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NFP - The State of US Labor Market

Daytrader21 更新2 7月  在 #Trader's blog #Nfp #Fed #Interest Rate #Unemployment Rate #Labor Market #4Th Of July
Due to the 4th of July US holiday, the NFP report will be release 1 day earlier and not the usual first Friday of the month.
The market forecast for today's reading has quite a big rage starting from as low as 231k to as high as 270k down from previous reading of 280k. The only thing stable and where there is a consensus is for the unemployment rate to drop from 5.4% down from 5.5%.
Despite the recent global turmoil the US job market is quite strong as over the past months we had 15th times rea…
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NFP - The State of the US Labor Market

Daytrader21 9 1月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Nfp #Volatility #Inflation #Unemployment Rate #Whipsaw #Us Labor Market
The market has been exceptionally active since beginning of the year. This higher volatility is not exclusively showing up only on the FX market as other assets classes are exhibiting the same kind of volatility. This higher volatility are having an impact on how the market interprets the economic data as they become more important and the market more sensitive to any deviation from market forecasts.
Even thought NFP is an important market mover this volatility environment makes it even more imp…
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Jackson Hole Symposium. Why it Matter?

Daytrader21 21 8月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Yellen #Inflation #Interest Rates #Unemployment Rate #Jackson Hole #Labor Market
Jakson Hole is an economic symposium conference that has been hold each year since 1978 by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. For more than three decades this economic symposium has been gathering together Finance ministers, central bank presidents and academics from around the world. Jackson Hole theme for Aug. 21-23 2014 will be "Re-Evaluating Labor Dynamics".
 Unfortunately many Wall Streeters and other private-sector economists have not been invited anymore signaling a shift from prev…
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taxi_driver avatar
taxi_driver 21 8月

Thanks for posting!

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ANABEVZ 21 8月

interesting..

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What to Expect For Non-Farm Payrolls

Daytrader21 更新1 8月  在 #Trader's blog #Nfp #EUR/USD #Taper #Unemployment Rate #Account Balance #Adp #Limit Orders
There is no better way to start the new trading month contest but with such a big risk event like NFP figures.
For sure this is quite a big opportunity to make a quick buck, but we have to take in consideration the downside as well as if you're trading full size your account balance can be wiped out from the first day, if you're using limit orders you may not get a fill and if you're using market orders you can get quite a big slippage.
But no doubt even in this environment you can make money a…
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Prepering the Week Ahead

Daytrader21 6 7月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Yellen #Qe #Interest Rates #Us Dollar #Fomc Minutes #Unemployment Rate

The main risk event of the week ahead will be definitely the FOMC minutes. Previous meeting came out pretty much in line with market expectation with Yellen making the case that rates are going to stay low for a considerable time after QE ends in Q4. But lets not forget her comments from few months ago where she explicitly said that rates are going to go higher "6 months after QE ends" but this is just a standard talking from CB, this double talking makes the market not be skewed in just one si…
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NFP, Jobs Report

Daytrader21 2 5月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Yellen #Us Dollar #Unemployment Rate #Qualitative Forward Guidance #Nfp Jobs Report
Today is a big day in term of risk events as we have the job report. The labor market seems to be picking up as the recent bad weather effect on the market is fading away and the job market has start picking up.
Market participants will pay close attention to this figures especially after Yellen has introduced the new qualitative forward guidance and employment data has become an indicator of economic growth.
This NFP report has a great potential of being a big market moving after later this wee…
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Preparing the week ahead

Daytrader21 6 4月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Ecb #Nfp #AUD/USD #Boj #EUR/USD #Unemployment Rate #Easing #Risk Events #Deflationary

Last week was definitely hot in terms on high risk events as on one hand we had the ECB monetary policy and on the other hand we had NFP figures which saw 3 straight monthly increases in the labor market, and S&P500 hitting a new all time high. The fact that ECB has not acted on the deflationary pressures is becoming an increasingly bigger threat to EU zone this puts a higher risk on the upcoming inflation figures from different countries withing EU zone that are abo…
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Convallium 6 4月

interesting post as always! )

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Non Farm Payroll

Daytrader21 7 3月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Dollar #Nfp #Interest Rates #Fed #Unemployment Rate #Us Job Market #Wages
The market consensus for today's release is that the employment will increase another 151K workers which is still a modest raise after last month worst than expected data.
Last two month's release where very bad for the US job market with a modest 113k jobs created in January and a very bad number of only 75k jobs created in December.
The only steady numbers is the unemployment rate which is expected to decrease again by 0.1% from 6.6% to 6.5%.
In Figure 1 you can observe how volatile the Non…
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Prepering the week ahead

Daytrader21 16 2月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Boe #Central Banks #Rba #Boj #Cpi #Inflation #Unemployment Rate #Forward Guidance

In comparison to last week economics events we should expect for the week ahead some pretty decent action. Although there are no major central bank meeting this week except BOJ Monetary Policy and Interest rates decision we have other data like the CPI which are measuring the inflation and have a threshold target from central bank forward guidance.

Here are the main risk events for this week that you should pay attention:
[list][/list]…
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4 意见
Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 16 2月

good job bro. Your blog sure helps me in fundamental contest to be always up to date.

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 16 2月

Thanks buddy, at least I hope you'll win the Fundamental Contest, too bad I don't have to much time left otherwise I'll be all over it:)

Metal_Mind avatar
Metal_Mind 16 2月

Thanks buddy. I know. You were the fundamental superstar. You won a dozen prizees.

HOANG_MAI_NHI avatar
HOANG_MAI_NHI 17 2月

Thanks pro

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Preparing the Week Ahead

Daytrader21 9 2月的订阅  在 #Trader's blog #Qe #Economic Calendar #Fed #Unemployment Rate #Inflation Rate

After last week heavy economic calendar, this week economic news looks more soft than previous week. We should expect the current sentiment, after very weak jobs numbers to continue in the week ahead, so don't expect big changes in the current market trends.
  • US Economic Data:
On 11th Feb he new Fed Chairman Janet Yellen will deliver his first monetary policy speech in front of Congress. I think she will continue with the current Fed's rhetoric that QE program worked and that any further reductio…
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