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Singapore Dollar Downtrend Rejected

For a third time this year, the downtrend in the USD/SGD has been rejected. On the chart below we marked these 3 rejections with smaller rectangles. This rejection forces the pair back into its range. The general area of support is around 1.3300 to 1.3350. On the top side, the resistance is around 1.3800 to 1.3841.
This particular range has been unbroken since March of this year. But the USD/SGD has been trading undecided for over a year now. Let's take a look at this range on the weekly chart. …
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fxsurprise8 avatar

The USD/SGD is still inside that 1.3300 - 1.3800 range. This month we hit a high of 1.3697 and a low of 1.3434 as prices fluctuated in an even smaller rectangle.

But despite the ups and down we're now quoted at 1.3639,  only 21 pips away from my forecast. So far everything is going according to plan.

Let's hope for a calm month end so prices stay near where they are.

fxsurprise8 avatar

Another range-bound day in the Singapore Dollar. Today we opened at 1.3640 then rallied to a high of 1.3665. This is below the monthly high as prices have been subdued by the selling at resistance.

From here we fell back down on general US Dollar weakness and a low of 1.3621 was hit. We're currently quoted at 1.3627, close to the daily lows and only 9 pips away from my forecasted price.

fxsurprise8 avatar

Time for a chart update!  The USD/SGD is still inside the 1.3300 - 1.3800 range noted in my original post. This month we hit a high of 1.3697 and a low of 1.3434 as prices traded in an even smaller range.

We closed on Friday at 1.3619, only 1 pip away from my forecasted price! This shows just how range-bound this pair has traded lately.

fxsurprise8 avatar

The USD/SGD is edging higher today. We opened the new week at 1.3618 and from here prices rallied to a high of 1.3644

The pair is currently quoted at 1.3640, 22 pips from my target. Let's hope for some help from the coming Monday session. The start of the week can be slow and frequently leads to a reversal of these opening moves.

The Monday European session could be even slower then usual tomorrow as Germany celebrates Unity day. Hopefully these circumstances will help keep prices firmly anchored close to my forecasted price. 

fxsurprise8 avatar

Time for a final update. The USD/SGD was quoted at 1.36441 at 12:00 on October 3rd. This is 26.1 pips or 0.192% away from my target.

On our chart above we can see that after the rejection on the downside, the pair stayed within the confines of the range noted in my original post (1.3300 - 1.3800). The area marked with a rectangle shows the price action during September.

The high during this month was 1.3697 while the low was at 1.3434. The open to close range was even smaller at 22 pips. This underscores how range-bound the USD/SGD has been trading lately and confirms my initial forecast.

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USD/JPY Targets Brexit Highs

The USD/JPY is finally trending up after a long bear market. After some Dollar positive comments at Jackson Hole the pair got a lift. We’re now trading 336 pips higher from the lows marked on August 26th.
Where can we look for a potential target? The average monthly range in this pair has been 520 pips. But that’s low to high, not open to close. A more conservative target would be in the 300 pips range.
On our chart above we see a level that qualifies. The pre-Brexit highs at 106.80 are importa…
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Jackson Hole overrated?

Hi,
Janet Yellen's speech at the elite annual meeting Jackson Hole is probably one of the more widely anticipated speeches of Fed Chairwomen, but the real question is whether or not the Jackson Hole meeting is overrated or not. Taking in consideration the dull market condition faced so far maybe this catalyst can be the only hope for this market. A lot of the financial pundits speculate on the possibility that Janet Yellen will deliver and hawkish speech pointing to September rate hikes.
If you'…
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Slow start to the week

Major currencies mostly remained in Friday's ranges which were a result of a much better than expected U.S. jobs and wages report. The least action was in the euro while the yen and the antipodean dollars performed better.
Today's markets were reminiscent of subdued summer trading but, as we have seen multiple times in recent months, they never lasted more than a couple of days. I think we won't need to wait until Yellen's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium to get the next big move.
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Jackson Hole Symposium. Why it Matter?

Jakson Hole is an economic symposium conference that has been hold each year since 1978 by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. For more than three decades this economic symposium has been gathering together Finance ministers, central bank presidents and academics from around the world. Jackson Hole theme for Aug. 21-23 2014 will be "Re-Evaluating Labor Dynamics".
Unfortunately many Wall Streeters and other private-sector economists have not been invited anymore signaling a shift from prev…
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taxi_driver avatar

Thanks for posting!

ANABEVZ avatar
ANABEVZ 21 Aug.

interesting..

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