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TRENDLESS REGIME


INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.47022 1.48683 1.50887 1.55108

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/CHF pair is moving in a bullish dynamics in a channel pattern with a resistance zone at 1.55108. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.…
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Durden avatar
Durden 14 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  slightly bearish  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buying market side forecast. The pair GBP/CHF  can have a -0.1%  %  at the Asian session opening. 

Durden avatar
Durden 28 Jan.

The chart analysis, the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying market side forecast. 
HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly  bullish regime.
The GBP/CHF  pair  can have a + 0.7  %  at the Asian session opening. 
The Oil drivers forecast correlated with the GBP economy  could support a little bearish tendency for the pair.

Durden avatar
Durden 31 Jan.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair GBP/CHF  can have a  buying domination  at the Asian session opening.

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AUD/CHF Trendless

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 0.72187 0.72917 - 0.74310

SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.7098 0.67010

PAIR ANALYSIS :
The AUD/CHF currency pair pattern is in a slighty bullish trend but it could be possible that it can be dominated by a trendless parallel channel considering the two keys level price at 0.74310 and 0.7098. The Linear Regression Slope at 0.0001 , the MFI value and the Parabolic Sar can support the trendless or slig…
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Comment  1 - The asian session opened with not so much volatility.  The releases about AUD and the  can support a trendless zone for the pair AUD/CHF .
The linear regression slope and the parabolic sar seem to support a slightly bearish forecast for the session.  Also the MFI seems to suggest the possibility of a bearish regime.

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Comment 2 -  The chart analysis and the linear regression slope seems to be slightly bullish dominated.  Also the parabolic sar and the MFI seem to suggest a slightly tendency. At the opening of the Asian session it could be possible  a trendless forecast for the AUD/CHF.  The standard deviation that measure the dispersion of the data suggest a contained volatility of the tendency.

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Comment 3  - At the opening of the European session  the AUD/CHF  seems to be in slightly bullish tendency.  The Parabolic Sar is in accordance with the slightly bullish forecast. The linear regression slope at 0.0032  suggest the possibility of a slightly bearish  pattern. The objective for the US session opening could be in agreement with a 0.0029%

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Indicators
: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.65188 0.68918 0.71882 0.73012

Weekly Charts pattern : Triangle, Trendless, W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/CHF is moving in a slightly bullish dynamics. The chart analysis indicates a trendless regime can be supported by the chart analysis and the negative Hidden Markov indicator. Volume, RSI and Standard deviation analysis suggest a slightly bullish dynamics.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates tha…
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Durden avatar
Durden 12 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair  AUD/CHF  can have a +0.1 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Nov.

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair AUD/CHF can have a +0.1% at the Asian session opening.
Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  bullish regime.

Durden avatar
Durden 30 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  buying  market side forecast. The pair  AUD/CHF  can have a  +0.9 % at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 13 Dec.

The  AUD/CHF  pair can have a bearish retracement in consideration of the HMM forecast. Also the oil forecast could facilitate the barish AUD regime

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GBP/CHF possibility of trendless

CHART SCALE: Weekly

INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.50807 - 1.53081 - 1.56803

SUPPORT LEVELS : 1.30093 - 1.34917 - 1.44892

PAIR ANALYSIS :
GBP/CHF is in a trendless zone after the bearish retracement at 1.53081 in fig 1 . Since beginning of 02/2013 the currency pair has been dominated by long position tendencies with few corrections along the pattern channel.
But the UK economy release give some opportunity for the selling market.
Th…
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Comment 1 - The Great Britain Economy shows a great Sales release and a 0.5% GDP ( forecast at 0.6% ). This economic results can be analyzed as a trendless correlation with the pair.  Technically the pair GBP/CHF  in consideration of the positive linear regression slope seems to support the slightly bullish tendency.

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Comment 2 -  The pair  GBP/CHF  is in a bearish tendency . Also the linear regression slope and the UK monetary policy  seems to support the tendency. Objective -0.8%.

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Comment 4    - The asian session can open with not so much volatility.  The releases about GBP  can support a trendless zone for the pair  GBP/CHF .  Possible objective of the asian session is  0.03%

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EUR/SGD Trendless

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
SUPPORT LEVELS : 1.59828 - 1.60812 - 1.64135 -1.7683
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.55298
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The EUR/SGD could be considered is in a trendless pattern within a triangle figure as indicated in Fig 2. The linear regression slope at 0.005 and the tendency of the Parabolic Sar support the slightly bullish possible forecast.
The chart analysis could suggest as possible trendless zone the area between 1.64135 a…
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Comment 1 - The EURO Zone monetary policy that could include the possibility of a new kind of QE support the bearish forecast of the pair EUR/SGD.

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Comment 2 -  The  EURO zone  is in a bearish tendency . Also the linear regression slope and the  German Industrial production  seems to support the tendency.  Bearish forecast for EUR/SGD.

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Comment 4    - The asian session can open with not so much volatility.  The releases about EUR  can support a trendless zone for the pair EUR/SGD .  Possible objective of the asian session is  0.1%

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EUR/NZD Slightly bearish or trendless pattern

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.7182 - 1.7982 - 1.95301

SUPPORT LEVELS : 1.6181 - 1.6693

PAIR ANALYSIS :
EUR/NZD is in a bearish trend. Since beginning of 17/09/2015 the currency pair has been dominated by a bearish position tendency with different corrections along the channel constrains lines as indicated in fig 2. The Linear Regression Slope around -0.005, the MFI and the configuration of the Parabolic Sar seem t…
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Comment 1 - The EURO Zone monetary policy that could include the possibility of a new kind of QE support the bearish forecast of the pair EUR/NZD .

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Comment 2 -  The  EURO zone  is in a bearish tendency . Also the linear regression slope and the  German Industrial production  seems to support the tendency.  Bearish forecast for EUR/NZD.

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Comment 3    - The asian session can open with not so much volatility.  The releases about EUR  can support a trendless zone for the pair EUR/NZD .  Possible objective of the asian session is  0.03%

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AUD/CAD possibility of trendless in a bearish channel ?

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.94132 - 0.9499 - 0.9887
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 0.91823

PAIR ANALYSIS :
The AUD/CA is in a slightly bullish tone after a rebounce the 02/09/2015 as indicated in fig 2. The pair pattern analysis suggests the possibility possible bounce around the resistance line at around the key level price at 0.9499. The Linear Regression Slope around 0.0001 can be analyzed as trendless pattern configuration…
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Comment 1 - The AUD/CAD is in a slightly bullish pattern. The linear regression slope, the parabolic Sar and the MFI support this tendency. 

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Comment 2    - The asian session can open with not so much volatility.  The releases about China  can support a trendless zone for the pair  AUD/CAD.  Possible objective of the asian session is 0.22 %

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Trendless USD/JPY

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
SUPPORT LEVELS : 120.003 - 121.932 - 125.098
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 116.983
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The USD/JPY is in a trendless pattern as indicated in fig 1. The Linear Regression Slope around -0.007 and the Parabolic Sar support the slightly bearish tendency. The US US labor market and the NFP improvement could be an opportunity for the bullish speculators in consideration of a possible interest rate improving. A …
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Comment 1 - The possibility of a interest rate decision give support to the buy USD monopoly.
This bullish  tendency has a retracement in consideration of the GDP at 1.5 % and the Home Sales at -2.3%.
This could be an opportunity for the pair USD/JPY  bullish position.

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Comment 2 -  NFP  could give support to the USD,  the market could evaluate a great result as in favor of a rate improvement in consideration of the Federal Reserve president opinion. USD/JPY Bullish objective at 0.8%

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EUR/USD trendless in a triangle


CHART SCALE
: Weekly

INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.17131 - 1.1503 - 1.14329 -1.1383
SUPPORT LEVELS: 1.1002 - 1.1177 - 1.1303
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The EUR/USD pair pattern is in a trendless triangle pattern as indicated in fig 2. Most of the indicator that in W1 and D1 support the slightly bearish trend but the support line at 1.1303 could give consistence to the triangle pattern analysis. In consideration that since the beginning of 04/201…
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Comment 1 - The possibility of a interest rate decision give support to the buy USD monopoly.
This bearish tendency has a retracement in consideration of the GDP at 1.5 % and the Home Sales at -2.3%.
This could be an opportunity for the pair EUR/USD  bearish position.

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Comment 2 -  NFP  could give support to the USD,  the market could evaluate a great result as in favor of a rate improvement in consideration of the Federal Reserve president opinion. EUR/USD bearish objective at -0.8%

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HKD/JPY Trendless


CHART SCALE
: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
SUPPORT LEVELS : 16.2208
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 14.9998 - 15.5223
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The HKD/JPY is in a bullish secondary trend as indicated in FIG 1. The pair pattern shows the slightly slope of the tendency. The MFI and the Linear Regression Slope around -0.003 support the trendless. The bearish parabolic distribution facilitate the secondary bearish forecast. A bullish crossing 16.2208 can validate a bullish m…
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al_dcdemo avatar

Great analysis and forecast, nicely supplied with updates, well done!

Yulia_Krasitskaya avatar

well done, good luck!

WallStreet6 avatar

Good analysis

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 2 Nov.

good work!

Natalia_Kisenko avatar

good article!

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