In today's blog post I want to take the time and talk about my recent trade which was long GBP/USD. This trade was based on a market model or you can call it a fractal pattern (see Figure 1) that cable has been following since the start of the sell off from 2014 highs. Now, even though I got out of this trade relative fast the upside momentum should prevail if we take in consideration the seasonality cycles of GBP/USD which has the tendencies to strengthen during the summer time period and post a major top by beginning of August. (see Figure 2)
Figure 1. GBP/USD Fractal Map

However short term we can still move to the downside as current market flow is negative. Current price of 1.5660 which is a pivot can provide support and next major area which is another important pivot stands at 1.5550 close to the big figure 1.5500 which should provide support and see a ramp up at least towards the current high at 1.5930, however idea target would be 1.6200 to match the fractal map which retraced all the way to 61.8% fib retracement.

Figure 2. Pound Seasonality Study


Best Regards,
Daytrader21
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