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Consolidation with bearish tilt

marius24 Posted 21 Dec. as Analysis on USD/JPY, Target: 117.6700, Date: 2nd of February, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Ruble #USD/JPY #Boj #Pullback #Geopolitical Risk
Currency Pair:Usd/Jpy
Indicators: technical patterns and Sma50(red)+ Sma200 (blue)
Current price: 119.48
Trend: very strong uptrend
Possible trading range:115-121.80
Signals: At the first glance on the monthly chart it's seems that the upward move has reached its peak at around 121.80 and from this point a massive head and shoulders pattern can take shape only if the price decides to make a much serious pullback towards 113.
Fundamentals: The recent BOJ's stimulus will keep alive the bullish out…
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marius24 26 Jan.

update: Current price - 118.40 and the outlook in my view remians bearish due to a much-awaited downward correction in the usd index. Any bullish force is quite limited at this stage both technically and fundamentally

marius24 avatar
marius24 30 Jan.

update: Current price - 117.45.I was quite right saying that the upside looked limited at this stage (below 119) given the fundamentals which point towards even more downside correction.  Hope the price will remain in the current rangebound on Monday. IT's unlikely.

marius24 avatar
marius24 2 Feb.

update: THe price has stopped at 117.616 which means 5,4 pips distance from my target situated higher at 117.67. IT's a good forecast.

marius24 avatar
marius24 2 Feb.

update: 5,4 pips in relative terms means a deviation of 4,6% from my target. It,s worth to mention that usd/jpy has opened with a very large gap lower at 117.06 and went even lower at 116.96  mainly on the back of poor data coming out of China. DUring the day the bulls managed to recover all the lost ground.

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Durden 1 Mar.

good job

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Geopolitical Risk Greatest Threat to Risk Aversion

Daytrader21 Posted 12 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #Russia #EUR/USD #Ukraine #Us Dollar #Geopolitical Risk #Risk Aversion #Treasuries
Risk in the market remains elevate by current Russia-Ukraine conflict on the one hand and USA&EU vs Russia sanctions. I'm expecting this geopolitical risks to remain elevate in coming weeks as there are no sign of any de-escalation of this conflict. In this regard we should expect market sentiment to be in risk aversion mode as this is clearly suggested by the lower equity price and higher Treasuries.
Globally there is more than just Ukraine-Russia conflict we have Gaza-Israel conflict, Iraq, S…
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Trade Explanation

Daytrader21 Posted 8 Aug.  in #Trader's blog #EUR/JPY #GBP/JPY #Technicals #Geopolitical Risk #Risk Aversion
Here I'm going to give my explanation of my latest trades:
Currency Pair: EUR/JPY
Side: Long
Amount: 5Mill
Time Frame: 4h
Open Price: 136.66
Close Price: 136.983
PnL: +32pips
Open date: 06.08.2014 13:41:06
Close Date: 07.08.2014 05:16:52
Reasons Behind the trade: This trade was based pure on technicals, simply support and resistance levels on an intraday levels. But also on correlations as well as EUR/USD price action looks very oversold so I was expecting a short squeeze and this will drag EUR/…
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Neu_spir8 8 Aug.

Nicely analysed pal and by the way i got messed up when laughed about ur lose, my apology, will never do that again.

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Daytrader21 8 Aug.

Neu_spir8 Take it easy I never interpreted your comments that way. I laugh about my losses all the time:))

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Fed Tapers

Daytrader21 Posted 19 Mar.  in #Trader's blog #Fomc #Fed #Bloomberg #Geopolitical Risk #Forward Guidance #Janet Yellen #Tapers
The most awaited day of the month is here as Janet Yellen will chair her first meeting of the FOMC. In terms of market expectation the consensus is for another round of cut of $10B/month of assets purchases. Based on recent Bloomberg survey among economists 96% favors a $10B tapering (see Figure 1).
So despite the recent bad economic data from recent month due to bad weather and despite the geopolitical risk, Fed tapering should remain on autopilot and see a gradual move from his easing cycle.
T…
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kolokol 19 Mar.

i ntresting!

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