellen wants all the Fed Presidents to speak with one mouth in public.
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stane2405 avatar

hehe, here we go...

sonjatrader avatar

Yellen has a profile more continuity than Summers in relation to ultra soft boots monetary policy that Bernanke has propped up the US economy.UU. in the last few years. However, one of his first tasks will be the articulate a timetable for the withdrawal of these stimuli with which Washington has flooded liquidity markets. So far, only another woman, the Russian Elvira Nabiullina, had played a similar chargement...

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When will we actually believe in a recovery?

There was some very interesting response after the latest upbeat UK figures. The problem with judging a recovery is that you can’t confirm it until many months later when you can look back and say, “yep, that’s a recovery”. If a few figures start slipping early on then the fear creeps back in that the good run was temporary, the problems seem as bad as ever, and we’re all doomed….again, and so on. What are we supposed to do then? Do we fade the good figures if we believe that they will rever…
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When Will the US Dollar Substantially Increase in Value?

The US dollar rose in value only temporarily on Thursday when durable goods orders increased by 4.2% - exceeding predictions of 1.1%. That said, on Wednesday the US dollar rose in value compared to other major currencies as positive data regarding US new home sales and the US manufacturing industry sector was released. The Markit’s July flash purchasing managers’ index for the United States increased to its highest reading in four months to 53.2. Additionally, new home sales in the US in June ro…
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