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Previous Week in Summary


This past week we saw some big move developments and was a very busy week for the markets and the euro pairs generating the most interest. The past week risk events have been also generating some volatility which over the past weeks was hitting new lows.
First we have ECB which as expected has delivered and backed up Mario Draghi's words. Although ECB has introduced more easing than expected EUR/USD reaction took many by surprise. But this only add to t…
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EUR/USD Long Term View

Last time I've spoke about EUR/USD was on my latest webinar, that I had to do after coming in the second place in Article contest, and I spoke in more details about the chart I posted in this blog post: FED tappers Effect
Although the chart I posted suggested you should go long EUR/USD, the trade was only good for 100 pips, but on my webinar I've said that we also need a weekly close above 1.3800 which we have not, so that trade was invalidated but still you could have made 100 pips.
Also , my s…
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Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 2014年04月07日

Uuuuu.....this is one comprehensive analysis. Well it definatly looks hard for the euro to break the barier.

Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 2014年04月07日

The us dollar index  looks almost to good to be true...but who know, i will definatly keep it on my radar waiting for the big move. Thanks buddy for the great insights.

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Daytrader21 2014年04月07日

Thanks buddy, you're right timing is very important on this one

Berkeley avatar
Berkeley 2014年04月07日

I can't get enough from your blog posts! Impressive work here!

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Daytrader21 2014年04月07日

Berkeley you da man, Thanks for your good words.

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Preparing the week ahead


Last week was definitely hot in terms on high risk events as on one hand we had the ECB monetary policy and on the other hand we had NFP figures which saw 3 straight monthly increases in the labor market, and S&P500 hitting a new all time high. The fact that ECB has not acted on the deflationary pressures is becoming an increasingly bigger threat to EU zone this puts a higher risk on the upcoming inflation figures from different countries withing EU zone that are abo…
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Convallium 2014年04月06日

interesting post as always! )

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ECB Monetary Policy Statement

This is definitely the most awaited ECB meeting since awhile. After weaker EU inflation reading, the CPI figures came in worse than expected at 4 years low, at 0.5% and is well below the ECB's 2% target. Although ECB may feel some pressure as inflation hits new lows, I'm not sure if ECB is going to easing or not as there is no clear view if they are
ready to act and tame down deflationary pressure.
ECB is pretty stationary when it comes to the perception of his monetary policy standing.

A…
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Convallium avatar
Convallium 2014年04月03日

            You always write good and useful things! thank you, Daytrader21!

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Preparing the Week Ahead


Not only the market it can become very sensitive to the current geopolitical event which is Ukraine, but next week the economic calendar is very hot as we have the FED monetary policy announcement and the Fed peace of MBS and Treasury purchase program. Don't be fooled that recent event like the EM crisis or this geopolitical event can interfere with tapering, FED tapering is already on autopilot and we should see further $10B/meeting reduction in assets purchase and we should see Fed moving fur…
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Convallium avatar
Convallium 2014年03月16日

Great blog post!  We should always plan our deal if we want to have profit)

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Daytrader21 2014年03月16日

Convallium true, trading is all about preparation and execution.

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Convallium 2014年03月16日

Thank you, Daytrader21, I will use it on this week)

jezz avatar
jezz 2014年03月16日

I'm not sure if Draghi can help. His statements are... without authority, to be gentle. The overall negative exchanges between US and Russia are not helping USD at all. If I were Chinese, I would buy the dollar now :P

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Convallium 2014年03月16日

Thank you, Jezz ,for your vision)  I also try to operate with Chinese and USD)

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