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DAY 7 - IDENTIFYING HIGHS & LOWS

alifari 7 1月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Highs #Lows
Identifying Highs & Lows is essential part of my trading. It saves me from being on wrong side of market majority of times. Lot of traders get stuck into conventional way of drawing highs & lows, but fail to understand its not about perfection, its about understanding market pulse by taking guidance from past swings, concentrating on current price action and predicting probability of next market move.
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USD/JPY closing the year near the highs

al_dcdemo 发布30 11月 为分析在 USD/JPY , Target: 120.0100, 日期: 2 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #USD/JPY #Close #Highs #Uptrend #Year End
Monthly chart:
Price is trending up towards strong resistance zone:
1. Trendline that contained the long-term downtrend in years 1986, 1990, 1998.
2. 23.6% retracement of November 1982 to October 2011 decline.
3. 2007 high at 124.14.
On the downside, the first major support is 200 month SMA at 106 and then 105 level.
Weekly chart:
As price is getting closer to 120 level, the momentum is somewhat weakening. The previous week's range bar clearly demonstrated indecision, but that was likely just a…
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5 意见
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al_dcdemo 6 12月

Update1: The USD/JPY train continues its journey to the North. If it continues with this pace, it could easily reach the monthly resistance cluster (123-124) or even 125 by the end of the year. All three analyses - technical, fundamental and sentimental - support the rally. The only counter-argument is that the market is overbought and year-end is near and possibility of a correction is rising. If the correction indeed materializes, my prediction target of 120.01 will again come in focus.

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al_dcdemo 13 12月

Update 2: We had quite decent (400 pip) pullback this week, but the lower tail on weekly candle indicates that the bulls won't give up just yet. There is also Japanese lower house election on Sunday, so understandably there was some profit taking present. We will have to wait till Monday to see whether this was really just a pullback or a start of a larger correction.

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al_dcdemo 20 12月

Update 3: It appears that last week's decline was just a normal correction. Of course we won't know that for sure until the price breaks and continues to trade above the December 8 high, but given that nothing has changed and Abe remains in charge, that is the most probable scenario. But it may not happen this year as the pair will likely just consolidate around current levels till year-end.

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al_dcdemo 27 12月

Update 4: Despite the consolidative nature of the week, the pair managed to re-take 120 and close the week above it. It seems that uptrend continuation and new multi year highs are just around the corner, but that probably won't happen until after the next week, which is expected to be range-bound.

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al_dcdemo 1 1月

Update 5: The pair didn't manage to close the year above 120 but, nevertheless, the rally from July 2014 was impressive and there's prevailing sentiment that the Yen's decline is far from being over. Looking at the long term chart and 1982 high of 278, the potential is immense. The distance just to 38.2% retracement of the 1982 - 2011 decline, which is just above 150 level, is almost 35K pips.

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Retreat from highs expected

rokasltu 发布31 10月 为分析在 USD/SGD , Target: 1.2777, 日期: 1 于 12月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #USD/SGD #Highs #Retreat
USD/SGD is on highs last seen in the middle of 2013. Broad USD strength is seen across the board and now I think for some week rate will be in process of further direction determination. Mentioned developments could be seen in weekly USD/SGD chart below.
In my opinion during coming moth rate will fluctuate inside quite narrow range before further direction will be determined but this might happen only at the beginning of next year. For more exact possible rate developments determination daily US…
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rokasltu 7 11月

3 weeks till contest end - USD/SGD nearly reached 1.30 as it moved higher than I expected. But soft US jobs data reversed pair direction and now rate is around 1.29. In my opinion rate will return under 1.2873 during coming week and will fluctuate below that level afterwards.

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rokasltu 17 11月

2 weeks till contest end - USD shows strength again and rate tried to move above 1.30 but didn't stayed there for a long. I think despite recent highs is still under attack substantial retreat is not so far in my opinion.

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Priceline On the Move

jaytrader 11 8月的订阅  在 #Equities #Stocks #Bluechip #Highs #Index
Hello Traders,
I was checking out some recent earning news and this chart jumped out at me. Looks like a nice inverted head and shoulders (bullish signal) has formed and new highs for Priceline.com is looking strong. Notice the 200 SMA is pushing up the price. The only concern comes at the psychological and resistance price area of 1300. The bulls seems to be testing the 1300 area, and if that is cleared I am looking for 1400 to as a target.
Happy Trading,
Jay Trader
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AUD/JPY - Bearish Correction !

Metal_Mind 发布28 11月 为分析在 AUD/JPY , Target: 92.9500, 日期: 2 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Support #AUD/JPY #Fibonacci #Highs #Fan #Lines #Retracement #Lows #Waves


Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 92.95
[color=#000000]AUD/JPY[/color] pair is set in a bullish channel for quite a while. We have several higher highs in place and higher lows. On the chart bellow on previos support we can see that there are some similarities between the 2 larger waves and minor waves. On the previous minor waves we can see that it has retraced from the 50.00% fibonacci retracement line and…
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Metal_Mind 26 12月

UPDATE 1: This prediction is extremly accurate. The bearish correction occured as predicted and the target was reached 2 times already once in the bearish wave and now on the bullish retracement. Current price level is 93.06 which is only 11 pips deviation above the 92.95 target level. This one will be very close.

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Metal_Mind 28 12月

UPDATE 2: The made a swing high yesterday .Current price level is 93.18 which is 23 pips deviation from the target. Nonetheless the prediction is very close and could be proven really accurate.

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Metal_Mind 30 12月

UPDATE 3:There were some moves in the markets today. Current price level is 93.57 which is 60 pips deviation from target.

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Metal_Mind 1 1月

UPDATE 4:This was one of my best predictions but these market conditions seem to send the pair far beyond my target. Current price level is 93.90 which is 100 pips deviation from target.

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Metal_Mind 2 1月

Final Update : Price at settlement was 93.31 which represents a 36 pips deviation from target.

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AUDNZD -Third Wave !

Metal_Mind 发布28 11月 为分析在 AUD/NZD , Target: 1.1228, 日期: 2 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Support #AUD/NZD #Bearish #Highs #Fan #Lines #Range #Lows #Waves


Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 1.1188
AUD/NZD is in a bearish trend for quite a while now.If we look at the chart bellow we can see the pair has recently formed some bearish waves that moves within a ''range look alike pattern'' but the lower highs and lower lows tell us this is a bearish trend that we are talking about.My wiew is that another wave will occur the following month …
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Metal_Mind 26 12月

UPDATE 1 : THis prediction is very far from target. Current price level is 1.0891 which over 400 pips bellow target. The bearish move of the third wave was way stronger than anticipated.

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USD/CHF - Descending Channel !

Metal_Mind 发布24 11月 为分析在 USD/CHF , Target: 0.901, 日期: 2 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Highs #USD/CHF #Macd #Channel #Retracement #Lows #Overbought #Descending

Charts: 4 Hours, 1 Week.
Indicators:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels,Time Markers,MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level : 0.9072

USD/CHF for some months now is in a descending channel pattern which seems to set lower highs & lower lows every month.I expect another bearish trend in month to come followed by retracement.I see a potential support zone around the (0.8800) price level from which the trend could retrace higher along the 50.00% fibonacci fan line.MACD is overbought so th…
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5 意见
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Metal_Mind 26 12月

UPDATE 1 : EXCELENT prediction . The price action developed exacty as i draw it on the chart . Now the current price level is 0.8959,which is 50 pips below target and is forming that bullish retracement as seen on the chart. This prediction could be very close.

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Metal_Mind 28 12月

UPDATE 2: THe pair made a strong bearish move yesterday. Current price level is 0.8909 which is almost 100 pips deviated from target.

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Metal_Mind 30 12月

UPDATE 3:Current price level is 0.8879 which is not less than 120 pips deaviation from target.

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Metal_Mind 1 1月

UPDATE 4: Yesterday big moves in the market has made this pairt go up nearly 70 pips and bring it closer to my target. Current price level is 0.8934 which is 64 pips bellow my target. Tommorow is the settlement and the trend is on the right path.

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Metal_Mind 2 1月

Final Update : Price as settlement seem to have been 0.8987 which represent 23 pips deviation . Now at 3 hours after settlement the price reached the target.

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GBP/NZD - Channel Down!

Metal_Mind 发布21 11月 为分析在 GBP/NZD , Target: 1.9070, 日期: 2 于 1月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #Trend #Support #Bearish #Down #Highs #GBP/NZD #Channel #Lows
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacii Fan Lines, Fibonacci Retracements,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :1.9575
GBP/NZD has a mixed bias right now. If last month the pair was trending and looked like it will break higher (1.96) level and maybe a run towards (2.00 )price level this month the trend is surely bearish. Also the pair is going downward in a wide channel down pattern were it constantly made lower highes & lower lows strenghten this prediction.My…
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Metal_Mind 26 12月

UPDATE 1 : Wrong Prediction

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USDCAD- Breaking Fan Lines!!

Metal_Mind 发布31 10月 为分析在 USD/CAD , Target: 1.0299, 日期: 2 于 12月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #USD/CAD #Fibonacci #Highs #Fan #Lines #Lower #Higher #Lows #Waves #Target

Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :1.0458

USDCAD started a big channel up in September last year from support ( 0.9633). The trend has been pretty strong , bouncing up and down from fan lines but always breaking higher. Recent price action as can be seen on the chart shows two similar waves that formed lower highs and higher lows ,breaking fan lines lower , which make me think looking …
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Metal_Mind 21 11月

UPDATE 1 : This prediction is wrong . Current trend is bullish and at 300 pips from target.

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GBP/CHF ASCENDING CHANNEL

Metal_Mind 发布29 9月 为分析在 GBP/CHF , Target: 1.4823, 日期: 1 于 11月, 12:00 GMT  在 #Technical analysis #GBP #CHF #Trend #Bullish #Highs #GBP/CHF #Channel #Lows #Strength #Ascending
Charts: 1 Day,1Week.
Indicators: ;Fibonancci Fan Lines 1D, 1W Time Frame ;Support & Resistance Levels,RSI,VOLUMEEXT
Current Level : 1.4626

GBP/CHF recent trend developments shows a potential ascending channel formation backed by recent higher lows (supports) and higher highs (resistances) as can be observed very well on the chart.Also Relative Strength Index is bullish on 1 Day TF showing that there is room for further bullish move.Volume gives us a hint showing that there is selling press…
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Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 30 9月

I have stopped trading gbpchf long time ago, didn't liked this pair at all. I hope it will work for you

Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 22 10月

UPDATE 1: GBP/CHF formed a mini range between 1.4460 & 1.4670 and now the current level is 1.4545 at over 300 pips from the target level.

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Metal_Mind 1 11月

UPDATE 2: The current level at this pair is 1.4553 and the pair is in a bearish trend that is slowly descending in waves. Deviation over 300 pips from target.

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