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EURUSD weakness

fjollon Posted 21 Apr.  in #Trader's blog
First @ support: I can't see myself in the standings list. According to my graph above I should be 64 now, but in the standings I can't find myself. When I search on my name it's like I'm not in the competition. Same if I search for March.
Today the EURUSD did a nice reversal down. The volume is high and this is a good sign for the bears. It's too early to say if the up-trend since December is broken (because it's not) but it might at least go down a bit from here.
I'm short in GBPJPY as well as…
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OneGoodTrade 24 Apr.

BOJ intervention was a tough one. To find yourself in the standing list click on All Traders box. There is a new drawdown filter.

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EURJPY

fjollon Posted 18 Apr.  in #Trader's blog
The EURJPY made a new bottom today and then went up sharply. A few days ago I mentioned that there could be some lack of supply in this pair and this might very well be the confirmation of that. First a little trap to catch the bears with the new bottom and then full blast up. I got caught myself but I’m still slightly up in it.
The GBPAUD started up and then went mostly down during the day. It is still up for the day since it took a major jump up at the opening. The volume is average so not muc…
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OneGoodTrade 19 Apr.

Please take a look at my blog for a description of the challenges I was having with VSA. Do you have same issues?

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EURUSD

fjollon Posted 17 Apr.  in #Trader's blog
I have been looking at the EURUSD and from what I can see we will get a minor movement down from where we are now. The volume was a bit higher this week compared to the last up-week tow weeks ago. I would guess that we get two more weeks down in the pair before any up-move is to be expected.
We had a nice down-move Wednesday on high volume and the up-move on Friday was not much to talk about and the volume was weak. I believe we will get a continuation on the down-move already on Monday. I beli…
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OneGoodTrade 17 Apr.

If you don't mind I'll ask you a question. What if the down move from Wednesday on high volume means that whatever was sold, someone else stepped in and bought it. Otherwise if there would have been high volume and no buyers euro would have crashed. Let's compare it with a Black Friday sales for electronics...price drops, high volume of buyers step in, price rebounds. It's just a question, I am not either bullish or bearish at the moment.

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fjollon 17 Apr.

Good question. Per VSA, that I use mostly, bullish volume is increasing on up-moves and bearish volume is increasing on down-moves. The basic thought is that "the big guys" move the market. If the price fall with increasing volume it would indicate that the big guys are actively trading and pushing the prices lower. If the volume is low it would indicate that the big guys are standing on the side and not are interested in the current move. If the EURUSD goes up on low volume it could then indicate that the big guys want to sell more at higher levels and are just waiting for that to happen.

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OneGoodTrade 18 Apr.

Yes I know, I saw your webinar a few years back and I remembered it and I was wondering how you deal with these VSA problems since you are still using it.

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fjollon 18 Apr.

OK :)

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