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the first fed/FOMC meeting of 2018 was held in the week we were busy in terms of Eri and news flow. As expected, the FED announced that the economy supports gradual interest rates while not making any changes in interest rates. Inflation, however, is expected to rise this year, in the medium term, around 2 percent of stability is declared to win. Looking at the country's data released last week, non-agricultural employment, ADP non-agricultural employment, Conference Board Consumer Confidence, t…
Блог Сообщества Dukascopy
Oil general expectation.
China's leading oil companies, Sinopec'den; in 2017, the largest importer of China's position, increased by 10.1 percent last year, 420 million tons(approximately 3 billion 90 million barrels) was announced to purchase. Oil prices are expected between 50 and 70 dollars for 2018, the country's oil demand is expected to increase by 3 percent. On the other hand, US Secretary of state Rex Tillerson said that there could be a military coup in Venezuela, the world's largest oil reserves. Baker Hughes …
EURUsd trying to put in a low today
EurUsd is holding just above 108.5 today
EurUsd was in retreat today and tested the 108.5 level this afternoon
A quick move up to around 108.8 just now indicates a low for now
The pair was moving back towards 108.5 and halted around 108.6
It would seem a temporary bottom is in place at 108.5 now
I will try to buy around 108.6 - 108.7 with SL below 108.5
for a retry to break above 109 again
The pair will have to break above 109 today or tomorrow to remain bullish
EurUsd was in retreat today and tested the 108.5 level this afternoon
A quick move up to around 108.8 just now indicates a low for now
The pair was moving back towards 108.5 and halted around 108.6
It would seem a temporary bottom is in place at 108.5 now
I will try to buy around 108.6 - 108.7 with SL below 108.5
for a retry to break above 109 again
The pair will have to break above 109 today or tomorrow to remain bullish
DAY 26 - How Low Can the Bund Yield Go ?
Benchmark 10-year German government borrowing costs have never been lower, and while the prospect of them dwindling to zero and even below is highly unlikely, it is no longer inconceivable.
Slowing economic growth and a seemingly relentless decline in inflation across the euro zone, including Germany, has spurred buying of Bunds, meaning Berlin can now borrow for 10 years at less than 1 percent compared with 2 percent at the start of the year.
Expectations the European Central Bank will eventual…
Slowing economic growth and a seemingly relentless decline in inflation across the euro zone, including Germany, has spurred buying of Bunds, meaning Berlin can now borrow for 10 years at less than 1 percent compared with 2 percent at the start of the year.
Expectations the European Central Bank will eventual…
DAY 5 - Low Volatility Monday
Forex
Monday's are usually low volatility day compare to other days and with London on a public holiday, there was hardly any moves in major currency pairs. Hopefully, we would see some high volatility later in the week mainly on Thursday as interest rate decision is due by ECB & BoE.
Equities
As regards to equities, the boost to market sentiment provided by NFP data did not last long and global equities start the week on the back foot, as investors digest the latest sign of weakness from China'…
Monday's are usually low volatility day compare to other days and with London on a public holiday, there was hardly any moves in major currency pairs. Hopefully, we would see some high volatility later in the week mainly on Thursday as interest rate decision is due by ECB & BoE.
Equities
As regards to equities, the boost to market sentiment provided by NFP data did not last long and global equities start the week on the back foot, as investors digest the latest sign of weakness from China'…
USD/JPY-From Range to Breakout!
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Fan Lines,Fibonacci Retracements,EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :102.08
USD/JPY after two monts ago reached an high at (105) level has begin retracing to (102) price level , which lasted most of January.The dollar hited a 1 month low.The current price level hit fibonacci retracement level 38.20%(102.20) and from the look of it ,last month i belived we would have by now a bullish trend at (104) price level.
That has not happend , the pair moved all…
EUR/USD - Visual Analysis!
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Elements used:Fibonacci Fan Lines,Retracements;Percent Lines;EMA,3,5,13,21;MACD;Time Markers.
Current Level : 1.3497
EUR/USD pair in my wiew is one of the most , if not the most hard pair to predict accurately. The fact that it comprises these 2 great economies the United States & European Union it's younger ''brother'' makes it so hard to predict. The monetary policy of the EU and the fact that not all countries have euro as currency makes this pair react …
GBP/NZD- Retest retracement!
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :2.0001
GBP/NZD has made a strong bullish move starting November 21 of almost 600 pips making also a new high at 2.0243 from which it etraced lower.On the chart bellow we can see a major support & resistance zone on which this pair has been struggling every time it try to break lower or higher.
The pair bias is bullish on the long term with prospect of breaking 2.…
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :2.0001
GBP/NZD has made a strong bullish move starting November 21 of almost 600 pips making also a new high at 2.0243 from which it etraced lower.On the chart bellow we can see a major support & resistance zone on which this pair has been struggling every time it try to break lower or higher.
The pair bias is bullish on the long term with prospect of breaking 2.…
EURNZD -Lower Low!!
Charts: 4Hours, 1 Day.
Indicators: Fibonacci Retracements,Fibonacci Fan Lines,Support & Resistance Levels , MACD, EMA 200,100,50.
Current Level :1.6646
EURNZD has reached a major resistance at (1.7292) from which the trend is resuming lower and we can see that the price moved between fibonacci retracement levels and between fibonacci fan lines levels. The price seem to have reacted on all fibonacci retracement levels and on major fibonacci fan lines like 61.80% where the support h…