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FX Strategy

kahinistanbul Posted 6 Jan.  in #Trader's blog #RUB #CHF #D #Yen #Gd #Fa #Zone #W #A
In the G10 currencies today, USD and NZD are among the top gainers while CHF and JPY are the worst performers. USD is firming today given strong manufacturing PMI numbers and unexpectedly high Adp employment change yesterday. AUD was also subdued following weak trade balance data overnight. Elsewhere, the German Retail sales reported unexpectedly strong numbers (2.3% actual vs 1.1% expected) but we may not see much of an EUR move before inflation rate later today. In the equities space, the Nikk…
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DAY 17 - Trading in the Zone

alifari Posted 17 Feb.  in #Trader's blog #Trading #Zone
Trading in the Zone remain my favorite book and I recommend fellow traders to read it, as it has some great insights, as far as trading psychology is concern which is vital for trading success.
In order to succeed we have to work hard on our methodology and acquire an edge which will put us ahead in the game over the long term. Do not worry about individual wins or losses, and do not even think about whether any one trade is going to be a winner or a loser. The key is to take each trade which co…
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Sell AUD/CAD in supply zone

martoooo Posted 2 Aug.  in #AUD #CAD #Audcad #Sell #H4 #Zone #Resistance Area #Supply
I am just waiting for a likely entry level to sell AUD/CAD. Good chance to trade in the supply zone
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USD/SGD bullish channel

foreignexchange Posted 30 Aug. as Analysis on USD/SGD, Target: 1.4329, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #SGD #USD #Bullish #USD/SGD #Parabolic Sar #Money Flow Index #Linear Regression Slope #Zone #Trendlines

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.4329 - 1.45987

SUPPORT LEVELS : 1.21908 - 1.31985 - 1.3929

PAIR ANALYSIS :
CAD/CHF is in a bullish trend within a parallel channel after a retracement at 05/2015 as indicated in fig 1 . Since beginning of 27/04/2015 the currency pair has been dominated by a long position tendency with few corrections along the bullish pattern channel. The Linear Regression Slope around 0.005 , the…
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4 Comments
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foreignexchange 30 Aug.

Comment 1 - The 27/08/2015 GDP release indicates the improvement of the US economy.
The cyclic technical analysis and the  NFP  forecast could support the USD/SGD bullish trend 

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 2 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair USD/SGD pattern indicates a slightly bullish trend. This trend can be supported by the positive linear regression slope and the bullish parabolic Sar.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 15 Sep.

Comment 3 - Retail Sales can be considered in a steady state at 0.4%.
GDP reading, Unemployment Rate, goods order and CB Consumer Confidence support the Sales recovery. In this context the pair USD/SGD can shows a bullish trend for the session.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 25 Sep.

Comment 4 - The great result at GDP Q2 (+ 0.2 on forecast) seems to suggest to facilitate the USD recovery. Also the Michigan consumer sentiment can be a support for the bullish trend for  USD/SGD

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USD/SEK trendless in a Rectangle

foreignexchange Posted 30 Aug. as Analysis on USD/SEK, Target: 8.5829, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Resistance #Parabolic Sar #Money Flow Index #Linear Regression Slope #Zone #USD/SEK
CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 8.58293 - 8.79998

SUPPORT LEVELS : 8.1098

PAIR ANALYSIS :
USD/SEK is in a trendless tendency within a rectangle consolidation area as indicated in fig 1 . Since beginning of 12/04/2015 the currency pair has been dominated by a consolidation position tendency with different profitable trade along the resistance lines and the support line at 8.79998 and 8.1098 . The Linear Regression Slop…
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foreignexchange 30 Aug.

Comment 1 - The 27/08/2015 GDP release indicates the improvement of the US economy.
The cyclic technical analysis and the  NFP  forecast could support the bullish tendency for the USD/SEK

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 2 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair USD/ZAR pattern indicates a slightly bullish tendency . This trend can be supported by the positive linear regression slope and the bullish parabolic Sar.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 15 Sep.

Comment 3 - Retail Sales can be considered in a steady state at 0.4%.
GDP reading, Unemployment Rate, goods order and CB Consumer Confidence support the Sales recovery. In this context the pair USD/SEK can shows a bullish tendency for the session.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 25 Sep.

Comment 4 - The great result at GDP Q2 (+ 0.2 on forecast) seems to suggest to facilitate the USD recovery. Also the Michigan consumer sentiment can be a support for the bullish tendency for USD/SEK

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USD/MXN Bullish trend

foreignexchange Posted 28 Aug. as Analysis on USD/MXN, Target: 16.9817, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #USD #Support #Resistance #Bullish #Parabolic Sar #Money Flow Index #Linear Regression Slope #Zone #Trendlines #USD/MXN

CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 16.9817 - 17.30812

SUPPORT LEVELS : 15.7094

PAIR ANALYSIS :

The USD/MXN pair pattern is in a bullish trend within a channel as indicated in fig 1. The Linear Regression Slope at 0.1, the parabolic Sar distribution facilitate the support of the slightly bullish tendency. In consideration of the cyclic analysis it is possible to have a retracement around the key level zone at 17.30812 …
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foreignexchange 30 Aug.

Comment 1 - The 27/08/2015 GDP release indicates the improvement of the US economy.
The cyclic technical analysis and the  NFP  forecast could support for the pair USD/MXN a bullish trend.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 2 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair USD/MXN pattern indicates a slightly bullish tendency. This trend can be supported by the positive linear regression slope and the bullish parabolic Sar.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 15 Sep.

Comment 3 - Retail Sales can be considered in a steady state at 0.4%.
GDP reading, Unemployment Rate, goods order and CB Consumer Confidence support the Sales recovery. In this context the pair USD/MXN can shows a bullish behavior for the session.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 25 Sep.

Comment 4 - The great result at GDP Q2 (+ 0.2 on forecast) seems to suggest to facilitate the USD recovery. Also the Michigan consumer sentiment can be a support for the bullish tendency on the USD/MXN

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NZD/CHF bearish with possible retracement

foreignexchange Posted 25 Aug. as Analysis on NZD/CHF, Target: 0.5968, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Support #NZD/CHF #Parabolic Sar #Linear Regression Slope #Zone
CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 0.6398 - 0.65103
SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.5789 - 0.59683
PAIR ANALYSIS :
NZD/CHF has been traded within a bearish trend as indicated in fig 1. The bearish domination can be evaluated in consideration of the linear regression slope around -0.00232 the chart analysis and the parabolic Sar distribution.
The cyclic analysis integrated with the chart analysis can suggest a possible retracement around…
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foreignexchange 30 Aug.

Comment - The  NZD/CHF seems to faciliate a bearish tendency. The Crude Oil forecast and the China economy releases could suggest that the commodity pairs as the new zeland dollars, the canadian dollar, the australian dollar can have a bearish retracements. 

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foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 2 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair NZD/CHF pattern indicates a slightly bearish trend . This trend can be supported by the negative linear regression slope and the bearish parabolic Sar

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GBP/NZD Bullish with possible trendless zone

foreignexchange Posted 25 Aug. as Analysis on GBP/NZD, Target: 2.3381, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #GBP #NZD #Trend #GBP/NZD #Parabolic Sar #Money Flow Index #Linear Regression Slope #Zone
CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 2.53110
SUPPORT LEVELS : 2.2701 - 2.33814

PAIR ANALYSIS :
The GBP/NZD is in a bullish trend around a resistance zone at 2.3589 as indicated in fig2 . Since beginning of 20/04/2015 the currency pair has been dominated by a buyers positions tendency with few corrections along the pattern channel. The Linear Regression Slope around 0.001 support the trendless forecast so considering the cha…
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3 Comments
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foreignexchange 30 Aug.

Comment - The  GBP/NZD seems to faciliate a bullish tendency. The Crude Oil forecast and the China economy releases could suggest that the commodity pairs as the new zeland dollars, the canadian dollar, the australian dollar can have a bearish retracements. 

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 2 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair GBP/NZD pattern indicates a slightly bullish trend . This tendency can be supported by the positive linear regression slope and the bullish parabolic Sar

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 15 Sep.

Comment 3 -  CPI at 0.0% suggest the possibility of a slightly bearish tendency for the session.

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EUR/NOK possibility of bearish retracement

foreignexchange Posted 23 Aug. as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.1297, Date: 1st of October, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #NOK #Resistance #EUR/NOK #Parabolic Sar #Money Flow Index #Linear Regression Slope #Zone
CHART SCALE: Weekly

INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope

RESISTANCE LEVELS: 9.32 - 9.35

SUPPORT LEVELS : 8.7092 - 9.008 - 9.31192

The USD/NOK pair pattern is in a bullish trend as indicated in fig 1 . Since beginning of 14/05/2015 the currency pair has been dominated by a long position tendency with a sellers opportunity correction at 9.098 . The Linear Regression Slope at 0.02, the Parabolic Sar distribution and Money Flow Index support the bullish analysis. …
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foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 1 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair EUR/NOK pattern indicates a slightly bullish tendency . This trend can be supported by the bullish linear regression slope and the bullish parabolic Sar distribution

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USD/SGD Crossing the Resistance Line

foreignexchange Posted 30 July as Analysis on USD/SGD, Target: 1.3911, Date: 1st of September, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Resistance #USD/SGD #Parabolic Sar #Money Flow Index #Linear Regression Slope #Zone

CHART SCALE: Weekly

INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
SUPPORT LEVELS : 1.39108 - 1.42897
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.3193 - 1.33291
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The USD/SGD currency pair crossed the resistance trendline the 23/07/2015 remaining in a relatively consistent Bullish trend as indicated in fig 1 .
The Linear Regression Slope at 0.006 and the MFI indicator support the USD demand.
The 1.39108 level price can be utilyzed as a resistance to eventually conside…
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5 Comments
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foreignexchange 31 July

Comment 1 - At the meeting of the FOMC, the Fed has apparently given no change regarding the monetary policy. The interest rate remains at 0.25%, this can be analyzed as a possible neutral on chart analysis.  In consideration of the American economy scenario it is possible to forecast a slightly bullish tendency.

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 5 Aug.

Comment      2  - The USD is in a bearish tendency against other major currencies after data showed a smaller improvement than expected non-farm payrolls data in July, weighing on expectations of a rise in interest rates.  The payroll processing company ADP reported that nonfarm employment has seen an increase of around 185,000 new jobs, against a forecast of 215,000 units. So the SGD  can have a recovery .

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 12 Aug.

Comment 3 -  The NFP release marginally disappointed the USD bulls. The  215,000 in the NFP values  did not improve the 225,000 units forecasted but the result can be  evaluated as profitable for an improvement of the interest rate. So it is possible a bullish trend for the UD/GD pair

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 30 Aug.

Comment 4 - The 27/08/2015 GDP release indicates the improvement of the US economy.
The cyclic technical analysis and the  NFP  forecast could support the USD/SGD bullish trend

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 31 Aug.

Comment 5 - At the opening of  week 30/08/2015 the pair USD/SGD pattern indicates a slightly bullish propency. This trend can be supported by the positive linear regression slope and the bullish parabolic Sar.

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