Блог Сообщества Dukascopy

Отсортировано по тагам:  Cycles
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The US Dollar Technicals

This blog post it's a continuation from last time I talked about the US Dollar, but in the meantime I wrote an Article talking there in more details about this issue, go check it out here: US Dollar Macro and Technical View
It's not unrealistic for the dollar to continue rallying as there have been other instances in the past in which case the dollar rally has extended past 50% mark (see Figure 5). Actually the dollar trade weighted cycles tend to last on average 8 years and we ha…
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May FX Seasonal Cycles

Since a new month has started, the best way to asserts the probability of where the market is likely to be heading in this month is for us to look at the seasonality patterns. The seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. Seasonality are a predictable change in price that repeats every day, week, month, year at the same period in time.
You can find more details how this seasonal patterns affect the exchange rate and more importantly how to correctly us…
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March FX Seasonal Cycles

Since not only a new month has started, the best way to asserts the probability of where the market is likely to be heading in this month is for us to look at the seasonality patterns. The seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. Seasonality are a predictable change in price that repeats every day, week, month, year at the same period in time.
You can find more details how this seasonal patterns affect the exchange rate and more importantly how to cor…
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January FX Seasonal Cycles


Since not only a new month has started, but we're into a new year, the best way to asserts the probability of where the market is likely to be heading in this month is for us to look at the seasonality patterns. The seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. Seasonality are a predictable change in price that repeats every day, week, month, year at the same period in time.
You can find more details how this seasonal patterns affect the exchange rate and…
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PPandM avatar
PPandM 2 Янв.

Happy New Year! :-)

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 2 Янв.

Hi, Happy New Year and lots of $$$$$$:)

ANABEVZ avatar
ANABEVZ 7 Янв.

Happy New Years !!! Best wishes with $$$:)

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December Seasonal Forex Patterns

Since a new month has started the best way to asserts the probability of where the market is likely to be heading in this month is for us to look at the seasonality patterns. The seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. Seasonality are a predictable change in price that repeats every day, week, month, year at the same period in time.
You can find more details how this seasonal patterns affect the exchange rate and more importantly how to correctly us…
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November Seasonal Forex Patterns


Since a new month has started the best way to asserts the probability of where the market is likely to be heading in this month is for us to look at the seasonality patterns. The seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. Seasonality are a predictable change in price that repeats every day, week, month, year at the same period in time.
You can find more details how this seasonal patterns affect the exchange rate and more importantly how to correctly us…
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EURUSD forecast 10-29-14

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AUD/USD Rectangle Pattern Projects 0.9800

Aussie has been moving for the most part of this summer in a rectangle pattern(see Figure 1) which project a target of 0.9800 once we have a break and a close below the support level of 0.9200. If we measure the range between the 0.9500 round number and resistance level and 0.8200 support level we have an 300 pip range which projected to the upside gives us the 0.9800 target level.
Figure 1. Aussie Daily Chart.
Also based on Elliott Wave since beginning of last year (see Figure 2) au…
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Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 24 Авг.

Update 1: as expect we had a final spike lower towards 0.9200 support level where the market found some strong buyers and we had a rebound. We're under way to develop the last wave "C" of this correction. Before to continue pushing higher we can expect some pull back towards 0.9280 where the market should find support. Next resistance for the next week stands at 0.9370

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 30 Авг.

Update 2: As per my last Update we indeed push back to retest the 0.9370 intermediate support level which confirms that our projection is on the money. Now we can say that wave C is developing as momentum has started to push higher but as long as current low volatility stay in place expect a slow market.Nex intermediate resistance for next week is 0.9415

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 6 Сент.

Update 3: Although we took another dive towards 0.9270 the market quickly reverse confirming once again that buyers are in control of this market. Wave C can take multiple form and my expectation is for a 3 more upside legs where wave a and c of wave C would develop 3 waves of lesser degree and wave b only 1 wave making a total of 7 upside waves. So we should be able by the time we complete wave C to count 7 wave from low to 0.9800

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Seasonal Cycles in Fx Trading

In this article, I'm going to talk about FX seasonality cycles and how they can improve your trading activity and why it should not be ignored. There is no mystery that the world is full of cycles and we're governed by them and the financial market are not exception of this rule. The majority of traders will either use technical analysis, fundamental analysis or a combination of both. But the seasonality cycles will bring in a new dimension in which you can analyse the market. The time eleme
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Olympics and Stock Market Correlation. Cycle of War

A professional trader will look at just about everything that can give him a statistical edge to make a profitable trade. Even myself as a believer and practitioner of market cycles I'm looking for cycles that can be found from presidential election, Inflation figures, Unemployment figures and even the Olympic Games if there is a statistical evidence that you can make a buck from it than I'll trade it.
According to a research from Bespoke Investment Group during the last 26 Olympics Game the…
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Skif avatar
Skif 17 Февр.

Не пишите о том о чем не имеете представления , это сообщение касается вашего мнения относительно событий происходящих в Украине .

jezz avatar
jezz 17 Февр.

Sometimes I feel a strong connection (actually I mean love) between you and fractals :D

Daytrader21 avatar
Daytrader21 17 Февр.

@Jezz LOL.........Actually, I'm very fascinated about fractals in general and in particular about the applicability in the Markets as well. You just give me an idea, tomorrow I'm going to update one fractal that I've posted here last year, and guess what the market followed that analog quite astonishing:)))). At that moment many didn't believed it will work. You'll have to wait until tomorrow to see about what fractal I speak about:).

jezz avatar
jezz 17 Февр.

Pascal freaks...

ruwim avatar
ruwim 7 Март

very interesting, thanks for your research and good luck.

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